Market icon

Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?

$19,919,327 Vol.

Apr 29, 2025

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

RESULT

$2,009,458 Vol.

No

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$993,621 Vol.

No

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$805,284 Vol.

No

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$1,466,254 Vol.

No

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$564,823 Vol.

No

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$1,087,167 Vol.

No

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$756,779 Vol.

Yes

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$6,087,387 Vol.

Yes

circle check

$1,401,581 Vol.

No

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$568,855 Vol.

No

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$1,312,596 Vol.

No

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$115,127 Vol.

No

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$1,889,164 Vol.

No

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$236,254 Vol.

No

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$67,404 Vol.

No

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$199,945 Vol.

No

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$32,880 Vol.

No

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$66,747 Vol.

No

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$270 Vol.

Yes

circle check

$19,793 Vol.

No

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$133,067 Vol.

No

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$104,870 Vol.

No

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Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried, receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether Sam Bankman-Fried is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Volume

$19,919,327

End Date

Apr 29, 2025

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Comments (1382)
Top Holders
Activity
Related

Beware of external links, they may be phishing attacks.

Joeyxxx

27d ago

No

Chhj

BussyBlaster

ggwp, hope to see all yes buyers in future bets.

@BussyBlaster

I beg your pardon lol

GollumGekko

https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pardon-in-2025 Lets continue playing on this one as there are not much time left here

sell me all your YES/sbf

@solexplorer

nevermind

Feligua

Feligua

2mo ago

believe me bro

Oxymirin

Oxymirin

2mo ago

@Feligua

You should buy more to average down

Feligua

Feligua

2mo ago

tomorrow

Feligua

Feligua

2mo ago

pardon coming!!

Seems like free 1-2% 🤔

BussyBlaster

24 more days.

Hallp me

hypernull

2mo ago

Free SBF

GollumGekko

@hypernull

I got lots of bids plz fill me

Kickstand8

Kickstand8

2mo ago

The Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, praises President Donald Trump’s pardon as a step toward truth, potentially easing America’s political turmoil. The Ayatollah views it as a strike against Washington’s hypocrisy, honoring those who exposed U.S. surveillance. The Ayatollah sees it as a chance to clarify the tense Iran-U.S. relationship, marked by decades of hostility. The Ayatollah warns, however, that it must go beyond symbolism, urging a shift from America’s aggressive stance toward Iran and the Muslim world. The Ayatollah hopes it fosters dialogue based on respect. The Ayatollah prays Allah’s mercy guides this act to plant seeds of justice, steering both nations toward truth and peace.

BussyBlaster

@brokeaddict

lol thanks for playing

bosshog

bosshog

2mo ago

@brokeaddict

name checks out

sbf on top

dwafgerghh

BussyBlaster

i love me some cheap Vers. 32 days left https://www.timeanddate.com/countdown/payday?iso=20250429T2359&p0=179&font=cursive

nothinghappens

@BussyBlaster

Try this one: https://www.timeanddate.com/countdown/generic?iso=20250429T1159&p0=165&msg=Lose+all+my+money%21&font=cursive

BussyBlaster

@nothinghappe...

nothing happens. ver wont make it, your $30 is going into my pocket and im going to spend it on prostitutes

Oxymirin

Oxymirin

2mo ago

Tik tok on the clock dj blow my speakers up

hypernull

2mo ago

SBF let's go

nothinghappens

Roger Ver still underpriced for those who didn't get in on SBF, see: https://x.com/RealRossU/status/1892619346293231741 and https://x.com/itsmarlamaples/status/1901266943568380327

Do the math

how is this not more likely

nothinghappens

@hedgetrimma

It is, market just slow to react...

Amir1355

3mo ago

In link below you can see how POLYMARKET scammed us. PLEASE SHARE IT AS OFTEN AS YOU CAN ON TWITTER/X/ANYWHERE ELSE https://x.com/Web3Marmot/status/1904501360558817324

UMAisSCAM

3mo ago

@Amir1355

It's always been this way. UMA being a scam is open secret here

MicAllElle

3mo ago

PARDON STEVE BANNON U STOOPID ORANGE F#CK!!!!!!!

2391142069a

@MicAllElle

Bannon wants to fight it I heard.

Tredsaz

3mo ago

Everyone’s piling in

BussyBlaster

40 days. Easiest money of my life

automobile

automobile

3mo ago

Edward snoden is a geek he can stay in russia

who the heck is cz

automobile

automobile

3mo ago

@TimmyTurtleT...

sammy Bankmens boy firend

news-trader

cz talks to trump family about pardon just by considering investing in WLFI, sbf could do the same (unlikely but good odds)

LeslieChow

LeslieChow

3mo ago

Where's my brother CZ?

jizzmaster69

mase03

mase03

3mo ago

@jizzmaster69

jizzmaster69

ShiroHikari

@jizzmaster69

jizzmaster69

Edward Snowden should be on there

NoiseC

3mo ago

@bigballsswis...

Yeah, that’s the other Edward Snowden.

BussyBlaster

i've said it many times, they're all no. 53 more days.

Oxymirin

Oxymirin

3mo ago

I mean Rudy Giuliani is still not under federal criminal investigation, so...

GollumGekko

Chauvin might get one at the end of the period but there is no way he wants to create riots in the next few weeks

BussyBlaster

wasn't Chauvin was imprisoned under Trump?

Jyggalag

Jyggalag

3mo ago

Xd

SBF stole FTX customers' money to invest in SOL, Anthropic and Robinhood. He could have just disclosed that to the customers and if those who believed in him held on to the shares, they would have made it bigly.

BussyBlaster

@nontechguru

he also invested bigly into the democrat party. dont pretend he would've shared the SOL gains with his depositors.

@BussyBlaster

as well as the republican party. if he was team dem i imagine he would be a free man

Outcome: No

Sam Bankman-Fried