Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
$19,919,327 Vol.
Apr 29, 2025
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
RESULT

Eric Adams
Explain
$993,621 Vol.
No

Steve Bannon
Explain
$805,284 Vol.
No

Roger Ver
Explain
$1,466,254 Vol.
No

Julian Assange
Explain
$564,823 Vol.
No

Himself
Explain
$1,087,167 Vol.
No

January 6 protestor
Explain
$756,779 Vol.
Yes

Ross Ulbricht
Explain
$6,087,387 Vol.
Yes

Diddy
Explain
$1,401,581 Vol.
No

Elon Musk
Explain
$568,855 Vol.
No

Hunter Biden
Explain
$1,312,596 Vol.
No

Young Thug
Explain
$115,127 Vol.
No

Edward Snowden
Explain
$1,889,164 Vol.
No

Matt Gaetz
Explain
$236,254 Vol.
No

Daniel Penny
Explain
$67,404 Vol.
No

Rudy Giuliani
Explain
$199,945 Vol.
No

Roger Stone
Explain
$32,880 Vol.
No

Bob Menendez
Explain
$66,747 Vol.
No

Rod Blagojevich
Explain
$270 Vol.
Yes

Joe Exotic "The Tiger King"
Explain
$19,793 Vol.
No

Derek Chauvin
Explain
$133,067 Vol.
No

CZ
Explain
$104,870 Vol.
No
Market Context
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
Generate
Rules
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether Sam Bankman-Fried is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$19,919,327
End Date
Apr 29, 2025
Resolver
0x6A9D222616...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Beware of external links, they may be phishing attacks.


GollumGekko
2mo ago
3

Kickstand8
2mo ago
0
brokeaddict
2mo ago
3

BussyBlaster
2mo ago
0

nothinghappens
2mo ago
0

BussyBlaster
2mo ago
0

nothinghappens
2mo ago
0
Amir1355
3mo ago
5

news-trader
3mo ago
0


GollumGekko
3mo ago
1

nontechguru
3mo ago
1

BussyBlaster
3mo ago
3
Wessouthwes
3mo ago
0
Outcome: No
Sam Bankman-Fried