Next Prime Minister of Canada after the election?
$120,985,208 Vol.
Apr 28, 2025
Mark Carney 100.0%
Pierre Poilievre <1%
Chrystia Freeland <1%
Jagmeet Singh <1%
Source: Polymarket.com
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
RESULT
Rules
The next Canadian federal election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pierre Poilievre is the next Prime Minister of Canada following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Canada is instated by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pierre Poilievre is the next Prime Minister of Canada following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Canada is instated by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$120,985,208
End Date
Apr 28, 2025
Resolver
0x2F5e3684cb...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Comments (55,035)
Top Holders
Activity
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lightningG
4d ago
Just noticed POA got banned again! Hopefully he'll never come back.
Slapalibtard
2d ago
I will f uck him and spicy caramel
Poilievre4PM
6d ago
Anita Anand in foreign affairs. Champagne in Finance. Fraser in justice. Freeland in internal trade. Carney is just like JUSTIN
Poilievre4PM
5d ago
fuck Carney
ThePowerOfChrist...
8d ago
How did we go from "the budget will balance itself", to no budget at all?
Poilievre4PM
13d ago
fuck
lightningG
17d ago
Donald Trump humiliated Mark Carney! The president showed Canada’s new prime minister just how inexperienced he is. Carney looked like a fool!!! Shame on you, the idiot liberals that voted for the fool.
ThePowerOfChrist...
17d ago
If that's what "Standing up to Trump" is like, I can't imagine what backing down to him would be.
lightningG
17d ago
Conservative Merz elected German Chancellor. That's a big win for Germany's far right.
RayOfLight11111
17d ago
Actually, Merz is a center-right politician, who supports universal healthcare and unions. He's probably to the left of most US Democrats. Merz formed government in a coalition the left-wing Social Democrats. The real far-right party, the AfD, was left out of negotiations for government.
lightningG
17d ago
You libtard got to shut up and fuck off. You know nothing about either Merz or Carney.
lightningG
17d ago
Stupid liberals in Canada voted clown Carney that's begging for our help and kneeling to President Trump. What a shame to Canada!
Saulman
17d ago
SHouldn't be closed yet
lightningG
17d ago
Conservative party of Romania just won a landslide victory in the election. The conservative party in Poland is going to have a big win too.
RayOfLight11111
20d ago
What's the difference between Pierre Poilievre and a toilet?
RayOfLight11111
20d ago
I'm proud of our Australian cousins for also rejecting the right-wing fake "populism." Their right-wing leader also lost his own seat, just like our con leader. That's the way to do it!
Kitty.Litter.Buz
20d ago
Please, PLEASE Canada allow BYD's EV cars in Canada because I want a real EV car that acutally is good.
RayOfLight11111
21d ago
Liberals back up to 169 seats, at the expense of the Conservatives, after a validation process
RayOfLight11111
21d ago
King Charles to open Canada parliament as PM Carney reacts to Trump threats https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/may/02/canada-mark-carney-king-charles
lightningG
21d ago
BREAKING: Trump Wins Manufacturing Deal in Blow to Canada https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/companies/trump-wins-manufacturing-deal-in-blow-to-canada/ss-AA1DZCgm?ocid=entnewsntp&pc=U531&cvid=d2cc9684046448818a69831e78b7c96a&ei=45
0xlucky
22d ago
Liberals lost another seat on a recount
borna44
22d ago
Still holding strong
Lukomorya
22d ago
See you in Australia
PPisAFeckBoi
22d ago
Kitty.Litter.Buz
22d ago
Holy. How humilating
PPisAFeckBoi
22d ago
that was painful as fuck
JohnnyDeep
21d ago
Even the people who won the bets are sad because canada is fucked lol
PPisAFeckBoi
22d ago
All done with taxes 7 hours ago lol
RayOfLight11111
23d ago
I'd rather see the NDP fold their tent and join the Liberals. That would be the pragmatic thing to do, in the current state of the World and Canada.
Poilievre2025
23d ago
outcome done finally, prob gonna wind down activity here now. see yall in a couple years
Svenny
22d ago
hahah talking tough as a liberal? hahahha buddy you're a cuck. no one is afraid of you. way to cheer on communism dummy.
Poilievre4PM
23d ago
Poilievre 2029 !!!!
RayOfLight11111
23d ago
To paraphrase your Prime Minister, "Look inside yourself". That's always a good advice.
martin257
23d ago
In Canada the PM doesn't get elected by the vote of the people. The parliament is the one to decide, so Polymarket might be waiting for that process to finalize.
TheFrenchQuant
23d ago
God bless you all. God bless Canada. Gg
MacMini
23d ago
How long until shares are redeemable?
ChrisX
23d ago
Where are all the PP bots at? Sure got quiet in here...
EmperorZurg
23d ago
ATTENTION: In Canada’s system, a Prime Minister does not get re-sworn in after an election unless they resign or a new person is taking over the role. Justin Trudeau was not sworn in again after winning re-election in 2019 or 2021. Carney’s already the Prime Minister. Since he retained office after the election and didn’t resign, there’s no need or tradition for a second swearing-in.
Timisky
23d ago
Well done mark
praesagus
23d ago
Game over.
Car
23d ago
Theres no reason for this market to stay open any longer. It already happened and nothing else will happen lol. What do you want to wait on?
Car
23d ago
you cant formally instate Carney as PM twice
Car
23d ago
Mark Carney was formally instated as the 24th Prime Minister of Canada on March 14
Euan
23d ago
ggs
Euan
23d ago
watch this libs
Outcome: No
Pierre Poilievre