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Cocoa Caps 2024 as Biggest Commodity Winner. It’s Not Over Yet

  • Bad weather in West Africa raises fears of a fourth deficit
  • The rally has seen New York futures almost triple this year

The cocoa market had cooled, after surging to just under $12,000 a ton in April, on expectations of better harvests in West Africa. 

Photographer: Dado Galdieri/Bloomberg

Cocoa’s rally has soared past all major commodities in 2024, and there’s little sign the tight supply and fragile trading landscape that prompted its near-vertical trajectory are in for a fast fix.

Prices have almost tripled as faltering production in West Africa — the world’s biggest growing region — spurred massive supply shortages. Many traders, burned by soaring costs to maintain positions, fled the market as the rally gained steam, and chocolate makers sat out hedging new inventory in a bid for lower prices.