Ukraine election held in 2025?

$1,230,309 Vol.

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% chance

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Ukraine election held in 2025?

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside of 2025, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Volume

$1,230,309

End Date

Dec 31, 2025

Resolver

0x6A9D222616...

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Holders

Beware of external links, they may be phishing attacks.

zoldado

21d ago

Hey bros, if you're in this market, don't miss this opportunity that few noticed... https://polymarket.com/event/will-putin-meet-with-zelenskyy-before-august

zoldado

19d ago

@zoldado

It's happening! Is it true? Congratulations to everyone who bought from the store! https://x.com/peacemaket71/status/1940850948311548073

jsjr

3mo ago

Yeah, sorry for spamming your comment section, but looks like Zelensky submitted draft laws to Verchovna Rada for extending martial law.

jsjr

3mo ago

To think that Ukraine will hold elections in 2025 is about as bizarre as to believe that the USA will acquire Greenland.

vaxastadnyk

3mo ago

easy yes

jalalwins

19d ago

@vaxastadnyk

Copium

jsjr

3mo ago

There will be no elections in the summer, there is no preparation for them, we need to end the war first, - Yermak.

jsjr

4mo ago

But you don't understand, he really wants to have elections, its just not possible. They are literally not allowed to hold elections, its forbidden by law, its not his fault.

OneT

4mo ago

The Ukrainian parliament just votet on this and unanimously decided that elections will be held once "a stable peace in ukraine is established"

jalalwins

4mo ago

All those guys who voted yes, sorry for you! I live in Ukraine whole my life, if you came to power here you get everything, so I dont expect someone would willingly step from power, specially Zelenskyi. They can hold elections only if they think that He will win again. simple like that

jsjr

4mo ago

To think that Ukraine won't hold elections in 2025 are about as bizarre as to believe that the USA won't acquire Greenland.

jsjr

4mo ago

Full Steve Witkoff interview here, he pretty much say that Zelensky can't stay in power and that there has to be elections soon, and a lot more interesting stuff which I assume is the current US position. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=acvu2LBumGo

White🪬Supremacy

4mo ago

U.S. President Donald Trump's special envoy Steve Witkoff asserted that Kyiv has "agreed" to organize presidential elections in Ukraine, without providing details or evidence backing his claim. https://www.politico.eu/article/trump-envoy-claims-ukraine-agreed-to-hold-presidential-elections/

syntez-syhnalu

4mo ago

It seems to be common to talk about Ukraine as if it exists in a vacuum, free from the gravitational pull of global power politics. But that's not the Ukraine that exists in our world. In a theoretical free election, Zelenskyy would be the frontrunner, with Zaluzhnyi as his credible challenger. Others like Poroshenko, Tymoshenko, and Klitschko haven't found resonance in this crisis. But I'm skeptical about Ukrainian elections happening in 2025 at all. The 1953 Korean Armistice negotiations took two years for even a tentative peace. Ukraine's own political opposition acknowledges conditions aren't right for elections - demonstrating the unity often forged in wartime.

syntez-syhnalu

4mo ago

@syntez-syhna...

Key stakeholders have competing agendas making free elections nearly impossible: Russia has made clear a Zelenskyy victory is unacceptable. They want someone who'll bend to Moscow. USA faces contradictions. Zelenskyy's pushback against Washington has strengthened his domestic support. Meanwhile, Putin suggests hockey games during war, then violates ceasefires. Russia, despite military losses, sanctions, and dependence on China, somehow sets terms while USA follows along. EU wants pro-integration leadership, while China prioritizes trade routes over democratic principles. If elections materialize, they'll face enormous challenges: How do citizens in occupied territories vote? What about displaced people? Can campaigns operate safely? Those offering confident predictions about Ukraine's electoral future are selling certainty where none exists. The reality is messier, the challenges greater, and the path forward less clear than many commentators admit.

leksus

5mo ago

Top Trump allies hold secret talks with Zelenskyy’s Ukrainian opponents. As Washington ramps up its pressure on Zelenskyy to step aside, his rivals are talking to Trump’s team. https://www.politico.eu/article/donald-trump-allies-secret-talks-volodymyr-zelenskyy-opposition-ukraine-elections-yulia-tymoshenko-petro-poroshenko/

syntez-syhnalu

5mo ago

Well now when there is nothing to expect from the USA then there is no reason to follow any such demands for Ukrain.

Ellizory

5mo ago

Nothing is done yet

Nurax

5mo ago

The Ukrainian parliament just votet on this and unanimously decided that elections will be held once "a stable peace in ukraine is established"

syntez-syhnalu

5mo ago

Putins real interest in airing a need for Ukrainian, a bait taken by the USA administration, was to humiliate Zelensky provoce a rift in the Uk.-USA relation. It worked. Putin does really not want an election in Ukraine, since a pro-ukrainian candidate would win, Zelensky or possibly Zaluzhnyi. The newly elected president would get improved legitimacy and authority. The winners voice in final negotiations would carry much more weight. Kremlin don't really want that. Thus Washington will let the idea fade out.

syntez-syhnalu

5mo ago

*an Ukrainian election *and provoke a rift

dog3

5mo ago

they are not able to hold an election

Abb233

5mo ago

Why

dog3

5mo ago

@Abb233

Ukraine cannot hold a national election in 2025 due to several major challenges caused by the ongoing war. First, many voters are serving at the front, making it nearly impossible for them to participate in the electoral process. Second, large parts of Ukraine’s territory remain under Russian occupation, meaning millions of citizens in these regions would be unable to vote. Third, millions of Ukrainians have fled the country as refugees, making it difficult to ensure their participation and maintain fair electoral procedures abroad. Additionally, organizing elections during wartime poses serious security risks, as polling stations and electoral infrastructure could become military targets. Lastly, martial law, which is currently in place, legally prevents elections from being held. Under these conditions, a free and fair election is simply not feasible.

Welcomecash

5mo ago

The government plans to hold simultaneous elections of the president, parliament and local councils in the fall of 2025. Petro Poroshenko said this in an interview with the Censor.net portal. - Write down - October 26 this year, - said Poroshenko, answering the question, when in Ukraine may be held elections. According to him, he has such information, in particular, from sources in law enforcement agencies and at the polygraph plant “Ukraine”, which, “is now processing how many ballots are needed”. - According to our sources in the Central Election Commission, which is starting to make changes to the voter register. According to our sources in the Ministry of Justice, which is opening its first office in Berlin. Exclusively for the preparation of elections,” Poroshenko added. He also noted that according to the Constitution, there should be elections to Parliament at the end of the year, “although they should have been two years ago.” - And we should have local elections at the end of October. The authorities' dream is to hold all the elections at the same time,” Poroshenko said.

Josss

5mo ago

Supposedly for misappropriating charity funds for political purposes. Not going down well with the Americans that can't tolerate martial law.

Welcomecash

5mo ago

Trump wants to secure ceasefire in Ukraine before Easter - Bloomberg

tsybka

5mo ago

Petya legit president

tsybka

5mo ago

GGO

Welcomecash

5mo ago

Elections in Ukraine will be held on October 26, 2025 - Poroshenko

barberry-in-grav...

5mo ago

LOL

MaximizingLosses

5mo ago

2025 is too early. Very likely No for this market.

IntelGeoPol

5mo ago

Russian spy agency says NATO wants to remove Zelensky through elections https://x.com/intelgeopol/status/1890658298124185824

IntelGeoPol

5mo ago

According to Ukraine constitution it’s not allowed to hold elections while martial law is in place. - https://x.com/IntelGeoPol/status/1890475429288636707

leksus

5mo ago

nothing extra needs to be done for the elections, it is enough not to extend martial law (which is extended every 90 days)

DamusFuturist

5mo ago

Elections will likely be the first area of negotiation. "US and Russia will only negotiate with a President with an electoral mandate". -- Ukrainians will go to the polls in early summer and a new leader will negotiate the peace.

Ferrim

5mo ago

Scheduling them for after 2025 won't qualify, so I'm a no.

Kanybis

5mo ago

Do I have to even explain the logistical nightmare that would be holding an election during a war? Along with the very high chance of interference.

Ukraine election held in 2025?

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Ukraine election held in 2025?

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