Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

$7,079,947 Vol.

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% chance

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Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Rules

Additional context

Updated Mar 24

A mineral deal which grants the United States access or rights to rare earth elements will qualify for a “Yes” resolution even if “rare earths” aren’t specifically named in the deal.

As of the time of this update, the US and Ukraine have not mutually agreed to a qualifying deal. It is too early to resolve this market.

Per the dispute process, this market will be decided by the UMA vote.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States and Ukraine agree to any deal between February 2 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, that explicitly involves Ukrainian rare earth elements. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This includes, but is not limited to, agreements related to the exchange of Ukrainian rare earths for U.S. aid (military or civilian), partnerships involving rare earth metals, future rights to rare earth resources, mining rights, or any other form of cooperation related to rare earth elements.

An announcement of a deal will qualify regardless of if/when the deal is enacted.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US and Ukraine.

Volume

$7,079,947

End Date

Mar 31, 2025

Resolver

0x6A9D222616...

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links, they may be phishing attacks.

sofanalyst

16d ago

SCUM

pyatkin

28d ago

Deal was signed 30 April BTW

Amore1355

1mo ago

LINK BELOW TO SEE HOW POLYMARKET SCAMMED US PLEASE SHARE IT https://x.com/Web3Marmot/status/1904501360558817324

aikko

2mo ago

I'll never claim this market's outcome so everyone who clicks on my profile can see how Polymarket is in bed with UMA.

LVJ

2mo ago

A couple of hours left till the next big scam this time worth 13M USD or more. - https://polymarket.com/event/pakistan-military-strike-on-india-by-friday/pakistan-military-strike-on-india-by-friday

IKNEWIT

3mo ago

How was this resolved this way, I just came to this site interested in placing some bets. This bet that was resolved as yes obviously didn't happen... Polymarket should definitely take accountability for this result. This is the kind of thing that makes me think I should reconsider using this site.

pantheraa

2mo ago

@IKNEWIT

dont use it, you could loose a lot of money even when you win, they decide the outcome, not the real outcome...

Pfauberg

3mo ago

Wow, and here's thel deal signed. The only funny thing is that it's already May 1st, not "before April". Polymarket scammed me out of $400 perfectly. Thx

Policarpo

3mo ago

Are there other cases of such explicit scam on this site?

vanaik

3mo ago

@Policarpo

oh yes

Policarpo

3mo ago

Terrible scam

vegg

3mo ago

lol nice scam

RealDJTrump

3mo ago

Guys, will trump create bitcoin reserve in first 100 days, if that one resolve to No, also be a big SCAM

NETIZENMAUS

3mo ago

scam

Zarzz

3mo ago

https://x.com/Web3Marmot/status/1904501360558817324 https://x.com/Domahhhh/status/1905258165777596812 @repost

Jyggalag

3mo ago

I didn’t even bet on this and yet it’s an obvious scam

amtetat

3mo ago

How is this a yes wtf

Vonotto

3mo ago

stop UMA Scam please

UMAisSCAM

3mo ago

UMA has been, and will continue to be a SCAM. The fact that Polymarket is unwilling to part ways with UMA speaks for itself. I'm winding down my portfolio in a month or 2.

ertutheone

3mo ago

You need to explain this to public and accept the responsibility. Ukraine still did not agree the mineral deal.

mondosenzatetto

3mo ago

Reset this bet, you scammers.

AgressiveP

4mo ago

Can someone please sue these assholes? What the actual fuck.

nanokoko

4mo ago

I quit polymarket because this shit

4mo ago

3mo ago

same, happy i didn’t invest more before learning smth like this can happen on here, makes the whole concept useless

NETIZENMAUS

4mo ago

biggest poly scam

NETIZENMAUS

4mo ago

@NETIZENMAUS

refund my 100usdc

aikko

4mo ago

This has happened many times before and will happen countless times again. Polymarket is a joke

Kinimarket

4mo ago

complete scam, can’t use polymarket seriously, i’m glad i was just testing it out and know this early, won’t be using again.

mondosenzatetto

4mo ago

fucking scam.

whadaheyul

4mo ago

resolved to yes, yet no mineral deal? plus the goal posted shifted? This is ridiculous

Alternates

4mo ago

Looks like the same BS scam rigging of the resolution as with this market as well https://polymarket.com/event/seaair-ceasefire-in-ukraine-before-may/seaair-ceasefire-in-ukraine-before-may?tid=1743546874041 and others

Amore1355

4mo ago

LINK BELOW TO SEE HOW POLYMARKET SCAMMED US PLEASE SHARE IT https://x.com/Web3Marmot/status/1904501360558817324

AnimePrincess28

4mo ago

Told you :) follow fucking whales...

NETIZENMAUS

4mo ago

SCAM

elthomas

4mo ago

Polymarket owes me $240. Sounds like contract fraud. @FBI @DOD @SEC

hslzyd

4mo ago

fucking UMA and fucking polymarket

JODY🩸

4mo ago

Cartman bought a fair amount of no shares and would like a word with ya'll https://youtube.com/shorts/Oidojm7OIYc?si=sG1s2_NAcyFqieH-

JODY🩸

4mo ago

@JODY🩸

If you saw the end of the episode, you're not worried

JODY🩸

4mo ago

Is it possible that Polymarket didn't cancel UMA vote because they knew that Altman would sell his UMA bag if they did ? Like, are they scared of him crashing the price? Very Beta if true..

sofanalyst

4mo ago

NO DEAL, WHERE IS MY WINNING?

Amore1355

4mo ago

LINK BELOW TO SEE HOW POLYMARKET SCAMMED US PLEASE SHARE IT https://x.com/Web3Marmot/status/1904501360558817324

Zarzz

4mo ago

https://x.com/Web3Marmot/status/1904501360558817324

Zarzz

4mo ago

https://x.com/Domahhhh/status/1905258165777596812

Mo0nkage

4mo ago

it still no sign? why it close?

4mo ago

it's a scam

4mo ago

shame on polymarket and uma

UMAisSCAM

4mo ago

UMA has been, and will continue to be a SCAM. The fact that Polymarket is unwilling to part ways with UMA speaks for itself. I'm winding down my portfolio and hopefully can fully exit by Trump's 100d.

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Market Context

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Rules