2020 Iowa: Trump vs. Biden
Key 2020 Races: Senate | IA-1 | IA-2 | IA-3 | IA-4 President: 2016: Trump +9.5 | 2012: Obama +5.8
National | Wisconsin | Florida | Michigan | Pennsylvania | North Carolina | Arizona | Minnesota
| pollster | date | Trump (R) * | Biden (D) | spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | — | 53.2 | 45.0 | Trump+8.2 |
| RCP Average | 10/23 - 11/2 | 47.6 | 45.6 | Trump+2.0 |
| PPP (D) | 11/1 - 11/2 | 48 | 49 | Biden+1 |
| InsiderAdvantage* | 10/30 - 10/30 | 48 | 46 | Trump+2 |
| Emerson | 10/29 - 10/30 | 47 | 46 | Trump+1 |
| Des Moines Register | 10/26 - 10/29 | 48 | 41 | Trump+7 |
| Quinnipiac | 10/23 - 10/27 | 47 | 46 | Trump+1 |
Poll Data
| pollster | date | Trump (R) * | Biden (D) | spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | — | 53.2 | 45.0 | Trump+8.2 |
| RCP Average | 10/23 - 11/2 | 47.6 | 45.6 | Trump+2.0 |
| PPP (D) | 11/1 - 11/2 | 48 | 49 | Biden+1 |
| InsiderAdvantage* | 10/30 - 10/30 | 48 | 46 | Trump+2 |
| Emerson | 10/29 - 10/30 | 47 | 46 | Trump+1 |
| Des Moines Register | 10/26 - 10/29 | 48 | 41 | Trump+7 |
| Quinnipiac | 10/23 - 10/27 | 47 | 46 | Trump+1 |
| Who-TV 13** | 10/21 - 10/24 | 46 | 50 | Biden+4 |
| Emerson | 10/19 - 10/21 | 48 | 46 | Trump+2 |
| NY Times/Siena* | 10/18 - 10/20 | 43 | 46 | Biden+3 |
| InsiderAdvantage* | 10/18 - 10/19 | 45 | 45 | Tie |
| Monmouth* | 10/15 - 10/19 | 47 | 50 | Biden+3 |
| CBS News/YouGov | 10/6 - 10/9 | 49 | 49 | Tie |
| Quinnipiac | 10/1 - 10/5 | 45 | 50 | Biden+5 |
| Who-TV 13** | 9/23 - 9/26 | 46 | 48 | Biden+2 |
| Monmouth* | 9/18 - 9/22 | 49 | 46 | Trump+3 |
| NY Times/Siena* | 9/16 - 9/21 | 42 | 45 | Biden+3 |
| Des Moines Register | 9/14 - 9/17 | 47 | 47 | Tie |
| Monmouth* | 7/30 - 8/3 | 48 | 46 | Trump+2 |
| Des Moines Register | 6/7 - 6/10 | 44 | 43 | Trump+1 |
| PPP (D) | 4/30 - 5/1 | 48 | 46 | Trump+2 |
| Des Moines Register | 3/2 - 3/5 | 51 | 41 | Trump+10 |
| NY Times/Siena | 1/20 - 1/23 | 46 | 44 | Trump+2 |
| PPP (D) | 12/29 - 12/31 | 49 | 46 | Trump+3 |
| Emerson | 12/7 - 12/10 | 49 | 45 | Trump+4 |
| NY Times/Siena | 10/25 - 10/30 | 45 | 44 | Trump+1 |
| Emerson | 10/13 - 10/16 | 51 | 49 | Trump+2 |
| Emerson | 3/21 - 3/24 | 47 | 53 | Biden+6 |
| Emerson | 1/30 - 2/2 | 49 | 51 | Biden+2 |
Political News & Analysis
Who Counts? Trump Poised To Remove Noncitizens From CensusBy the author name Ben Weingarten
Gabbard Cites New U.S. Intel: "Iranian Nuclear Facilities Have Been Destroyed"By the author name Philip Wegmann
Public Libraries Becoming Centers for LGBTQ AdvocacyBy the author name John Murawski
Mamdani's Win Gives NYC Mayor Adams a Shot at a ComebackBy the author name Nahmias, et al.
Educated Bet: MA Schools May Risk Top Ranking To Lift Struggling StudentsBy the author name Vince Bielski
Trump Makes Good on Promise No Nukes for IranBy the author name Philip Wegmann
Newsom Loses in Court, Faces "Tough Tight-Rope" AheadBy the author name Susan Crabtree
Look at the Poll Numbers: It's Almost...NormalBy the author name Byron York
Why So Many Cases vs. Trump Are Heard by Dem-Appointed JudgesBy the author name Ben Weingarten
Democratic Drama: Union Leader Exits Underscore DNC DivisionsBy the author name Julia Manchester
Secret Service Followed Protocol in Padilla IncidentBy the author name Susan Crabtree
What Sen. Hawley Wants From the One Big Beautiful Bill (for Medicaid)By the author name Philip Wegmann
The Rule of Law: A Visit to Immigration CourtBy the author name James Varney
Americans Think Dems Are Clueless on Issue of ImmigrationBy the author name Harry Enten
Friends With Benefits: Stacey Abrams Funneled Millions to Her LawyerBy the author name Paul Sperry
Newsom Gambles With Showdown Over RiotsBy the author name Susan Crabtree
"One Big Beautiful Breakup": Musk and Trump Burn Down Their BromanceBy the author name Philip Wegmann
Democrats Are Stuck in a "Cringe Trap"By the author name Amy Walter
USSS Ordered Destruction of White House Cocaine Day After Closing CaseBy the author name Susan Crabtree
Musk Defiance of Trump Gives Fiscal Hawks Breathing RoomBy the author name Philip Wegmann
Universities' Nightmare ScenarioBy the author name Liz Hoffman
Building the Future: Fixing the Housing CrisisBy the author name Kotkin & Cox
Together JD Vance and Marco Rubio Toast the New RightBy the author name Philip Wegmann
Shapiro Calls Trump U.S. Steel Deal a "BFD"By the author name Salena Zito
Trump Admin Institutes 80-Hour Constitution Course for "Deep State" ExecsBy the author name Philip Wegmann
It's an Anxious Time To Be a DemocratBy the author name Mike Lillis
California High School Could Test Trump's "Anti-Indoctrination Order"By the author name Susan Crabtree
Why Is Trump Approval Rising?By the author name Byron York
Locked Out of the Dream: Regulation Making Homes UnaffordableBy the author name Kotkin & Cox
Obama World Loses Its Shine in a Hurting Democratic PartyBy the author name Korecki, et al.
Burgum Warns Whoever Wins AI Race "Controls the World"By the author name Philip Wegmann
Sins of Omission in PollingBy the author name Salena Zito
Spotlight on Biden Reopens Democratic Party's WoundsBy the author name David Smith
Wasting Away in Wind-and-SolarvilleBy the author name James Varney
Think Tank Staffing Trump 2.0: America First Policy InstituteBy the author name Philip Wegmann
Sen. Banks: "Vance Will Be the Nominee in 2028--Mark My Words"By the author name Byron York
7 Takeaways From Trump's Middle East TripBy the author name Klein, et al.
Unbridled: How Massive Pentagon Spending Happens by DesignBy the author name Ivry & Portnoy
"You Should Be Celebrating": Trump Kennedy Center Rolls Eyes at Union PushBy the author name Philip Wegmann
In "Weird" Austin, a Double Shot of Academic Counter-RevolutionBy the author name John Murawski
Next 100 Days: Democrats Have a ProblemBy the author name Olivier Knox
Sen. Banks: A Trade Warrior After Trump's Own HeartBy the author name Philip Wegmann
With Another Role in His Portfolio, Rubio AscendsBy the author name Liptak & Zeleny
Ric Grenell's Favorite Yet "Unsexy" Role: Registering California VotersBy the author name Susan Crabtree
"No Participation Trophies": Trump Revamps Performance ReviewsBy the author name Philip Wegmann
How To Measure Trump's 100 Days?By the author name Byron York
Dems Take Stock of Lessons Learned in Trump's First 100 DaysBy the author name Dovere, et al.
Illegal Immigration Hunt Digs Into IRS and Social SecurityBy the author name Ben Weingarten
Zeldin Demands Mexico Act on Cross-Border SewageBy the author name Susan Crabtree
Hegseth Turns to His Mission To Reshape the MilitaryBy the author name Salena Zito
Another Thing Folks Like About the South: Public Education's RevivalBy the author name Vince Bielski
Democrats' Crises Begin To Play Out in Early Senate RecruitmentBy the author name Edward-Isaac Dovere
Brutal Juxtaposition: Mother of Woman Slain by Illegal Slams Van HollenBy the author name Philip Wegmann
The Remarkable Rags-to-Riches Story of Stacey AbramsBy the author name Paul Sperry
Casualties of America's Loss of Glassware Manufacturing to ChinaBy the author name Salena Zito
Former Secret Service Chief Remains on Agency PayrollBy the author name Susan Crabtree
Multiplication, Biden-Style: School Bias Cases DoubledBy the author name James Varney
Data Shows Democrats Are No Longer Seen as the Party of the PeopleBy the author name Harry Enten
Trump Succeeding Broadly on Immigration, a Huge Winner for AdministrationBy the author name Brit Hume
A Tale of Two Sanctuary CitiesBy the author name Susan Crabtree
"Bond Market Death Spiral" Vance Feared Would Be "Devastating" to TrumpBy the author name Philip Wegmann
Paying the Cost for Investigating Tax Cheat Hunter BidenBy the author name Nancy Rommelmann
Trump's 'First Term Energy'By the author name Waters & Liddell
Retribution: Sen. Eric Schmitt Believes Censors Are 'On the Run'By the author name Philip Wegmann
Reversal of Fortune in Homer City: New Project a 'Game Changer'By the author name Salena Zito
Wisconsin Voter ID Win Buoys California GOP ActivistsBy the author name Susan Crabtree
Revealed: Social-Media Millions That Couldn't Sync 'Brat' With 'Democrat'By the author name Lee Fang
Ruy Teixeira Seeks To 'De-Brahminize' the LeftBy the author name Peter Berkowitz
America Gets Even: Trump Launches 'Reciprocal Tariffs'By the author name Philip Wegmann
Interview With Elon Musk and the DOGE TeamBy the author name Bret Baier
Democrats Talk Change, Few Seem Willing To Make a LeapBy the author name Holly Otterbein
Americans Who Think We're on the Right Track 'Through The Roof'By the author name Harry Enten
McMahon Threatens Newsom Over Transgender AthletesBy the author name Susan Crabtree
Soda Wars: Inside "Pay-To-Post" Campaign Pitting MAGA Against MAHABy the author name Philip Wegmann
With Record Low Approval, How Can Democrats Recover?By the author name Mark Penn
Why the Wisconsin Supreme Court Election Matters for National PoliticsBy the author name Jonathan Draeger
How Los Angeles Is Getting Scorched by Its Homeless ProblemBy the author name Ana Kasparian
Injunction Dysfunction? Trump-Era Judicial Paralysis ExplainedBy the author name Ben Weingarten
Trump Delivers on Reagan's Promise To Dismantle Education DepartmentBy the author name Philip Wegmann
The Only Thing That Will Save Democrats in Age of TrumpBy the author name Mark Penn
Inside and Outside Senate, Democrats Begin To Lose Faith in SchumerBy the author name Dovere & Grayer
Trump Pollster: Tudor Dixon Leads Mike Rogers Among Michigan BaseBy the author name Philip Wegmann
How Biden's Record Crippled the Harris CampaignBy the author name Amie Parnes
A New Beltway Mystery: Follow the Biden EPA MoneyBy the author name James Varney
Newsom’s Wife Recently Partnered With Pro-Transgender Athlete GroupBy the author name Susan Crabtree
Americans Are in Love With the Idea of Cutting Government SpendingBy the author name Harry Enten
Vibe Shift: White House Says Stock Market ‘Not Driving Force’By the author name Philip Wegmann
Democrats Look Silly and Their Numbers Are Really TankingBy the author name Mark Penn
Trump Addresses Joint Session as Dems Protest His ‘Common-Sense Revolution’By the author name Philip Wegmann
Slotkin: America Needs ‘Responsible,’ Not ‘Reckless’ ChangeBy the author name Susan Crabtree
Steep Increases in Energy Bills Fuel Backlash to Green AgendaBy the author name Susan Ferrechio
Chicago Poll: 80% Disapprove of Mayor Johnson, Crime Top IssueBy the author name Jonathan Draeger
2024 and Harris' Defeat: The Recriminations ContinueBy the author name James Antle
The Vice President Has an X HabitBy the author name Philip Wegmann
Voters Are Reevaluating the Democrats, and They Are FallingBy the author name Mark Penn
Birthright Citizenship Likely To Be Resolved by the Supreme CourtBy the author name Paul Thacker
DOGE Bros: Trump and Musk Tell Hannity the 'Bromance' EnduresBy the author name Philip Wegmann
VA, NJ 2025 Gov. Results Likely To Mirror National MoodBy the author name Jonathan Draeger
Trump Gets Broad Backing for Illegal Immigration CrackdownBy the author name Terry Jones
'The Realignment': GOP Sen. Hawley To Introduce Pro-Union LegislationBy the author name Philip Wegmann
Gallup: More Democrats Say They Would Like Party To Be More ModerateBy the author name Megan Brenan
Scott Presler Keeps His Foot on the Pedal in PennsylvaniaBy the author name Salena Zito
Exclusive: RealClearOpinion Poll, A 2024 Election PostmortemBy the author name Jonathan Draeger
Trump Has Positive Job Approval Amid 'Energetic' Opening WeeksBy the author name Salvanto, et al.
'I Don't Care, Margaret': JD Vance's MAGA Mic Drop MomentBy the author name Philip Wegmann
Exclusive: New Jersey Gubernatorial Republican Primary PollBy the author name Jonathan Draeger
What Is Behind the Simmering Information War on PollingBy the author name Salena Zito
Democrats Are in Trouble, and They Face Hard Choices AheadBy the author name Dan Balz
A Massive Shift to the Right Over Last Decade on Immigration ViewsBy the author name Harry Enten
The Enduring "c"onservative MajorityBy the author name Sean Trende
Trump More Popular Now Than Ever BeforeBy the author name Jonathan Draeger
Behind-the-Scenes Aide Narrates Trump's Day One Executive ActionsBy the author name Philip Wegmann
Battle Lines Drawn on Trump's Border CrackdownBy the author name Susan Crabtree
Los Angeles Fires Fuel Petitions Against California Officials By the author name Jonathan Draeger
The Second Era of Trump BeginsBy the author name Philip Wegmann
Inauguration Day Spotlights America's Perpetual PromiseBy the author name Bret Baier
'Don't Know' and 'Nobody' Are the Dem FrontrunnersBy the author name David Paleologos
Senate Democrats Fail To Rattle HegsethBy the author name Philip Wegmann
Wildfires Put Spotlight on CA Water Policies, Inept PreparationBy the author name Susan Crabtree
Trump Calls Fetterman Impressive After Meeting By the author name Salena Zito
This Is Not Going To Be a Time of Resistance Like It Was in 2017By the author name Donna Brazile
On the March, School Choice Takes Its Fight From Red, Right to BlueBy the author name Vince Bielski
Dems Are Still Squabbling Over Lessons From Harris DefeatBy the author name Emily Ngo
A Now-Viral Encounter That May Come To Define Bass' MayoraltyBy the author name Julia Wick
Panama Canal Fixation Isn't New, and It's Not Just Trump's - PhilipBy the author name Philip Wegmann
Every Week
The Takeaway
A special edition RCP newsletter that keeps you in the know on all the latest polls this election season.
