2024 Wisconsin Senate - Hovde vs. Baldwin
| pollster | date | Baldwin (D) * | Hovde (R) | spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | — | 49.4 | 48.5 | Baldwin+0.9 |
| RCP Average | 10/16 - 11/4 | 48.9 | 47.1 | Baldwin+1.8 |
| Atlas Intel | 11/3 - 11/4 | 49 | 48 | Baldwin+1 |
| Trafalgar Group (R) | 11/1 - 11/3 | 48 | 48 | Tie |
| InsiderAdvantage | 11/1 - 11/2 | 47 | 48 | Hovde+1 |
| The Hill/Emerson | 10/30 - 11/2 | 51 | 45 | Baldwin+6 |
| NY Times/Siena | 10/25 - 11/2 | 50 | 46 | Baldwin+4 |
| Marist | 10/27 - 10/30 | 51 | 48 | Baldwin+3 |
| Echelon Insights | 10/27 - 10/30 | 49 | 48 | Baldwin+1 |
| AmGreatness/TIPP | 10/28 - 10/30 | 48 | 46 | Baldwin+2 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 10/25 - 10/29 | 47 | 47 | Tie |
| CNN | 10/23 - 10/28 | 49 | 47 | Baldwin+2 |
| Morning Consult | 10/21 - 10/30 | 49 | 47 | Baldwin+2 |
| USA Today/Suffolk | 10/20 - 10/23 | 46 | 44 | Baldwin+2 |
| Marquette | 10/16 - 10/24 | 51 | 49 | Baldwin+2 |
| Quinnipiac | 10/17 - 10/21 | 49 | 48 | Baldwin+1 |
2024 Post-Election Polling Analysis
Why Many Were Correct in Thinking Trump Would Run Away With Electoral College Ken Bensinger & Kaleigh Rogers, New York Times
How America’s Accurate Election Polls Were Suppressed in Front of the Election Matt Tabblit, Racket News
What is Behind the Simmering Information War on Polling Salena Zito, Washington Examiner
Poll Data
| pollster | date | Baldwin (D) * | Hovde (R) | spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | — | 49.4 | 48.5 | Baldwin+0.9 |
| RCP Average | 10/16 - 11/4 | 48.9 | 47.1 | Baldwin+1.8 |
| Atlas Intel | 11/3 - 11/4 | 49 | 48 | Baldwin+1 |
| Trafalgar Group (R) | 11/1 - 11/3 | 48 | 48 | Tie |
| InsiderAdvantage | 11/1 - 11/2 | 47 | 48 | Hovde+1 |
| Atlas Intel | 11/1 - 11/2 | 49 | 48 | Baldwin+1 |
| The Hill/Emerson | 10/30 - 11/2 | 51 | 45 | Baldwin+6 |
| NY Times/Siena | 10/25 - 11/2 | 50 | 46 | Baldwin+4 |
| Marist | 10/27 - 10/30 | 51 | 48 | Baldwin+3 |
| Echelon Insights | 10/27 - 10/30 | 49 | 48 | Baldwin+1 |
| Atlas Intel | 10/30 - 10/31 | 49 | 49 | Tie |
| AmGreatness/TIPP | 10/28 - 10/30 | 48 | 46 | Baldwin+2 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 10/25 - 10/29 | 47 | 47 | Tie |
| Atlas Intel | 10/25 - 10/29 | 49 | 48 | Baldwin+1 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 10/26 - 10/27 | 48 | 49 | Hovde+1 |
| CNN | 10/23 - 10/28 | 49 | 47 | Baldwin+2 |
| Morning Consult | 10/21 - 10/30 | 49 | 47 | Baldwin+2 |
| USA Today/Suffolk | 10/20 - 10/23 | 46 | 44 | Baldwin+2 |
| Emerson | 10/21 - 10/22 | 48 | 48 | Tie |
| Marquette | 10/16 - 10/24 | 51 | 49 | Baldwin+2 |
| Quinnipiac | 10/17 - 10/21 | 49 | 48 | Baldwin+1 |
| Trafalgar Group (R) | 10/18 - 10/20 | 48 | 49 | Hovde+1 |
| Atlas Intel | 10/12 - 10/17 | 49 | 46 | Baldwin+3 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 10/9 - 10/14 | 46 | 45 | Baldwin+1 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 10/8 - 10/9 | 48 | 47 | Baldwin+1 |
| The Hill/Emerson | 10/5 - 10/8 | 50 | 46 | Baldwin+4 |
| Quinnipiac | 10/3 - 10/7 | 50 | 46 | Baldwin+4 |
| Trafalgar Group (R) | 9/28 - 9/30 | 48 | 46 | Baldwin+2 |
| NY Times/Siena | 9/21 - 9/26 | 50 | 43 | Baldwin+7 |
| Atlas Intel | 9/20 - 9/25 | 48 | 47 | Baldwin+1 |
| Cook Political Report | 9/19 - 9/25 | 49 | 47 | Baldwin+2 |
| Marquette | 9/18 - 9/26 | 53 | 46 | Baldwin+7 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 9/19 - 9/22 | 49 | 45 | Baldwin+4 |
| Remington Research (R) | 9/16 - 9/20 | 49 | 47 | Baldwin+2 |
| The Hill/Emerson | 9/15 - 9/18 | 49 | 46 | Baldwin+3 |
| Marist | 9/12 - 9/17 | 51 | 48 | Baldwin+3 |
| Quinnipiac | 9/12 - 9/16 | 51 | 47 | Baldwin+4 |
| Fabrizio/Anzalone | 9/11 - 9/14 | 50 | 47 | Baldwin+3 |
| CBS News | 9/3 - 9/6 | 51 | 43 | Baldwin+8 |
| Marquette | 8/28 - 9/5 | 52 | 47 | Baldwin+5 |
| Trafalgar Group (R) | 8/28 - 8/30 | 50 | 44 | Baldwin+6 |
| CNN | 8/23 - 8/29 | 51 | 45 | Baldwin+6 |
| The Hill/Emerson | 8/25 - 8/28 | 49 | 48 | Baldwin+1 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 8/13 - 8/19 | 52 | 42 | Baldwin+10 |
| AmGreatness/TIPP | 8/12 - 8/14 | 50 | 42 | Baldwin+8 |
| NY Times/Siena | 8/5 - 8/8 | 51 | 44 | Baldwin+7 |
| Cook Political Report | 7/26 - 8/2 | 50 | 43 | Baldwin+7 |
| Marquette | 7/24 - 8/1 | 52 | 47 | Baldwin+5 |
| FOX News | 7/22 - 7/24 | 54 | 43 | Baldwin+11 |
| The Hill/Emerson | 7/22 - 7/23 | 49 | 43 | Baldwin+6 |
| PPP (D) | 7/10 - 7/11 | 51 | 43 | Baldwin+8 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 7/5 - 7/12 | 47 | 43 | Baldwin+4 |
| The Times/SAY | 7/4 - 7/12 | 50 | 43 | Baldwin+7 |
| AmGreatness/NSOR | 7/6 - 7/10 | 49 | 41 | Baldwin+8 |
| Remington Research (R) | 6/29 - 7/1 | 48 | 48 | Tie |
| Fabrizio/Anzalone | 6/28 - 7/2 | 50 | 45 | Baldwin+5 |
| Marquette | 6/12 - 6/20 | 45 | 38 | Baldwin+7 |
| The Hill/Emerson | 6/13 - 6/18 | 46 | 44 | Baldwin+2 |
| Cook Political Report | 5/6 - 5/13 | 49 | 37 | Baldwin+12 |
| Quinnipiac | 5/2 - 5/6 | 54 | 42 | Baldwin+12 |
| NY Times/Siena | 4/28 - 5/9 | 49 | 42 | Baldwin+7 |
| The Hill/Emerson | 4/25 - 4/29 | 46 | 43 | Baldwin+3 |
| CBS News | 4/19 - 4/25 | 48 | 41 | Baldwin+7 |
| Marquette | 4/3 - 4/10 | 52 | 47 | Baldwin+5 |
| The Hill/Emerson | 3/14 - 3/18 | 45 | 42 | Baldwin+3 |
| The Hill/Emerson | 2/20 - 2/24 | 46 | 39 | Baldwin+7 |
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The Takeaway
A special edition RCP newsletter that keeps you in the know on all the latest polls this election season.
