Which party will win the U.S. Senate next year?

ALL

2026

Chance

$1,860,391vol

Republican Party

68%

Republican Party

68%

Democratic Party

32%

Democratic Party

32%

Rules summary for

Republican Party

If the Republican party has won control of the U.S. Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.

Victory will be determined by the party identification of the Speaker of the House and the President pro tempore of the Senate on February 1, 2027. Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

Trading prohibitions

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