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Who’s ahead in Virginia?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Virginia, 2024

June 1-3
1,107RV
June 1-3
1,107RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

41%

Kennedy

9%

West

2%

Stein

2%
41%
TrumpBiden+1
June 1-3
1,107RV
June 1-3
1,107RV
Biden
48%
Biden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Even
May 12-21
711LV
May 12-21
711LV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

38%

Kennedy

8%

Stein

3%
38%
TrumpBiden+2
May 12-21
711LV
May 12-21
711LV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

42%
42%
Trump  Even
April 29-May 1
800LV
April 29-May 1
800LV
Biden
48%
Biden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Biden+4
April 29-May 1
800LV
April 29-May 1
800LV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

41%

Stein

3%

Mapstead

2%
41%
TrumpBiden+1
April 29-May 1
800LV
April 29-May 1
800LV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

37%

Kennedy

8%

Stein

2%

West

1%

Mapstead

0%
37%
TrumpBiden+3
April 26-28
500RV
April 26-28
500RV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

42%
42%
Trump  Biden+1
April 13-21
586LV
April 13-21
586LV
Kennedy
43%
Kennedy
43%

Kennedy

43%

Trump

41%
41%
Trump  Kennedy+2
April 13-21
586LV
April 13-21
586LV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Kennedy

47%
47%
Kennedy  Kennedy+5
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Candidate is an incumbent

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The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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