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California Republican Primary Election Results

Winner Winner

Donald J. Trump wins the California Republican primary.

Race called by The Associated Press.

Latest results from 12:00 PM ET
49% of votes in

Republican Primary race called

Republican Primary
Candidate Votes Percent Chart showing percent Delegates
Donald J. TrumpD. TrumpTrump Winner
1,081,736 78.6% 169
Nikki HaleyN. HaleyHaley
246,325 17.9 No delegates
Ron DeSantisR. DeSantisDeSantis
20,788 1.5 No delegates
Total reported
1,376,907

100% of delegates allocated (169 of 169)

New update

Analysis from our reporters

New update

Analysis from our reporters

San FranciscoSan JoseSacramentoFresnoSan DiegoLos AngelesSan FranciscoSan JoseSacramentoFresnoSan DiegoLos Angeles
New update

Analysis from our reporters

Where votes have been reported and where votes remain

These maps show the leading candidates’ margins in the vote reported so far, and estimates for which candidate leads in the remaining votes that we expect from each place.

Votes reported

Estimated votes remaining

We stopped updating our estimates. This map is now archived.

Votes reported and estimated votes remaining
County Trump Haley DeSantis Total votes Percent of votes in
Alameda 73% 22% 2% 14,554 29%
Mendocino 76 19 2 1,760 30%
Kern 85 12 1 24,231 31%
Sacramento 76 20 2 38,038 32%
Marin 62 33 2 5,836 32%
Napa 69 26 2 4,310 33%
San Benito 84 14 1 1,649 33%
Shasta 83 14 1 12,588 36%
Imperial 84 12 2 2,318 37%
Placer 78 19 2 32,724 39%
San Luis Obispo 75 21 2 18,887 39%
Inyo 82 15 1 1,353 39%
Alpine 71 28 0 99 39%
Santa Clara 69 26 2 42,081 42%
Lake 84 12 1 2,686 42%
Trinity 80 16 2 795 42%
Mono 77 19 3 639 42%
San Francisco 64 30 2 10,390 43%
Nevada 79 19 1 8,478 43%
Colusa 82 14 2 1,074 43%
Sonoma 69 26 2 16,301 44%
Monterey 73 23 1 9,826 44%
Riverside 83 14 1 91,390 45%
Yuba 86 11 2 3,537 45%
Sutter 83 15 1 5,805 46%
San Diego 78 19 1 159,393 47%
Contra Costa 70 25 2 35,824 47%
San Joaquin 82 15 1 25,077 47%
Stanislaus 84 14 1 20,804 47%
Santa Barbara 74 22 2 18,116 47%
Tehama 87 11 1 4,880 47%
Lassen 87 10 1 2,378 47%
San Mateo 68 27 2 18,752 48%
Yolo 73 23 2 6,698 48%
Fresno 82 15 2 39,413 50%
Madera 84 13 2 8,585 50%
Merced 85 12 1 8,323 50%
Santa Cruz 68 28 2 8,011 50%
Plumas 82 15 1 2,633 50%
Del Norte 86 11 1 1,570 50%
El Dorado 78 18 2 19,655 52%
Butte 80 17 1 13,815 52%
Humboldt 79 17 1 6,100 52%
Siskiyou 83 13 2 4,094 52%
Glenn 85 13 1 2,001 52%
Orange 79 18 1 185,034 53%
Ventura 77 20 1 44,961 53%
San Bernardino 85 12 1 66,832 54%
Tulare 84 13 2 18,702 55%
Calaveras 84 13 1 6,115 56%
Tuolumne 85 12 2 6,836 57%
Amador 83 14 1 5,979 57%
Sierra 86 11 2 552 62%
Mariposa 86 12 1 2,569 63%
Modoc 89 10 1 1,349 65%
Kings 86 11 2 7,975 66%
Solano 80 17 2 18,516 67%
Los Angeles 78 18 2 254,016 68%

We stopped updating our estimates. These graphics and estimates are now showing archived data.

Live forecast

This is our current best estimate for the outcome of this race. We look at the votes that have been reported so far and adjust our estimate based on what we expect from the votes that remain. Read more about how it works.

Estimated margin

Needle chart shows the New York Times forecast+60+50+40+30+20+10+10+20+30+40+50+60

Trump +51

Trump +35 to Trump +63

Estimating the final vote shares for Trump and Haley

This chart shows the range of estimates for the leading candidates’ shares of the final vote. As more votes are reported, the ranges should narrow as our statistical model becomes more confident.

Estimated and reported final vote share
Candidate Reported
vote share
Estimate of final vote share Needle chart
Donald J. TrumpD. TrumpTrump
79% 74% 66% to 80%
Nikki HaleyN. HaleyHaley
18% 23% 17% to 31%

How our estimates changed over time

Once a state has counted all its votes, our estimated margin and the reported margin will match. As a rule, when our estimated margin is steady in the presence of new data, our forecast is more trustworthy.

How our final margin estimate has changed so far

NYT estimate Reported vote share
Chart showing changes in the estimated margin over time+60 +40 +20 Even 11 PM 2:29 AM ET

Share of expected turnout reported

Chart showing changes in the total expected vote over time 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 11 PM 2:29 AM ET

What’s powering our forecast right now?

Our election model makes use of three indicators in creating an estimate of the final result.

Pre-election polls

25%

Our model

27%

Actual results

47%

  • Pre-election polls: At the start of the night, our estimate is based on pre-election polls, results of past elections and demographic data.
  • Our model: As results come in, we compare actual results in places that have mostly completed reporting to our pre-election estimates to create a statistical model for the remaining vote.
  • Actual results: As a county reports more of its vote, those actual results will gradually supersede our previous estimates.

Share of vote by county

What to expect

Polls close at 11 p.m. Eastern time. In the 2022 state primaries, first results were reported 11 minutes later, and the last update of the night was at 6:10 a.m. Eastern time with 48 percent of votes reported.

All active registered voters were mailed a ballot, which must be postmarked by Election Day and received by March 12. Early in-person voting was also available.

California is one of five states on Tuesday holding primaries for the presidential race as well as its state primary. In state and congressional primaries, candidates from all parties are listed on one ballot, and the top two vote-getters advance to the general election. In the presidential primary, Republican voters were required to be registered with their party to vote for its nominee, but Democrats and unaffiliated voters could participate in the Democratic election.

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