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Cross-Tabs: February 2024 Times/Siena Poll of Registered Voters Nationwide

Donald Trump leads Joe Biden, 48 percent to 43 percent, among registered voters.

Toplines | Registered Voter Cross-Tabs | Likely Electorate Cross-Tabs

Do you think the United States is on the right track, or is it headed in the wrong direction?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Right track

24%

28%

19%

23%

20%

22%

30%

22%

28%

29%

24%

27%

22%

27%

19%

29%

26%

18%

24%

24%

28%

31%

25%

17%

44%

7%

15%

47%

10%

19%

41%

4%

21%

Wrong direction

65%

62%

68%

66%

66%

68%

58%

69%

57%

57%

60%

62%

67%

65%

71%

54%

60%

70%

61%

67%

61%

54%

64%

74%

42%

86%

67%

42%

85%

65%

47%

92%

58%

[VOLUNTEERED] Don't know/Refused

11%

10%

12%

10%

14%

10%

11%

10%

14%

14%

16%

11%

12%

8%

11%

17%

14%

12%

15%

9%

11%

14%

11%

9%

14%

7%

18%

11%

5%

16%

11%

4%

21%

Number of respondents

980

492

478

159

251

328

189

607

119

154

81

451

523

296

310

146

205

212

218

344

206

241

401

338

412

475

93

281

278

312

409

317

171

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

32%

24%

63%

11%

15%

9%

38%

61%

25%

38%

12%

23%

22%

20%

35%

23%

24%

41%

35%

43%

48%

10%

28%

30%

32%

42%

33%

17%

 

Thinking ahead to the presidential general election, are you almost certain that you will vote, very likely to vote, somewhat likely to vote, not very likely to vote or not at all likely to vote?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Almost certain

51%

54%

47%

33%

47%

54%

65%

58%

40%

30%

44%

57%

47%

60%

56%

49%

31%

63%

55%

46%

42%

46%

50%

55%

55%

51%

25%

54%

56%

50%

57%

61%

19%

Very likely

32%

30%

34%

41%

34%

32%

24%

30%

35%

40%

32%

31%

32%

30%

30%

37%

36%

25%

27%

35%

39%

33%

34%

28%

30%

34%

31%

33%

34%

29%

31%

33%

33%

Somewhat likely

7%

6%

9%

17%

6%

6%

5%

5%

13%

11%

9%

4%

10%

3%

7%

6%

14%

5%

5%

9%

9%

8%

6%

9%

7%

6%

17%

8%

5%

9%

5%

4%

18%

Not very likely

3%

4%

2%

2%

7%

2%

1%

3%

5%

5%

0%

3%

3%

3%

2%

4%

4%

3%

5%

3%

2%

3%

3%

2%

2%

3%

6%

1%

<.5%

6%

3%

<.5%

9%

Not at all likely

5%

4%

6%

6%

7%

4%

2%

3%

4%

11%

11%

3%

6%

2%

4%

4%

11%

4%

7%

5%

6%

8%

5%

4%

3%

5%

16%

2%

3%

6%

3%

<1%

20%

[VOL] Already voted

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

2%

3%

<1%

<.5%

<1%

3%

2%

1%

3%

2%

3%

1%

2%

1%

<1%

1%

4%

0%

2%

2%

3%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

4%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

Number of respondents

980

492

478

159

251

328

189

607

119

154

81

451

523

296

310

146

205

212

218

344

206

241

401

338

412

475

93

281

278

312

409

317

171

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

32%

24%

63%

11%

15%

9%

38%

61%

25%

38%

12%

23%

22%

20%

35%

23%

24%

41%

35%

43%

48%

10%

28%

30%

32%

42%

33%

17%

 

(Includes leaners) If the 2024 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were:

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Joe Biden, the Democrat

43%

40%

46%

53%

41%

36%

49%

40%

66%

40%

43%

54%

36%

55%

29%

52%

47%

39%

43%

40%

49%

56%

46%

29%

100%

0%

0%

90%

6%

42%

83%

<.5%

33%

Donald Trump, the Republican

48%

49%

46%

41%

48%

54%

43%

53%

23%

46%

45%

38%

54%

40%

62%

33%

41%

55%

42%

50%

42%

34%

44%

62%

0%

100%

0%

8%

91%

42%

10%

97%

49%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

10%

11%

8%

6%

11%

10%

8%

8%

11%

14%

12%

8%

11%

5%

10%

15%

11%

6%

16%

9%

8%

10%

10%

9%

0%

0%

100%

3%

3%

16%

6%

3%

18%

Number of respondents

980

492

478

159

251

328

189

607

119

154

81

451

523

296

310

146

205

212

218

344

206

241

401

338

412

475

93

281

278

312

409

317

171

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

32%

24%

63%

11%

15%

9%

38%

61%

25%

38%

12%

23%

22%

20%

35%

23%

24%

41%

35%

43%

48%

10%

28%

30%

32%

42%

33%

17%

 

And who would you vote for if the candidates were:

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Joe Biden, the Democrat

35%

33%

38%

42%

35%

28%

41%

32%

55%

31%

41%

47%

28%

47%

23%

47%

38%

30%

40%

32%

41%

49%

38%

23%

79%

3%

3%

80%

2%

34%

69%

1%

24%

Nikki Haley, the Republican

45%

46%

45%

36%

42%

56%

44%

52%

28%

43%

29%

39%

49%

44%

57%

31%

38%

48%

41%

49%

40%

33%

42%

58%

15%

74%

39%

14%

79%

44%

21%

74%

51%

[VOL] Another candidate

4%

5%

3%

7%

4%

4%

2%

3%

2%

9%

10%

4%

4%

2%

3%

6%

7%

4%

4%

3%

5%

3%

5%

3%

<1%

6%

7%

<1%

6%

5%

1%

8%

5%

[VOL] Not going to vote/wouldn't vote if those were the choices

9%

9%

9%

8%

11%

8%

8%

9%

5%

9%

13%

6%

10%

4%

12%

10%

7%

11%

9%

9%

7%

6%

9%

10%

<1%

14%

22%

<1%

11%

9%

4%

14%

8%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

6%

7%

6%

6%

8%

4%

5%

5%

10%

8%

6%

4%

8%

3%

6%

6%

10%

7%

5%

7%

6%

9%

6%

5%

5%

3%

28%

3%

3%

8%

5%

2%

12%

Number of respondents

980

492

478

159

251

328

189

607

119

154

81

451

523

296

310

146

205

212

218

344

206

241

401

338

412

475

93

281

278

312

409

317

171

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

32%

24%

63%

11%

15%

9%

38%

61%

25%

38%

12%

23%

22%

20%

35%

23%

24%

41%

35%

43%

48%

10%

28%

30%

32%

42%

33%

17%

 

And who would you vote for if the candidates were:

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Kamala [COMMA-luh] Harris, the Democrat

41%

37%

45%

49%

41%

36%

47%

38%

72%

33%

43%

52%

35%

52%

29%

53%

46%

36%

42%

39%

48%

53%

46%

27%

91%

3%

14%

89%

6%

40%

81%

<1%

32%

Donald Trump, the Republican

47%

49%

46%

42%

48%

54%

43%

53%

21%

47%

42%

37%

54%

39%

62%

33%

40%

56%

43%

49%

41%

35%

42%

62%

3%

95%

7%

7%

90%

43%

11%

95%

48%

[VOL] Another candidate

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<.5%

2%

4%

2%

<1%

2%

<.5%

3%

1%

2%

1%

1%

<1%

1%

<1%

2%

<1%

<1%

6%

<1%

<.5%

2%

<1%

<1%

2%

[VOL] Not going to vote/wouldn't vote if those were the choices

5%

6%

4%

5%

5%

4%

4%

5%

1%

7%

5%

5%

5%

5%

4%

5%

5%

3%

9%

4%

5%

4%

6%

4%

2%

<.5%

41%

1%

1%

9%

4%

2%

10%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

5%

6%

4%

3%

4%

6%

5%

4%

6%

11%

6%

4%

6%

3%

4%

7%

8%

4%

5%

6%

5%

6%

5%

5%

3%

1%

32%

3%

2%

6%

3%

1%

9%

Number of respondents

980

492

478

159

251

328

189

607

119

154

81

451

523

296

310

146

205

212

218

344

206

241

401

338

412

475

93

281

278

312

409

317

171

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

32%

24%

63%

11%

15%

9%

38%

61%

25%

38%

12%

23%

22%

20%

35%

23%

24%

41%

35%

43%

48%

10%

28%

30%

32%

42%

33%

17%

 

(Recoded to age) In what year were you born?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

18-29

16%

16%

16%

100%

0%

0%

0%

12%

22%

29%

19%

14%

17%

10%

13%

25%

24%

9%

18%

18%

17%

17%

18%

13%

20%

14%

10%

18%

12%

17%

15%

10%

31%

30-44

23%

25%

22%

0%

100%

0%

0%

22%

28%

25%

25%

29%

19%

29%

17%

32%

23%

30%

22%

21%

22%

28%

23%

20%

22%

23%

26%

24%

19%

24%

23%

19%

32%

45-64

32%

32%

31%

0%

0%

100%

0%

33%

27%

31%

32%

31%

32%

33%

33%

28%

32%

29%

34%

32%

31%

29%

32%

32%

26%

36%

32%

33%

37%

28%

31%

40%

22%

65+

24%

22%

25%

0%

0%

0%

100%

29%

20%

7%

12%

21%

25%

24%

33%

10%

13%

28%

20%

24%

23%

17%

22%

30%

27%

21%

19%

23%

26%

25%

28%

25%

12%

Refused

6%

5%

7%

0%

0%

0%

0%

5%

3%

8%

13%

4%

6%

4%

5%

5%

8%

4%

6%

5%

7%

9%

4%

5%

4%

5%

13%

3%

7%

5%

4%

6%

3%

Number of respondents

980

492

478

159

251

328

189

607

119

154

81

451

523

296

310

146

205

212

218

344

206

241

401

338

412

475

93

281

278

312

409

317

171

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

32%

24%

63%

11%

15%

9%

38%

61%

25%

38%

12%

23%

22%

20%

35%

23%

24%

41%

35%

43%

48%

10%

28%

30%

32%

42%

33%

17%

 

What is the highest educational level that you have completed?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Grade school

2%

4%

1%

<1%

<1%

3%

3%

2%

2%

4%

5%

0%

4%

0%

3%

0%

6%

2%

3%

2%

3%

2%

2%

3%

<.5%

4%

4%

1%

4%

1%

<1%

3%

6%

High school

28%

26%

31%

38%

18%

29%

33%

28%

31%

36%

20%

0%

47%

0%

47%

0%

47%

34%

27%

30%

22%

28%

25%

33%

26%

30%

30%

25%

32%

26%

22%

30%

35%

Vocational or trade school

4%

5%

3%

2%

6%

3%

6%

4%

8%

3%

<1%

0%

7%

0%

7%

0%

6%

7%

2%

4%

3%

4%

2%

7%

3%

5%

4%

4%

5%

4%

3%

5%

6%

Some college, no degree

16%

16%

16%

16%

15%

17%

17%

15%

21%

17%

18%

0%

27%

0%

25%

0%

29%

16%

16%

17%

16%

17%

15%

18%

14%

17%

23%

15%

16%

18%

15%

17%

19%

Associate’s degree

10%

8%

11%

9%

11%

11%

7%

11%

9%

10%

4%

0%

16%

0%

18%

0%

13%

10%

7%

12%

9%

6%

11%

11%

8%

12%

6%

10%

10%

9%

8%

13%

6%

Bachelor's degree

23%

26%

21%

27%

31%

23%

16%

25%

18%

18%

25%

61%

0%

63%

0%

57%

0%

21%

27%

20%

26%

26%

28%

16%

28%

20%

18%

25%

23%

25%

28%

22%

19%

Graduate or professional degree

15%

15%

15%

8%

18%

15%

18%

15%

13%

11%

25%

39%

0%

37%

0%

43%

0%

9%

17%

14%

20%

18%

16%

12%

21%

10%

14%

20%

10%

16%

23%

11%

8%

[VOL] Refused

<1%

<.5%

1%

0%

<.5%

0%

1%

<.5%

0%

1%

3%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

0%

<.5%

<1%

0%

<.5%

2%

Number of respondents

980

492

478

159

251

328

189

607

119

154

81

451

523

296

310

146

205

212

218

344

206

241

401

338

412

475

93

281

278

312

409

317

171

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

32%

24%

63%

11%

15%

9%

38%

61%

25%

38%

12%

23%

22%

20%

35%

23%

24%

41%

35%

43%

48%

10%

28%

30%

32%

42%

33%

17%

 

Are you of Hispanic origin or descent, such as Mexican, Dominican, Puerto Rican, Cuban or some other Spanish background?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Yes

14%

14%

15%

30%

15%

13%

5%

0%

0%

100%

0%

11%

16%

0%

0%

35%

50%

4%

10%

18%

22%

21%

17%

7%

14%

14%

19%

14%

12%

13%

14%

9%

26%

No

85%

85%

84%

70%

85%

86%

94%

99%

100%

0%

100%

88%

83%

99%

100%

65%

50%

95%

89%

81%

76%

78%

82%

92%

86%

84%

80%

86%

86%

87%

86%

89%

74%

[VOL] Refused

<1%

<1%

<1%

0%

<.5%

<1%

1%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

<.5%

<1%

<1%

<.5%

0%

0%

<1%

<1%

<.5%

2%

2%

<.5%

<1%

0%

2%

<1%

0%

2%

<.5%

0%

2%

0%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

Would you consider yourself:

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

White

73%

73%

72%

60%

68%

74%

85%

99%

0%

53%

0%

71%

74%

98%

99%

21%

25%

84%

75%

66%

69%

60%

71%

82%

68%

79%

58%

62%

88%

70%

66%

88%

61%

Black or African American

12%

10%

13%

17%

14%

10%

9%

0%

100%

4%

0%

11%

12%

0%

0%

33%

38%

5%

15%

18%

5%

19%

10%

9%

17%

6%

14%

24%

2%

10%

17%

2%

16%

Asian or Asian American

3%

5%

2%

6%

4%

4%

1%

0%

0%

1%

48%

6%

2%

0%

0%

18%

6%

3%

2%

2%

9%

5%

5%

<.5%

4%

3%

3%

4%

4%

3%

5%

2%

3%

Native American

2%

3%

2%

3%

3%

3%

<1%

0%

0%

9%

16%

2%

3%

0%

0%

6%

8%

1%

1%

3%

4%

2%

2%

4%

1%

3%

5%

1%

2%

4%

<1%

3%

5%

[VOL] Some other race (specify)

5%

4%

5%

8%

4%

6%

<.5%

1%

0%

20%

17%

5%

5%

2%

<1%

12%

13%

4%

3%

5%

7%

8%

5%

2%

4%

4%

12%

4%

3%

6%

6%

3%

5%

[VOL] More than one race

2%

2%

3%

4%

3%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

6%

18%

2%

2%

0%

0%

8%

6%

1%

2%

3%

3%

3%

3%

<1%

3%

1%

<1%

3%

<1%

3%

3%

<1%

4%

[VOL] Refused

3%

3%

2%

2%

3%

2%

4%

0%

0%

7%

0%

3%

2%

0%

0%

2%

3%

1%

2%

3%

5%

4%

3%

2%

2%

3%

8%

2%

1%

4%

2%

2%

5%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, an independent or a member of another party?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Democrat

29%

25%

34%

35%

29%

29%

28%

25%

61%

29%

30%

36%

25%

35%

19%

41%

40%

20%

34%

26%

38%

41%

30%

21%

61%

6%

5%

100%

0%

0%

59%

2%

16%

Republican

30%

30%

30%

17%

24%

36%

33%

36%

5%

25%

22%

23%

34%

27%

42%

14%

19%

31%

23%

33%

29%

22%

26%

38%

3%

56%

14%

0%

100%

0%

6%

65%

27%

Independent

34%

38%

30%

38%

35%

30%

35%

33%

30%

30%

45%

35%

32%

33%

34%

39%

29%

39%

36%

32%

30%

30%

36%

33%

32%

30%

56%

0%

0%

100%

33%

28%

40%

Another party

3%

3%

2%

4%

7%

1%

<.5%

2%

3%

6%

3%

4%

2%

3%

1%

5%

4%

4%

2%

3%

1%

2%

3%

3%

1%

4%

6%

0%

0%

0%

1%

3%

6%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

5%

5%

5%

6%

5%

3%

5%

4%

1%

11%

0%

2%

6%

2%

5%

2%

7%

5%

5%

6%

2%

5%

5%

4%

2%

4%

19%

0%

0%

0%

1%

2%

11%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

Who did you vote for in the 2020 presidential election between Donald Trump and Joe Biden, or did you not vote?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Donald Trump

34%

36%

32%

17%

27%

45%

36%

43%

4%

20%

24%

27%

38%

32%

49%

16%

15%

39%

29%

35%

30%

22%

27%

48%

<.5%

68%

9%

2%

74%

28%

0%

100%

0%

Joe Biden

44%

41%

46%

44%

42%

39%

51%

40%

67%

41%

51%

58%

35%

57%

30%

60%

48%

38%

48%

40%

51%

54%

49%

31%

85%

10%

28%

87%

8%

43%

100%

0%

0%

I did not vote

18%

17%

18%

36%

23%

11%

10%

13%

24%

32%

18%

12%

21%

8%

16%

20%

29%

17%

20%

19%

15%

19%

20%

14%

14%

18%

32%

10%

16%

21%

0%

0%

100%

[VOL] Someone else

2%

3%

1%

1%

3%

2%

<.5%

2%

<1%

2%

4%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

4%

<1%

<1%

2%

<.5%

2%

3%

<1%

1%

10%

<1%

<.5%

4%

0%

0%

0%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

3%

3%

3%

2%

4%

3%

3%

2%

5%

5%

2%

2%

4%

<1%

3%

2%

6%

2%

3%

6%

1%

5%

3%

3%

0%

3%

21%

0%

2%

4%

0%

0%

0%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

(Excluding “I did not vote”) Who did you vote for in the 2020 presidential election between Donald Trump and Joe Biden, or did you not vote?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Donald Trump

41%

43%

39%

26%

35%

50%

40%

49%

6%

30%

30%

30%

48%

35%

58%

20%

22%

47%

36%

43%

36%

27%

34%

56%

<1%

83%

14%

3%

88%

35%

0%

100%

-

Joe Biden

53%

50%

56%

69%

55%

44%

56%

46%

87%

60%

63%

66%

45%

62%

36%

75%

67%

46%

59%

49%

60%

67%

61%

37%

99%

12%

41%

96%

10%

55%

100%

0%

-

[VOL] Someone else

2%

3%

1%

2%

4%

2%

<.5%

2%

<1%

3%

5%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

3%

5%

<1%

1%

3%

<.5%

2%

3%

<1%

2%

14%

<1%

<1%

5%

0%

0%

-

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

4%

4%

4%

3%

5%

3%

4%

3%

6%

7%

2%

2%

5%

<1%

4%

2%

8%

2%

4%

7%

2%

6%

3%

4%

0%

3%

31%

0%

2%

5%

0%

0%

-

Number of respondents

685

349

328

85

162

252

153

467

67

86

49

343

340

239

227

96

106

146

144

234

161

152

289

244

304

331

50

219

203

221

360

281

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

12%

22%

34%

28%

69%

10%

12%

7%

40%

60%

27%

42%

12%

17%

22%

20%

35%

24%

21%

41%

37%

44%

48%

8%

32%

30%

32%

53%

41%

 

In the 2024 presidential primaries and caucuses did you or do you think you will vote in the Republican primary or the Democratic primary, or are you unlikely to vote in a presidential primary or caucus?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Democratic primary

28%

22%

33%

31%

23%

26%

33%

24%

54%

28%

28%

34%

24%

33%

18%

37%

37%

20%

28%

27%

36%

34%

32%

19%

59%

4%

7%

71%

2%

18%

54%

3%

16%

Republican primary

36%

37%

34%

24%

31%

42%

38%

42%

13%

25%

27%

31%

38%

36%

46%

21%

22%

37%

28%

41%

32%

22%

32%

48%

8%

64%

17%

5%

75%

29%

12%

72%

25%

Unlikely to vote in primary or caucus

28%

32%

24%

36%

36%

25%

20%

26%

22%

37%

36%

28%

28%

26%

27%

32%

30%

33%

35%

24%

25%

35%

28%

25%

28%

25%

47%

20%

17%

42%

27%

18%

51%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

9%

9%

8%

9%

9%

8%

9%

7%

11%

10%

9%

7%

10%

6%

9%

9%

11%

10%

9%

8%

6%

9%

8%

8%

6%

7%

29%

4%

6%

11%

6%

7%

7%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

(If Republican primary voter) If the election for the Republican nominee for president were held today, which candidate would you be MOST likely to vote for?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Donald Trump

77%

77%

76%

76%

78%

77%

71%

76%

87%

80%

64%

62%

83%

56%

85%

82%

74%

85%

80%

74%

71%

76%

74%

79%

6%

88%

0%

72%

83%

65%

28%

89%

72%

Nikki Haley

20%

19%

22%

19%

18%

20%

27%

21%

8%

20%

31%

36%

13%

42%

11%

18%

22%

12%

18%

24%

24%

22%

23%

18%

89%

10%

76%

28%

16%

29%

64%

9%

26%

[VOL] Someone else (specify)

1%

<1%

1%

3%

0%

<1%

<1%

<1%

0%

0%

5%

1%

<1%

2%

<1%

0%

2%

0%

0%

<.5%

4%

2%

2%

0%

5%

<.5%

6%

0%

<.5%

3%

3%

<1%

0%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

2%

2%

1%

2%

4%

2%

1%

2%

5%

0%

0%

0%

3%

0%

3%

0%

2%

3%

2%

2%

<1%

0%

<1%

3%

0%

1%

18%

0%

<1%

3%

5%

<.5%

3%

Number of respondents

292

155

134

30

59

115

71

220

15

32

17

120

170

91

128

26

38

62

44

119

67

47

108

137

28

250

14

13

181

79

44

198

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

51%

49%

11%

20%

37%

27%

78%

4%

10%

5%

33%

67%

25%

53%

7%

12%

22%

16%

41%

21%

14%

38%

48%

9%

86%

4%

4%

62%

27%

15%

69%

13%

 

(If Democratic primary voter) If the election for Democratic nominee for president were held today, which candidate would you be most likely to vote for?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Joe Biden

77%

83%

73%

76%

69%

84%

76%

78%

77%

78%

76%

77%

78%

77%

79%

77%

77%

63%

80%

78%

83%

79%

77%

77%

83%

29%

19%

85%

0%

58%

83%

26%

52%

Marianne Williamson *

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

Dean Phillips

12%

10%

13%

21%

16%

8%

7%

12%

12%

12%

9%

14%

10%

19%

5%

6%

15%

16%

13%

11%

9%

16%

10%

10%

9%

38%

26%

8%

33%

24%

7%

24%

40%

[VOL] Someone else (specify)

1%

<1%

2%

2%

3%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

15%

2%

<1%

0%

0%

6%

1%

0%

2%

<1%

2%

1%

2%

0%

<.5%

6%

25%

1%

0%

1%

<1%

10%

3%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

10%

6%

12%

1%

12%

7%

17%

10%

9%

11%

0%

7%

12%

5%

16%

11%

7%

21%

5%

10%

6%

4%

11%

13%

8%

27%

30%

6%

67%

16%

9%

40%

6%

Number of respondents

224

88

133

41

50

73

52

128

44

33

17

126

98

81

47

44

50

36

56

67

65

63

108

53

201

17

6

170

3

46

190

9

23

Percent of total electorate

100%

39%

60%

18%

20%

29%

30%

56%

22%

15%

7%

46%

54%

29%

27%

16%

27%

15%

21%

34%

30%

26%

49%

24%

91%

7%

3%

75%

2%

22%

85%

4%

10%

 

(If Democratic primary voter) Regardless of who you prefer in the Democratic primary, do you think Joe Biden should be the Democratic Party’s nominee for president in 2024, or should there be a different Democratic nominee for president in 2024?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Joe Biden should be the Democratic nominee

46%

50%

43%

32%

25%

63%

52%

47%

50%

44%

39%

42%

50%

45%

49%

38%

51%

35%

47%

44%

54%

37%

46%

57%

50%

7%

0%

52%

0%

33%

50%

7%

26%

Joe Biden should not be the Democratic nominee

45%

44%

46%

66%

72%

33%

27%

45%

35%

43%

61%

54%

37%

50%

40%

58%

33%

58%

51%

38%

41%

54%

46%

31%

40%

89%

81%

38%

33%

65%

39%

85%

74%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

9%

7%

11%

2%

3%

4%

20%

8%

14%

13%

0%

4%

13%

4%

11%

4%

16%

8%

1%

18%

6%

9%

8%

12%

9%

4%

19%

10%

67%

2%

10%

8%

0%

Number of respondents

224

88

133

41

50

73

52

128

44

33

17

126

98

81

47

44

50

36

56

67

65

63

108

53

201

17

6

170

3

46

190

9

23

Percent of total electorate

100%

39%

60%

18%

20%

29%

30%

56%

22%

15%

7%

46%

54%

29%

27%

16%

27%

15%

21%

34%

30%

26%

49%

24%

91%

7%

3%

75%

2%

22%

85%

4%

10%

 

(If Democratic primary voter) What comes closer to how you would feel if Joe Biden were the Democratic nominee for president?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Enthusiastic

23%

20%

25%

6%

5%

36%

32%

23%

27%

18%

16%

18%

27%

21%

26%

13%

28%

16%

14%

27%

28%

19%

20%

32%

24%

7%

0%

28%

0%

8%

25%

0%

14%

Satisfied, but not enthusiastic

43%

45%

42%

52%

43%

37%

41%

43%

33%

54%

41%

46%

40%

44%

41%

47%

38%

44%

44%

35%

50%

44%

43%

41%

46%

14%

0%

43%

17%

43%

44%

35%

31%

Dissatisfied, but not upset

26%

27%

25%

31%

42%

23%

18%

29%

28%

17%

24%

29%

24%

30%

28%

29%

21%

26%

38%

34%

10%

31%

28%

17%

25%

47%

26%

23%

83%

32%

25%

24%

40%

Angry

6%

7%

6%

11%

10%

4%

4%

5%

5%

8%

19%

7%

6%

5%

5%

12%

6%

15%

5%

<1%

10%

3%

9%

4%

3%

33%

56%

4%

0%

14%

4%

41%

15%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

2%

1%

2%

0%

0%

0%

5%

0%

7%

3%

0%

0%

4%

0%

0%

0%

7%

0%

0%

4%

2%

2%

0%

6%

2%

0%

19%

2%

0%

2%

2%

0%

0%

Number of respondents

224

88

133

41

50

73

52

128

44

33

17

126

98

81

47

44

50

36

56

67

65

63

108

53

201

17

6

170

3

46

190

9

23

Percent of total electorate

100%

39%

60%

18%

20%

29%

30%

56%

22%

15%

7%

46%

54%

29%

27%

16%

27%

15%

21%

34%

30%

26%

49%

24%

91%

7%

3%

75%

2%

22%

85%

4%

10%

 

(If Republican primary voter) What comes closer to how you would feel if Donald Trump were the Republican nominee for president?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Enthusiastic

48%

51%

45%

35%

46%

55%

46%

49%

39%

52%

39%

41%

52%

36%

55%

58%

38%

48%

44%

53%

43%

54%

41%

52%

0%

56%

3%

30%

54%

40%

8%

61%

37%

Satisfied, but not enthusiastic

32%

28%

35%

44%

32%

32%

29%

30%

37%

36%

35%

25%

35%

23%

34%

31%

39%

37%

38%

24%

35%

31%

35%

30%

0%

36%

5%

19%

33%

33%

18%

33%

37%

Dissatisfied, but not upset

9%

8%

11%

19%

11%

5%

8%

8%

20%

11%

18%

12%

8%

14%

6%

6%

20%

7%

10%

13%

5%

6%

7%

12%

30%

6%

23%

23%

6%

11%

24%

4%

22%

Angry

9%

9%

8%

0%

11%

8%

12%

10%

5%

0%

8%

22%

2%

27%

2%

5%

2%

8%

8%

6%

14%

10%

14%

4%

70%

<1%

33%

28%

5%

15%

41%

1%

4%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

2%

4%

<1%

2%

0%

0%

5%

3%

0%

0%

0%

0%

3%

0%

4%

0%

0%

0%

0%

4%

2%

0%

3%

2%

0%

<1%

36%

0%

3%

1%

9%

<1%

0%

Number of respondents

292

155

134

30

59

115

71

220

15

32

17

120

170

91

128

26

38

62

44

119

67

47

108

137

28

250

14

13

181

79

44

198

36

Percent of total electorate

100%

51%

49%

11%

20%

37%

27%

78%

4%

10%

5%

33%

67%

25%

53%

7%

12%

22%

16%

41%

21%

14%

38%

48%

9%

86%

4%

4%

62%

27%

15%

69%

13%

 

Regardless of who you support, who do you think will win the 2024 presidential election?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Joe Biden

39%

42%

35%

47%

36%

36%

40%

38%

41%

39%

34%

51%

31%

57%

27%

39%

38%

32%

42%

34%

48%

42%

44%

30%

74%

11%

19%

69%

13%

40%

64%

13%

29%

Donald Trump

48%

47%

48%

44%

48%

55%

41%

49%

38%

52%

47%

36%

55%

33%

59%

43%

49%

51%

45%

52%

41%

45%

44%

55%

14%

81%

36%

19%

77%

46%

23%

77%

57%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

14%

10%

16%

9%

15%

9%

19%

13%

21%

9%

19%

13%

14%

10%

14%

19%

13%

17%

12%

14%

11%

13%

12%

15%

12%

8%

45%

12%

11%

14%

13%

10%

14%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Strongly approve

17%

18%

17%

8%

7%

20%

29%

18%

22%

13%

12%

21%

15%

23%

15%

17%

16%

15%

20%

13%

22%

18%

19%

14%

39%

1%

0%

39%

2%

14%

35%

<1%

10%

Somewhat approve

19%

18%

20%

21%

28%

10%

21%

17%

29%

18%

19%

25%

15%

24%

13%

26%

18%

17%

18%

21%

18%

25%

21%

13%

36%

3%

21%

34%

9%

17%

33%

2%

20%

Somewhat disapprove

14%

15%

14%

24%

19%

11%

6%

11%

18%

20%

29%

11%

16%

11%

11%

12%

27%

14%

17%

12%

14%

21%

13%

11%

16%

11%

21%

13%

8%

21%

16%

6%

23%

Strongly disapprove

47%

47%

46%

43%

42%

56%

44%

51%

27%

47%

37%

39%

51%

39%

58%

39%

38%

49%

40%

50%

45%

35%

43%

58%

7%

83%

44%

12%

79%

44%

15%

90%

40%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

3%

2%

4%

5%

4%

2%

<1%

3%

5%

2%

3%

4%

3%

3%

4%

6%

1%

6%

4%

3%

0%

1%

4%

4%

3%

1%

14%

2%

2%

4%

2%

<1%

6%

NET Approve

36%

36%

36%

29%

35%

30%

50%

35%

51%

31%

31%

46%

30%

47%

27%

43%

34%

32%

39%

34%

40%

43%

40%

27%

74%

5%

21%

73%

10%

31%

67%

2%

30%

NET Disapprove

61%

62%

59%

67%

61%

67%

49%

62%

45%

67%

66%

51%

67%

50%

69%

51%

65%

62%

57%

63%

60%

56%

56%

69%

22%

94%

65%

25%

88%

65%

31%

97%

64%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

Tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of Donald Trump.

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Very favorable

22%

23%

22%

10%

21%

26%

25%

26%

12%

15%

17%

13%

28%

14%

33%

12%

16%

21%

19%

26%

21%

18%

17%

31%

<1%

45%

6%

3%

51%

16%

2%

52%

17%

Somewhat favorable

21%

23%

19%

25%

27%

23%

11%

19%

14%

31%

27%

16%

25%

15%

22%

18%

28%

24%

19%

21%

21%

17%

20%

25%

4%

38%

13%

6%

32%

24%

7%

36%

29%

Somewhat unfavorable

11%

11%

12%

17%

13%

9%

10%

10%

17%

13%

16%

10%

12%

10%

10%

11%

16%

10%

11%

13%

10%

13%

12%

10%

9%

12%

21%

8%

7%

16%

8%

8%

21%

Very unfavorable

43%

41%

44%

47%

36%

41%

51%

44%

49%

38%

38%

59%

33%

61%

33%

55%

35%

42%

50%

35%

48%

48%

49%

32%

85%

5%

44%

80%

10%

43%

81%

4%

29%

[VOL] Have not heard of

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

<1%

3%

1%

9%

4%

1%

2%

3%

<1%

1%

5%

5%

2%

1%

4%

<1%

3%

2%

3%

2%

<.5%

16%

3%

0%

2%

2%

<.5%

3%

NET Favorable

44%

46%

41%

35%

48%

49%

36%

45%

25%

46%

44%

29%

52%

28%

55%

29%

44%

45%

38%

47%

42%

36%

37%

56%

5%

83%

19%

9%

83%

40%

9%

88%

47%

NET Unfavorable

54%

52%

57%

64%

49%

50%

60%

53%

66%

51%

55%

69%

45%

71%

43%

66%

51%

52%

61%

48%

58%

61%

61%

41%

93%

16%

65%

88%

17%

59%

90%

12%

51%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

Tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of Joe Biden.

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Very favorable

14%

13%

15%

2%

5%

18%

26%

14%

23%

11%

9%

16%

13%

18%

12%

12%

15%

14%

15%

12%

17%

14%

15%

13%

32%

1%

0%

36%

0%

10%

30%

<.5%

5%

Somewhat favorable

24%

25%

23%

29%

34%

17%

24%

22%

33%

20%

37%

34%

18%

33%

15%

35%

24%

23%

28%

21%

25%

34%

27%

14%

46%

6%

17%

41%

11%

23%

40%

2%

29%

Somewhat unfavorable

17%

17%

15%

35%

20%

14%

4%

13%

24%

28%

21%

13%

19%

11%

14%

19%

29%

14%

17%

18%

17%

20%

18%

13%

16%

14%

30%

14%

12%

22%

19%

9%

22%

Very unfavorable

42%

43%

42%

32%

37%

51%

41%

48%

15%

39%

31%

36%

46%

38%

54%

30%

29%

43%

38%

45%

41%

31%

37%

55%

5%

77%

33%

8%

76%

42%

9%

87%

38%

[VOL] Have not heard of

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

3%

2%

4%

3%

4%

<.5%

5%

3%

6%

2%

1%

1%

4%

<.5%

5%

4%

3%

6%

2%

4%

<1%

<1%

3%

5%

2%

1%

20%

1%

1%

3%

1%

<1%

7%

NET Favorable

38%

38%

38%

30%

39%

35%

50%

36%

56%

31%

47%

50%

31%

51%

26%

47%

39%

37%

43%

33%

42%

48%

42%

27%

78%

7%

17%

77%

11%

33%

70%

3%

33%

NET Unfavorable

59%

60%

57%

67%

57%

65%

46%

61%

39%

67%

52%

49%

65%

49%

68%

49%

58%

57%

55%

62%

57%

51%

55%

68%

21%

92%

63%

21%

88%

64%

28%

96%

60%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

Tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of Kamala [COMMA-luh] Harris.

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Very favorable

12%

10%

15%

3%

8%

16%

18%

12%

22%

7%

14%

12%

13%

11%

13%

14%

13%

12%

13%

10%

15%

13%

11%

13%

28%

<.5%

3%

32%

0%

8%

27%

0%

4%

Somewhat favorable

24%

24%

25%

36%

26%

19%

24%

20%

37%

29%

30%

33%

19%

32%

13%

35%

31%

20%

27%

22%

28%

34%

28%

14%

45%

7%

15%

48%

4%

23%

40%

3%

28%

Somewhat unfavorable

17%

20%

14%

32%

18%

15%

8%

16%

14%

20%

18%

17%

17%

18%

15%

14%

20%

19%

19%

16%

15%

15%

17%

18%

16%

16%

29%

9%

15%

23%

18%

10%

25%

Very unfavorable

38%

39%

35%

21%

37%

44%

40%

43%

16%

36%

27%

31%

41%

32%

49%

29%

25%

38%

32%

40%

38%

30%

33%

48%

4%

69%

29%

5%

72%

37%

8%

80%

30%

[VOL] Have not heard of

2%

1%

3%

2%

3%

1%

2%

2%

2%

4%

1%

<.5%

3%

<.5%

2%

<1%

4%

3%

<1%

3%

<.5%

2%

3%

<.5%

1%

3%

0%

3%

3%

<.5%

2%

<1%

4%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

7%

5%

9%

7%

7%

4%

9%

7%

8%

4%

10%

7%

7%

7%

8%

7%

6%

7%

9%

9%

3%

5%

7%

8%

5%

5%

24%

3%

6%

9%

5%

6%

9%

NET Favorable

36%

34%

39%

39%

34%

35%

41%

32%

59%

36%

44%

45%

32%

43%

26%

49%

44%

32%

39%

33%

43%

47%

39%

27%

73%

7%

17%

80%

4%

31%

67%

3%

32%

NET Unfavorable

55%

60%

49%

53%

55%

59%

48%

59%

31%

56%

45%

48%

58%

50%

64%

43%

45%

58%

51%

56%

53%

45%

50%

65%

20%

85%

59%

14%

87%

60%

27%

90%

55%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

Thinking about the upcoming presidential election this November, what is ONE word that describes how you feel about it?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

[VOL] Happy/excited/hopeful

14%

12%

16%

8%

11%

17%

18%

13%

15%

15%

18%

11%

16%

8%

16%

14%

16%

14%

9%

16%

16%

6%

16%

17%

10%

20%

4%

13%

23%

8%

9%

23%

8%

[VOL] Angry/disappointed/resigned

32%

36%

29%

36%

31%

34%

30%

34%

29%

29%

37%

38%

30%

41%

29%

31%

31%

30%

41%

26%

36%

30%

35%

31%

34%

29%

44%

27%

24%

45%

35%

28%

35%

[VOL] Scared/apprehensive

30%

26%

34%

27%

28%

30%

33%

33%

20%

29%

18%

32%

28%

34%

33%

30%

20%

30%

32%

30%

27%

33%

27%

31%

34%

30%

12%

36%

31%

25%

32%

32%

22%

[VOL] Confused/unsure/uncertain

11%

11%

11%

14%

11%

8%

11%

11%

14%

10%

7%

8%

12%

9%

12%

7%

13%

12%

8%

13%

9%

10%

11%

11%

11%

10%

13%

9%

12%

12%

11%

8%

13%

[VOL] Neutral

5%

6%

5%

10%

11%

2%

1%

4%

10%

8%

4%

3%

7%

2%

5%

7%

9%

6%

4%

8%

3%

9%

5%

4%

7%

4%

8%

9%

3%

3%

6%

2%

12%

[VOL] Other (specify)

5%

6%

4%

2%

6%

6%

4%

4%

7%

4%

10%

6%

4%

5%

3%

8%

6%

5%

5%

4%

7%

8%

5%

4%

4%

4%

11%

5%

5%

5%

4%

5%

5%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

3%

3%

2%

3%

1%

3%

2%

1%

6%

4%

6%

1%

3%

<1%

2%

3%

6%

4%

2%

3%

2%

5%

1%

2%

1%

3%

8%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

6%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

Next, regardless of who you support for president, tell me whether you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree with each of the following statements.

Joe Biden is just too old to be an effective president.

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Strongly agree

47%

50%

44%

40%

46%

53%

45%

49%

33%

44%

50%

45%

48%

46%

52%

42%

40%

40%

48%

51%

46%

38%

44%

55%

21%

67%

67%

19%

64%

53%

26%

73%

47%

Somewhat agree

26%

25%

28%

41%

28%

17%

28%

25%

32%

29%

28%

28%

26%

28%

23%

27%

32%

32%

24%

26%

24%

38%

26%

20%

38%

17%

19%

37%

20%

23%

35%

14%

29%

Somewhat disagree

14%

11%

16%

7%

16%

17%

12%

14%

15%

14%

7%

13%

14%

13%

15%

14%

13%

15%

15%

10%

16%

9%

16%

13%

20%

10%

3%

24%

9%

11%

20%

7%

9%

Strongly disagree

11%

11%

11%

10%

6%

12%

13%

10%

19%

12%

11%

13%

10%

13%

7%

14%

15%

9%

12%

11%

12%

14%

11%

9%

20%

4%

4%

19%

5%

10%

18%

5%

8%

[VOL] Don’t know/Refused

2%

2%

2%

1%

3%

<1%

2%

2%

2%

<1%

4%

1%

2%

<.5%

3%

4%

<.5%

4%

<1%

2%

1%

<1%

2%

3%

1%

2%

6%

<.5%

2%

3%

<.5%

1%

7%

NET Agree

73%

75%

72%

82%

74%

70%

73%

74%

65%

73%

78%

73%

74%

74%

74%

69%

72%

72%

72%

77%

70%

76%

70%

75%

59%

83%

87%

56%

84%

76%

61%

87%

76%

NET Disagree

25%

23%

27%

17%

23%

29%

25%

24%

34%

26%

19%

26%

24%

26%

22%

27%

28%

24%

27%

21%

29%

23%

27%

23%

40%

15%

7%

43%

14%

21%

38%

12%

18%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

Donald Trump is just too old to be an effective president.

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Strongly agree

21%

22%

21%

24%

19%

16%

28%

21%

30%

17%

17%

24%

20%

24%

20%

23%

21%

19%

22%

19%

27%

20%

24%

19%

35%

6%

35%

27%

7%

30%

34%

5%

23%

Somewhat agree

21%

21%

21%

37%

23%

17%

15%

17%

24%

29%

39%

25%

19%

25%

12%

26%

32%

21%

23%

19%

22%

28%

23%

15%

30%

12%

26%

32%

13%

18%

27%

9%

27%

Somewhat disagree

23%

25%

22%

22%

24%

29%

19%

25%

20%

25%

15%

24%

23%

25%

25%

24%

20%

28%

22%

23%

22%

22%

26%

21%

21%

26%

18%

25%

25%

21%

22%

25%

22%

Strongly disagree

32%

32%

33%

16%

32%

38%

35%

35%

24%

28%

27%

25%

36%

24%

41%

24%

27%

30%

31%

37%

28%

29%

26%

42%

11%

55%

12%

15%

55%

29%

14%

60%

26%

[VOL] Don’t know/Refused

2%

1%

2%

<.5%

2%

<1%

3%

2%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

3%

3%

<.5%

3%

1%

2%

1%

<1%

2%

3%

2%

<1%

9%

1%

<.5%

2%

2%

<1%

3%

NET Agree

42%

42%

42%

61%

42%

32%

43%

38%

54%

46%

57%

49%

39%

50%

31%

48%

53%

40%

45%

38%

49%

49%

46%

34%

66%

18%

61%

59%

19%

48%

62%

15%

49%

NET Disagree

56%

56%

55%

38%

56%

67%

54%

60%

44%

53%

42%

49%

60%

49%

66%

48%

46%

57%

54%

60%

50%

51%

52%

63%

33%

82%

30%

40%

80%

49%

37%

85%

48%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

Thinking again about Joe Biden’s age, which of the following statements comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Joe Biden’s age makes him ineffective, but he is still able to handle the job of president well enough

26%

23%

29%

40%

28%

16%

26%

24%

33%

31%

27%

30%

23%

30%

20%

30%

30%

24%

28%

24%

29%

36%

29%

16%

45%

10%

18%

42%

14%

24%

41%

9%

27%

Joe Biden’s age is such a problem that he is not capable of handling the job of president

45%

50%

41%

41%

45%

52%

42%

48%

29%

39%

49%

41%

48%

43%

52%

38%

38%

46%

43%

49%

41%

37%

40%

57%

13%

71%

60%

13%

69%

49%

19%

75%

49%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

4%

2%

3%

3%

2%

1%

3%

1%

2%

2%

4%

2%

1%

4%

<1%

3%

1%

2%

1%

2%

8%

1%

1%

3%

1%

3%

0%

[PREVIOUSLY] Somewhat disagree

14%

11%

16%

7%

16%

17%

12%

14%

15%

14%

7%

13%

14%

13%

15%

14%

13%

15%

15%

10%

16%

9%

16%

13%

20%

10%

3%

24%

9%

11%

20%

7%

9%

[PREVIOUSLY] Strongly disagree

11%

11%

11%

10%

6%

12%

13%

10%

19%

12%

11%

13%

10%

13%

7%

14%

15%

9%

12%

11%

12%

14%

11%

9%

20%

4%

4%

19%

5%

10%

18%

5%

8%

[PREVIOUSLY] Don't know/Refused

2%

2%

2%

1%

3%

<1%

2%

2%

2%

<1%

4%

1%

2%

<.5%

3%

4%

<.5%

4%

<1%

2%

1%

<1%

2%

3%

1%

2%

6%

<.5%

2%

3%

<.5%

1%

7%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

Thinking again about Donald Trump’s age, which of the following statements comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Donald Trump’s age makes him ineffective, but he is still able to handle the job of president well enough

21%

19%

22%

39%

24%

15%

13%

17%

27%

30%

28%

22%

20%

20%

15%

25%

31%

21%

28%

14%

23%

24%

21%

18%

25%

15%

32%

24%

13%

23%

21%

13%

32%

Donald Trump’s age is such a problem that he is not capable of handling the job of president

19%

21%

18%

20%

17%

16%

26%

20%

19%

13%

24%

24%

17%

28%

15%

16%

19%

18%

16%

21%

22%

19%

24%

14%

37%

2%

27%

30%

6%

24%

36%

<1%

16%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

2%

2%

2%

2%

<1%

2%

4%

1%

8%

2%

4%

4%

1%

2%

<.5%

7%

4%

1%

<1%

3%

3%

6%

<1%

2%

4%

<1%

2%

5%

<1%

1%

4%

<1%

<.5%

[PREVIOUSLY] Somewhat disagree

23%

25%

22%

22%

24%

29%

19%

25%

20%

25%

15%

24%

23%

25%

25%

24%

20%

28%

22%

23%

22%

22%

26%

21%

21%

26%

18%

25%

25%

21%

22%

25%

22%

[PREVIOUSLY] Strongly disagree

32%

32%

33%

16%

32%

38%

35%

35%

24%

28%

27%

25%

36%

24%

41%

24%

27%

30%

31%

37%

28%

29%

26%

42%

11%

55%

12%

15%

55%

29%

14%

60%

26%

[PREVIOUSLY] Don't know/Refused

2%

1%

2%

<.5%

2%

<1%

3%

2%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

3%

3%

<.5%

3%

1%

2%

1%

<1%

2%

3%

2%

<1%

9%

1%

<.5%

2%

2%

<1%

3%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

(Split A) Do you think Joe Biden has the personality and temperament to be an effective president?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Yes

51%

53%

49%

54%

43%

46%

62%

50%

62%

43%

66%

63%

43%

63%

42%

63%

46%

48%

55%

48%

55%

53%

58%

41%

89%

16%

27%

83%

27%

50%

84%

13%

37%

No

45%

44%

46%

38%

50%

53%

36%

45%

37%

54%

34%

37%

50%

37%

50%

36%

51%

43%

39%

50%

44%

43%

40%

52%

8%

81%

57%

14%

71%

46%

14%

86%

52%

[VOL] Don’t know/Refused

4%

2%

6%

8%

8%

<1%

2%

5%

<1%

4%

0%

<1%

7%

<.5%

8%

<1%

3%

9%

6%

2%

1%

4%

2%

7%

3%

2%

16%

3%

3%

4%

2%

1%

10%

Number of respondents

416

211

202

71

97

143

84

263

47

72

27

214

202

135

128

74

72

84

94

137

101

90

186

140

191

186

39

126

111

141

195

129

73

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

17%

22%

30%

27%

64%

12%

17%

6%

41%

59%

25%

39%

15%

20%

21%

22%

33%

24%

20%

45%

35%

46%

42%

11%

30%

27%

34%

47%

28%

19%

 

(Split A) Do you think Donald Trump has the personality and temperament to be an effective president?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Yes

41%

42%

39%

45%

44%

49%

26%

41%

34%

52%

29%

31%

48%

29%

48%

35%

47%

45%

42%

43%

34%

40%

38%

45%

9%

79%

31%

12%

72%

37%

10%

84%

55%

No

56%

56%

56%

52%

50%

49%

71%

56%

61%

44%

67%

67%

48%

70%

47%

61%

49%

48%

55%

54%

64%

55%

61%

49%

89%

20%

50%

85%

27%

60%

89%

15%

39%

[VOL] Don’t know/Refused

3%

2%

5%

3%

6%

1%

3%

3%

4%

4%

4%

2%

4%

<1%

5%

4%

4%

7%

3%

3%

1%

5%

1%

6%

2%

<1%

18%

3%

<1%

3%

1%

<1%

6%

Number of respondents

416

211

202

71

97

143

84

263

47

72

27

214

202

135

128

74

72

84

94

137

101

90

186

140

191

186

39

126

111

141

195

129

73

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

17%

22%

30%

27%

64%

12%

17%

6%

41%

59%

25%

39%

15%

20%

21%

22%

33%

24%

20%

45%

35%

46%

42%

11%

30%

27%

34%

47%

28%

19%

 

Do you think Joe Biden’s policies have...

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Helped you personally

18%

17%

18%

10%

16%

21%

20%

19%

17%

15%

15%

25%

13%

28%

14%

20%

12%

19%

14%

15%

25%

22%

21%

12%

39%

2%

2%

43%

3%

12%

37%

<1%

8%

Hurt you personally

43%

45%

40%

34%

43%

51%

39%

49%

21%

36%

35%

39%

45%

39%

54%

36%

27%

43%

38%

47%

40%

36%

35%

55%

6%

76%

43%

10%

71%

43%

14%

86%

28%

Not made much of a difference either way

39%

37%

41%

56%

40%

27%

41%

31%

63%

49%

48%

35%

41%

31%

32%

43%

61%

36%

47%

38%

35%

42%

43%

32%

55%

22%

51%

46%

26%

43%

49%

13%

62%

[VOL] Don’t know/Refused

<1%

<.5%

1%

0%

2%

<.5%

0%

<1%

0%

<.5%

2%

1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

2%

0%

2%

<1%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

1%

<1%

<.5%

<.5%

4%

<.5%

<1%

1%

0%

<.5%

2%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

Do you think Donald Trump’s policies have...

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Helped you personally

40%

41%

39%

28%

41%

48%

38%

44%

26%

37%

30%

34%

44%

34%

49%

32%

32%

45%

33%

45%

33%

32%

33%

53%

5%

74%

23%

11%

74%

36%

11%

80%

30%

Hurt you personally

25%

24%

26%

22%

24%

27%

26%

26%

24%

22%

24%

40%

16%

45%

15%

31%

18%

21%

31%

20%

31%

33%

26%

18%

53%

1%

17%

51%

3%

25%

50%

1%

10%

Not made much of a difference either way

34%

34%

34%

48%

34%

24%

35%

29%

48%

41%

43%

26%

39%

21%

34%

36%

48%

32%

34%

34%

35%

33%

40%

27%

41%

23%

54%

38%

22%

38%

38%

17%

58%

[VOL] Don’t know/Refused

1%

1%

2%

<1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

<1%

3%

<.5%

2%

<.5%

2%

<1%

2%

2%

2%

<1%

1%

2%

<1%

2%

<1%

1%

5%

<1%

1%

1%

1%

<1%

2%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

Thinking about the nation’s economy, how would you rate economic conditions today?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Excellent

7%

8%

5%

0%

3%

7%

15%

9%

1%

5%

5%

9%

6%

11%

7%

5%

3%

7%

4%

5%

12%

5%

8%

6%

14%

2%

4%

11%

5%

6%

14%

<.5%

4%

Good

19%

21%

17%

14%

17%

19%

23%

18%

25%

11%

29%

26%

14%

27%

13%

25%

16%

22%

17%

16%

21%

22%

21%

14%

39%

3%

9%

37%

5%

17%

35%

3%

13%

Only fair

23%

24%

22%

28%

24%

24%

18%

22%

23%

27%

23%

25%

21%

24%

20%

28%

22%

16%

30%

25%

19%

23%

24%

20%

24%

18%

40%

25%

17%

24%

23%

16%

31%

Poor

51%

47%

56%

59%

54%

51%

44%

51%

51%

57%

43%

40%

59%

38%

59%

42%

59%

54%

49%

54%

47%

49%

46%

60%

24%

77%

45%

27%

72%

52%

28%

80%

52%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

1%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

<1%

0%

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

<1%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

<1%

<.5%

0%

<1%

<.5%

<.5%

2%

0%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

1%

NET Excellent/good

26%

29%

22%

14%

21%

26%

38%

27%

26%

16%

34%

35%

20%

37%

21%

30%

20%

29%

21%

21%

33%

28%

30%

20%

52%

4%

13%

48%

10%

24%

49%

3%

17%

NET Fair/poor

74%

71%

77%

86%

78%

74%

62%

73%

74%

84%

66%

65%

80%

62%

79%

70%

80%

70%

79%

79%

66%

72%

70%

80%

48%

96%

85%

52%

89%

76%

51%

97%

82%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

(Split B) And thinking about your own personal finances, would you say that your personal financial situation is in excellent shape, good shape, only fair shape, or poor shape?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Excellent

13%

14%

12%

4%

14%

13%

16%

17%

2%

9%

3%

17%

10%

20%

15%

12%

2%

12%

14%

13%

12%

12%

11%

15%

18%

9%

10%

14%

12%

15%

19%

9%

8%

Good

38%

39%

38%

34%

37%

43%

35%

37%

47%

27%

50%

43%

36%

46%

32%

40%

41%

44%

34%

35%

41%

40%

39%

36%

45%

33%

39%

47%

33%

37%

42%

35%

37%

Only fair

32%

29%

35%

34%

29%

29%

35%

31%

34%

33%

35%

29%

33%

27%

33%

37%

33%

33%

27%

34%

30%

33%

30%

32%

27%

36%

25%

27%

35%

32%

29%

35%

28%

Poor

17%

19%

15%

26%

20%

15%

13%

16%

17%

30%

10%

9%

21%

7%

20%

9%

23%

9%

25%

19%

17%

15%

19%

17%

10%

22%

23%

11%

20%

16%

10%

21%

25%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

<.5%

0%

<.5%

2%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

3%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

3%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

3%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

2%

NET Excellent/good

51%

52%

50%

38%

52%

56%

52%

54%

49%

37%

52%

60%

47%

66%

47%

51%

44%

56%

48%

47%

53%

52%

50%

51%

63%

42%

50%

61%

45%

51%

62%

44%

45%

NET Fair/poor

49%

48%

50%

60%

48%

44%

48%

46%

51%

63%

45%

39%

53%

34%

53%

46%

56%

43%

52%

53%

47%

48%

49%

49%

37%

58%

47%

39%

55%

49%

38%

56%

53%

Number of respondents

407

206

194

58

110

139

83

270

45

49

32

177

227

126

143

47

78

90

83

149

85

99

164

144

158

215

34

120

122

136

165

152

65

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

14%

25%

33%

24%

68%

10%

12%

8%

34%

65%

24%

43%

9%

20%

22%

19%

38%

21%

23%

40%

37%

39%

53%

8%

29%

32%

33%

40%

39%

16%

 

(Split A) Do you think the economy is better or worse than it was a year ago, or is it about the same?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Better

23%

30%

17%

23%

16%

17%

37%

25%

12%

17%

36%

30%

19%

32%

21%

24%

15%

20%

23%

23%

27%

17%

29%

20%

46%

4%

3%

44%

9%

21%

44%

4%

9%

Worse

40%

37%

44%

52%

40%

44%

26%

37%

43%

53%

29%

32%

45%

29%

42%

38%

51%

42%

50%

36%

34%

55%

33%

40%

16%

61%

60%

18%

53%

43%

19%

59%

50%

About the same

36%

33%

39%

25%

42%

39%

37%

37%

45%

30%

34%

38%

35%

37%

37%

39%

33%

36%

27%

41%

39%

27%

38%

39%

37%

35%

37%

36%

37%

36%

36%

37%

41%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

<1%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

2%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

<.5%

1%

<.5%

0%

0%

3%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

<1%

<1%

<.5%

0%

1%

<.5%

0%

<1%

<.5%

0%

Number of respondents

416

211

202

71

97

143

84

263

47

72

27

214

202

135

128

74

72

84

94

137

101

90

186

140

191

186

39

126

111

141

195

129

73

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

17%

22%

30%

27%

64%

12%

17%

6%

41%

59%

25%

39%

15%

20%

21%

22%

33%

24%

20%

45%

35%

46%

42%

11%

30%

27%

34%

47%

28%

19%

 

(Split B) Do you think the economy is better or worse than it was four years ago, or is it about the same?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Better

19%

20%

18%

11%

16%

25%

20%

21%

17%

17%

10%

28%

14%

30%

16%

25%

12%

21%

22%

13%

25%

19%

21%

16%

43%

3%

8%

41%

3%

16%

41%

<1%

11%

Worse

65%

63%

68%

71%

65%

62%

63%

66%

56%

71%

55%

51%

72%

50%

74%

47%

67%

58%

65%

73%

59%

58%

58%

77%

33%

89%

62%

36%

88%

67%

34%

93%

76%

About the same

16%

17%

13%

18%

18%

13%

17%

13%

27%

11%

34%

20%

13%

18%

10%

28%

21%

21%

13%

13%

16%

22%

20%

7%

23%

8%

30%

21%

9%

17%

24%

7%

13%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

<.5%

0%

<1%

0%

1%

<.5%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

2%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

Number of respondents

407

206

194

58

110

139

83

270

45

49

32

177

227

126

143

47

78

90

83

149

85

99

164

144

158

215

34

120

122

136

165

152

65

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

14%

25%

33%

24%

68%

10%

12%

8%

34%

65%

24%

43%

9%

20%

22%

19%

38%

21%

23%

40%

37%

39%

53%

8%

29%

32%

33%

40%

39%

16%

 

(Combined) Do you think the economy is better or worse than it was [one|four] years ago, or is it about the same?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Better

21%

25%

17%

18%

16%

21%

29%

23%

15%

17%

21%

29%

17%

31%

18%

24%

14%

20%

23%

18%

26%

18%

25%

18%

45%

3%

5%

43%

6%

19%

42%

2%

10%

Worse

52%

50%

56%

61%

53%

53%

43%

52%

49%

60%

44%

40%

59%

39%

59%

41%

59%

50%

57%

56%

46%

57%

45%

59%

24%

76%

61%

27%

72%

54%

26%

78%

62%

About the same

26%

25%

26%

21%

29%

26%

27%

25%

36%

22%

34%

30%

24%

28%

23%

35%

27%

28%

21%

26%

28%

25%

29%

23%

31%

20%

34%

29%

22%

27%

31%

20%

28%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

<.5%

<.5%

<1%

0%

2%

<.5%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

<.5%

2%

<.5%

0%

0%

1%

0%

<1%

0%

<1%

<.5%

<.5%

<1%

<.5%

0%

1%

<.5%

0%

<1%

<.5%

0%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

(Split B) Thinking ahead to a year from now, do you think the economy is likely to be better, worse or about the same?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Better

30%

30%

30%

24%

28%

28%

37%

31%

26%

24%

36%

28%

30%

28%

33%

30%

25%

32%

32%

25%

33%

30%

28%

31%

35%

27%

20%

37%

34%

23%

31%

27%

35%

Worse

22%

20%

23%

37%

23%

18%

12%

20%

14%

39%

22%

20%

23%

21%

20%

15%

31%

15%

19%

25%

26%

18%

23%

22%

18%

25%

16%

15%

23%

21%

17%

25%

26%

About the same

38%

39%

38%

34%

44%

39%

39%

37%

47%

36%

35%

48%

33%

49%

31%

50%

36%

47%

42%

35%

33%

43%

39%

34%

41%

35%

52%

39%

30%

48%

45%

33%

34%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

10%

10%

10%

5%

5%

15%

13%

11%

14%

2%

6%

3%

14%

2%

16%

5%

8%

7%

7%

16%

7%

10%

9%

12%

6%

13%

12%

9%

12%

9%

7%

15%

5%

Number of respondents

407

206

194

58

110

139

83

270

45

49

32

177

227

126

143

47

78

90

83

149

85

99

164

144

158

215

34

120

122

136

165

152

65

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

14%

25%

33%

24%

68%

10%

12%

8%

34%

65%

24%

43%

9%

20%

22%

19%

38%

21%

23%

40%

37%

39%

53%

8%

29%

32%

33%

40%

39%

16%

 

(Split B) How would you rate each of the following aspects of the economy today?

The availability of jobs

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Excellent

16%

19%

13%

5%

15%

21%

15%

16%

18%

12%

9%

18%

14%

18%

15%

20%

10%

19%

15%

13%

18%

16%

12%

19%

27%

6%

20%

27%

8%

14%

26%

4%

19%

Good

28%

30%

26%

18%

26%

35%

31%

29%

30%

13%

44%

33%

26%

34%

27%

35%

25%

37%

23%

23%

35%

37%

26%

26%

36%

24%

23%

33%

28%

28%

37%

27%

17%

Only fair

31%

27%

35%

45%

32%

28%

28%

33%

25%

28%

26%

31%

30%

31%

35%

29%

23%

23%

38%

35%

24%

24%

32%

34%

19%

38%

41%

21%

36%

36%

20%

37%

41%

Poor

21%

18%

23%

32%

23%

13%

18%

16%

27%

45%

21%

16%

23%

16%

15%

16%

41%

11%

22%

26%

22%

17%

26%

18%

14%

27%

15%

16%

22%

19%

15%

24%

23%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

4%

6%

3%

0%

4%

4%

8%

6%

0%

2%

0%

1%

6%

2%

8%

0%

1%

10%

3%

3%

1%

6%

4%

4%

3%

6%

0%

3%

6%

3%

3%

8%

0%

NET Excellent/good

44%

49%

39%

23%

41%

55%

46%

45%

48%

26%

53%

52%

40%

52%

41%

55%

35%

56%

37%

35%

53%

53%

38%

45%

63%

30%

44%

60%

36%

42%

63%

31%

36%

NET Fair/poor

52%

45%

58%

77%

55%

41%

46%

49%

52%

73%

47%

47%

54%

46%

50%

45%

64%

34%

59%

62%

46%

41%

58%

51%

34%

64%

56%

37%

58%

55%

34%

61%

64%

Number of respondents

407

206

194

58

110

139

83

270

45

49

32

177

227

126

143

47

78

90

83

149

85

99

164

144

158

215

34

120

122

136

165

152

65

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

14%

25%

33%

24%

68%

10%

12%

8%

34%

65%

24%

43%

9%

20%

22%

19%

38%

21%

23%

40%

37%

39%

53%

8%

29%

32%

33%

40%

39%

16%

 

(Split B) The stock market

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Excellent

12%

16%

7%

8%

8%

16%

10%

15%

2%

8%

0%

19%

8%

24%

10%

9%

2%

17%

11%

6%

17%

11%

13%

10%

19%

7%

4%

19%

7%

11%

19%

5%

11%

Good

23%

28%

19%

10%

17%

27%

33%

24%

25%

14%

31%

30%

20%

31%

20%

29%

20%

24%

26%

19%

27%

24%

25%

20%

31%

16%

27%

29%

18%

25%

32%

15%

17%

Only fair

34%

29%

38%

52%

36%

32%

27%

33%

49%

33%

29%

30%

36%

28%

36%

35%

37%

20%

46%

41%

24%

31%

37%

32%

28%

38%

35%

29%

38%

35%

28%

43%

30%

Poor

21%

18%

24%

25%

20%

19%

17%

17%

22%

38%

24%

15%

24%

11%

20%

20%

33%

20%

10%

21%

30%

19%

18%

25%

14%

27%

8%

13%

27%

18%

14%

25%

25%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

11%

9%

13%

5%

19%

6%

12%

11%

2%

7%

16%

6%

13%

6%

13%

7%

8%

19%

7%

12%

3%

15%

6%

13%

7%

11%

26%

10%

10%

11%

7%

12%

17%

NET Excellent/good

35%

44%

26%

17%

25%

43%

44%

39%

27%

22%

31%

49%

28%

55%

31%

38%

22%

41%

36%

25%

43%

35%

39%

30%

51%

24%

31%

48%

25%

36%

52%

20%

28%

NET Fair/poor

55%

47%

61%

77%

56%

51%

45%

50%

71%

71%

53%

45%

59%

39%

56%

56%

70%

40%

56%

63%

54%

50%

55%

57%

42%

66%

43%

43%

65%

53%

42%

68%

54%

Number of respondents

407

206

194

58

110

139

83

270

45

49

32

177

227

126

143

47

78

90

83

149

85

99

164

144

158

215

34

120

122

136

165

152

65

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

14%

25%

33%

24%

68%

10%

12%

8%

34%

65%

24%

43%

9%

20%

22%

19%

38%

21%

23%

40%

37%

39%

53%

8%

29%

32%

33%

40%

39%

16%

 

(Split A) Prices for food and consumer goods

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Excellent

<.5%

<1%

0%

<.5%

0%

<1%

0%

<.5%

0%

<1%

0%

<1%

0%

1%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

<.5%

<1%

0%

<.5%

<1%

0%

<1%

<.5%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

<.5%

Good

11%

15%

8%

6%

6%

7%

26%

12%

9%

6%

24%

10%

12%

10%

13%

9%

11%

13%

9%

11%

13%

10%

17%

6%

21%

<1%

11%

14%

7%

14%

23%

0%

4%

Only fair

23%

23%

23%

26%

28%

20%

20%

24%

22%

19%

36%

32%

17%

34%

17%

29%

18%

18%

27%

22%

26%

22%

26%

20%

38%

11%

11%

38%

14%

21%

30%

8%

30%

Poor

65%

61%

69%

67%

65%

72%

54%

64%

69%

73%

40%

56%

71%

54%

71%

61%

70%

69%

64%

65%

61%

68%

57%

73%

40%

88%

77%

46%

79%

65%

47%

92%

65%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

1%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

0%

1%

0%

<1%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

0%

<1%

<1%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

<.5%

<1%

<.5%

<.5%

2%

0%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

<.5%

<1%

NET Excellent/good

12%

16%

8%

6%

6%

8%

26%

12%

9%

6%

24%

11%

12%

11%

13%

10%

11%

13%

9%

12%

13%

10%

17%

6%

22%

<1%

11%

15%

7%

14%

23%

0%

4%

NET Fair/poor

88%

84%

92%

94%

93%

92%

74%

88%

91%

93%

76%

88%

88%

89%

87%

90%

89%

87%

91%

87%

87%

90%

82%

94%

78%

99%

87%

85%

92%

86%

77%

100%

95%

Number of respondents

416

211

202

71

97

143

84

263

47

72

27

214

202

135

128

74

72

84

94

137

101

90

186

140

191

186

39

126

111

141

195

129

73

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

17%

22%

30%

27%

64%

12%

17%

6%

41%

59%

25%

39%

15%

20%

21%

22%

33%

24%

20%

45%

35%

46%

42%

11%

30%

27%

34%

47%

28%

19%

 

(Split A) The housing market

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Excellent

2%

<.5%

3%

<.5%

1%

1%

4%

2%

0%

3%

0%

2%

1%

2%

2%

3%

0%

<1%

<.5%

1%

4%

1%

<1%

3%

3%

<1%

0%

4%

<1%

<1%

3%

<1%

<.5%

Good

13%

18%

9%

8%

9%

13%

22%

14%

13%

11%

18%

13%

13%

16%

12%

9%

15%

10%

14%

15%

13%

12%

18%

8%

25%

4%

3%

21%

7%

14%

22%

3%

12%

Only fair

26%

21%

31%

34%

21%

26%

25%

26%

27%

25%

36%

27%

25%

27%

25%

29%

26%

24%

29%

28%

22%

19%

31%

24%

31%

23%

17%

29%

20%

28%

29%

22%

26%

Poor

53%

53%

53%

58%

64%

57%

35%

50%

60%

60%

46%

53%

53%

51%

50%

56%

59%

55%

52%

48%

60%

66%

44%

57%

36%

69%

64%

43%

66%

53%

41%

71%

54%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

6%

7%

4%

0%

5%

3%

15%

9%

0%

2%

0%

4%

7%

5%

11%

2%

0%

10%

5%

8%

0%

1%

6%

8%

5%

4%

16%

3%

7%

4%

6%

3%

8%

NET Excellent/good

15%

19%

11%

8%

10%

14%

25%

16%

13%

13%

18%

15%

15%

17%

14%

13%

15%

11%

15%

16%

17%

13%

19%

11%

28%

4%

3%

25%

8%

14%

24%

4%

12%

NET Fair/poor

79%

74%

84%

92%

85%

84%

60%

76%

87%

85%

82%

81%

78%

78%

75%

86%

85%

78%

81%

76%

83%

86%

75%

81%

67%

92%

81%

72%

85%

82%

70%

93%

80%

Number of respondents

416

211

202

71

97

143

84

263

47

72

27

214

202

135

128

74

72

84

94

137

101

90

186

140

191

186

39

126

111

141

195

129

73

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

17%

22%

30%

27%

64%

12%

17%

6%

41%

59%

25%

39%

15%

20%

21%

22%

33%

24%

20%

45%

35%

46%

42%

11%

30%

27%

34%

47%

28%

19%

 

(Split B) Gas prices

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Excellent

3%

4%

<1%

0%

6%

1%

3%

3%

2%

0%

2%

4%

2%

5%

3%

4%

0%

7%

2%

<.5%

2%

4%

4%

<1%

4%

2%

2%

4%

3%

2%

4%

0%

6%

Good

14%

13%

15%

6%

13%

18%

12%

13%

16%

8%

28%

22%

10%

21%

9%

25%

13%

15%

15%

11%

15%

19%

11%

14%

29%

4%

7%

29%

3%

14%

28%

3%

9%

Only fair

34%

29%

39%

53%

38%

28%

30%

35%

40%

33%

20%

36%

33%

40%

33%

29%

32%

31%

41%

38%

25%

33%

36%

32%

41%

25%

61%

37%

22%

44%

39%

26%

43%

Poor

49%

53%

44%

42%

42%

53%

54%

48%

42%

57%

49%

38%

54%

35%

55%

42%

55%

47%

41%

49%

57%

44%

48%

53%

25%

69%

27%

30%

73%

39%

29%

70%

42%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

<1%

<1%

<1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

<1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<.5%

2%

<.5%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

0%

NET Excellent/good

16%

17%

16%

6%

19%

19%

16%

17%

18%

8%

31%

26%

12%

26%

12%

29%

13%

22%

17%

12%

18%

22%

15%

14%

33%

5%

10%

33%

5%

16%

32%

3%

15%

NET Fair/poor

83%

82%

83%

94%

79%

81%

84%

83%

82%

91%

69%

74%

87%

74%

87%

71%

87%

78%

81%

87%

82%

77%

84%

85%

66%

94%

89%

67%

94%

83%

67%

97%

85%

Number of respondents

407

206

194

58

110

139

83

270

45

49

32

177

227

126

143

47

78

90

83

149

85

99

164

144

158

215

34

120

122

136

165

152

65

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

14%

25%

33%

24%

68%

10%

12%

8%

34%

65%

24%

43%

9%

20%

22%

19%

38%

21%

23%

40%

37%

39%

53%

8%

29%

32%

33%

40%

39%

16%

 

(Split A) Wages and incomes

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Excellent

4%

6%

1%

<.5%

0%

5%

9%

4%

2%

5%

3%

3%

4%

3%

4%

3%

4%

4%

2%

4%

5%

2%

5%

4%

5%

1%

7%

6%

5%

2%

7%

<.5%

2%

Good

24%

25%

24%

14%

22%

21%

37%

25%

15%

21%

37%

31%

19%

31%

21%

29%

16%

17%

31%

23%

27%

14%

34%

18%

41%

8%

15%

39%

15%

22%

38%

9%

18%

Only fair

31%

28%

34%

39%

24%

38%

23%

36%

30%

20%

19%

28%

33%

34%

37%

19%

27%

38%

27%

32%

27%

29%

29%

35%

32%

33%

18%

34%

34%

30%

28%

37%

29%

Poor

39%

40%

38%

47%

49%

36%

30%

34%

53%

49%

36%

36%

41%

31%

36%

45%

51%

38%

39%

39%

40%

52%

32%

41%

21%

55%

55%

21%

46%

42%

24%

52%

49%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

2%

1%

2%

0%

5%

<1%

1%

<1%

0%

5%

5%

2%

2%

<.5%

1%

3%

3%

3%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

<1%

3%

4%

0%

<.5%

4%

2%

1%

2%

NET Excellent/good

28%

31%

25%

14%

22%

26%

46%

29%

17%

26%

40%

35%

24%

35%

26%

32%

20%

21%

32%

27%

32%

16%

38%

22%

47%

10%

22%

45%

20%

24%

46%

10%

20%

NET Fair/poor

70%

68%

73%

86%

73%

73%

53%

70%

83%

69%

55%

64%

74%

65%

73%

65%

77%

76%

66%

71%

66%

82%

60%

76%

53%

88%

74%

55%

80%

72%

52%

89%

78%

Number of respondents

416

211

202

71

97

143

84

263

47

72

27

214

202

135

128

74

72

84

94

137

101

90

186

140

191

186

39

126

111

141

195

129

73

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

17%

22%

30%

27%

64%

12%

17%

6%

41%

59%

25%

39%

15%

20%

21%

22%

33%

24%

20%

45%

35%

46%

42%

11%

30%

27%

34%

47%

28%

19%

 

In the dispute between Israel and the Palestinians [pah-luh-stin-ians], which side do you sympathize with more: Israel or the Palestinians [pah-luh-stin-ians]?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Israel

40%

43%

37%

16%

34%

45%

54%

46%

23%

27%

27%

35%

42%

42%

49%

22%

29%

42%

27%

47%

38%

32%

35%

50%

22%

58%

24%

26%

64%

32%

25%

64%

25%

Palestinians

24%

23%

26%

51%

28%

16%

16%

21%

31%

31%

39%

34%

19%

32%

14%

38%

30%

21%

32%

19%

29%

35%

26%

16%

39%

12%

22%

42%

8%

25%

39%

8%

24%

[VOL] Both equally (Includes neither)

15%

17%

13%

12%

21%

10%

16%

13%

24%

12%

21%

15%

15%

11%

15%

22%

15%

12%

17%

16%

15%

12%

19%

13%

20%

9%

24%

15%

7%

22%

19%

7%

23%

[VOL] Don’t know/Refused

21%

17%

24%

21%

17%

29%

14%

20%

21%

29%

13%

16%

24%

15%

23%

17%

27%

26%

24%

18%

18%

22%

21%

21%

19%

21%

31%

17%

21%

21%

17%

21%

28%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

For each of the following items, tell me whether you support or oppose the policy.

Providing additional economic and military support to Ukraine

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Strongly support

35%

39%

31%

21%

26%

33%

53%

38%

28%

23%

37%

43%

30%

47%

34%

35%

24%

36%

33%

32%

39%

34%

38%

31%

62%

14%

16%

56%

21%

34%

59%

13%

23%

Somewhat support

24%

22%

26%

34%

24%

23%

20%

25%

19%

24%

26%

25%

24%

27%

24%

21%

24%

22%

28%

20%

29%

31%

24%

20%

21%

26%

26%

23%

30%

21%

19%

28%

27%

Somewhat oppose

13%

11%

14%

16%

17%

14%

6%

11%

19%

16%

10%

10%

14%

11%

12%

10%

19%

15%

10%

14%

10%

8%

11%

17%

8%

17%

14%

9%

11%

15%

8%

16%

16%

Strongly oppose

23%

23%

22%

24%

28%

27%

12%

20%

24%

29%

21%

20%

25%

13%

25%

31%

22%

23%

23%

24%

22%

23%

22%

24%

7%

36%

28%

10%

32%

23%

11%

36%

25%

[VOL] Have not heard of this

<.5%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

<.5%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

6%

4%

8%

4%

5%

3%

9%

5%

9%

8%

6%

2%

8%

2%

7%

3%

10%

5%

6%

10%

1%

5%

5%

8%

3%

6%

16%

2%

6%

7%

3%

7%

9%

NET Support

59%

61%

56%

55%

51%

56%

73%

64%

48%

47%

63%

68%

54%

74%

57%

56%

48%

57%

61%

52%

67%

65%

62%

51%

83%

41%

42%

79%

51%

55%

78%

41%

50%

NET Oppose

35%

34%

36%

40%

44%

41%

18%

31%

43%

45%

31%

30%

39%

23%

36%

41%

42%

38%

33%

38%

31%

31%

33%

41%

14%

53%

42%

19%

43%

38%

19%

52%

41%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

Making it harder for migrants at the southern border to seek asylum in the United States

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Strongly support

31%

32%

30%

9%

23%

42%

40%

35%

18%

21%

29%

30%

31%

31%

38%

28%

19%

34%

26%

32%

30%

25%

31%

35%

12%

51%

14%

12%

55%

26%

15%

56%

24%

Somewhat support

19%

21%

17%

27%

20%

17%

17%

18%

21%

24%

14%

23%

16%

23%

15%

21%

20%

16%

25%

16%

19%

23%

19%

15%

23%

14%

26%

20%

12%

22%

23%

11%

22%

Somewhat oppose

18%

17%

18%

29%

21%

15%

12%

18%

21%

17%

16%

16%

19%

17%

18%

15%

20%

15%

20%

19%

16%

20%

15%

20%

25%

11%

18%

27%

7%

20%

22%

10%

21%

Strongly oppose

25%

23%

27%

31%

27%

21%

21%

22%

27%

30%

39%

27%

24%

25%

20%

29%

31%

28%

20%

22%

31%

24%

29%

21%

33%

18%

28%

35%

18%

24%

34%

17%

21%

[VOL] Have not heard of this

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

<1%

0%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

2%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

1%

0%

<1%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

8%

7%

8%

4%

9%

6%

9%

7%

12%

8%

1%

4%

10%

4%

9%

5%

10%

7%

8%

10%

4%

9%

6%

9%

7%

7%

15%

6%

8%

7%

6%

7%

12%

NET Support

49%

52%

47%

35%

43%

58%

57%

53%

39%

45%

43%

52%

48%

54%

52%

49%

39%

50%

51%

48%

49%

48%

50%

50%

35%

65%

40%

32%

67%

48%

38%

67%

46%

NET Oppose

43%

40%

45%

60%

49%

36%

33%

40%

49%

47%

54%

43%

42%

43%

38%

44%

51%

43%

41%

41%

47%

43%

43%

41%

58%

29%

45%

61%

25%

44%

56%

26%

42%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

Thinking about the investigations into Donald Trump, do you think that Donald Trump has or has not committed any serious federal crimes?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Donald Trump has committed serious federal crimes

53%

50%

56%

74%

45%

47%

56%

48%

68%

63%

65%

62%

48%

61%

41%

65%

64%

55%

55%

45%

62%

62%

60%

39%

91%

21%

47%

85%

21%

57%

87%

12%

56%

Donald Trump has not committed serious federal crimes

36%

38%

34%

21%

36%

44%

38%

42%

20%

28%

23%

30%

40%

33%

47%

23%

25%

32%

33%

45%

30%

28%

30%

49%

4%

68%

23%

10%

67%

33%

6%

77%

30%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

11%

12%

10%

6%

19%

10%

6%

10%

12%

10%

13%

8%

12%

6%

13%

12%

11%

13%

12%

10%

8%

10%

10%

12%

5%

12%

29%

6%

13%

10%

7%

11%

14%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

What single news source do you turn to most often?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

[VOL] Fox News

10%

9%

11%

7%

5%

12%

12%

11%

1%

8%

9%

8%

11%

9%

13%

5%

7%

9%

6%

12%

10%

5%

10%

12%

<1%

18%

7%

2%

22%

5%

<1%

23%

5%

[VOL] CNN

7%

8%

6%

6%

8%

9%

4%

5%

19%

8%

10%

8%

7%

6%

4%

13%

12%

5%

10%

7%

8%

11%

8%

4%

10%

5%

5%

15%

2%

5%

11%

3%

8%

[VOL] MSNBC

2%

3%

2%

<1%

0%

2%

7%

3%

6%

<1%

0%

4%

2%

5%

1%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

5%

3%

3%

1%

6%

<.5%

0%

7%

<.5%

<1%

5%

<.5%

0%

[VOL] Public Radio/NPR/PBS

3%

4%

3%

4%

5%

3%

2%

4%

2%

<1%

11%

6%

2%

6%

2%

8%

<1%

4%

4%

3%

2%

6%

2%

3%

7%

<1%

4%

5%

1%

4%

6%

<1%

2%

[VOL] Talk radio/conservative personality

<.5%

<1%

0%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

<1%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

<.5%

<1%

0%

<1%

0%

[VOL] National television networks, like CBS, NBC or ABC

13%

10%

16%

5%

9%

13%

21%

13%

14%

18%

8%

11%

14%

13%

13%

9%

16%

13%

17%

14%

8%

14%

11%

15%

14%

11%

18%

13%

15%

11%

14%

11%

15%

[VOL] Local broadcast news (includes non-talk, non-public local radio)

7%

4%

10%

3%

8%

6%

12%

8%

9%

3%

8%

2%

10%

2%

11%

4%

8%

8%

6%

8%

6%

3%

6%

11%

8%

6%

8%

8%

6%

8%

8%

5%

6%

[VOL] National print or online news organizations, like The New York Times or The Wall Street Journal

6%

7%

6%

9%

5%

6%

8%

7%

3%

5%

11%

13%

3%

13%

3%

11%

2%

6%

9%

4%

8%

9%

6%

5%

12%

2%

4%

10%

2%

8%

11%

3%

4%

[VOL] Local print or online news organizations

1%

1%

1%

0%

<.5%

1%

2%

1%

<1%

1%

5%

2%

1%

1%

<1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

<1%

2%

1%

2%

<.5%

2%

<1%

0%

<1%

1%

2%

2%

<1%

1%

[VOL] Social media

17%

19%

15%

35%

21%

14%

6%

14%

22%

26%

15%

13%

19%

9%

17%

21%

24%

17%

18%

18%

14%

21%

18%

13%

14%

18%

24%

12%

13%

22%

15%

16%

23%

[VOL] Friends and family

<1%

<.5%

1%

2%

1%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

2%

0%

0%

<.5%

<1%

<.5%

<1%

0%

1%

0%

2%

<1%

0%

1%

<1%

0%

<1%

<1%

0%

2%

0%

<.5%

<1%

<.5%

1%

[VOL] International news sources (such as the BBC, Al Jazeera and The Guardian)

3%

3%

3%

4%

3%

3%

<1%

3%

0%

4%

2%

4%

2%

5%

2%

3%

2%

3%

2%

3%

4%

3%

4%

1%

4%

2%

2%

3%

1%

4%

3%

1%

3%

[VOL] Aggregation sites (such as Bing, Google, Yahoo News or Apple News)

5%

4%

6%

7%

4%

7%

3%

5%

5%

5%

3%

5%

5%

5%

5%

3%

5%

5%

4%

5%

5%

6%

5%

4%

6%

4%

6%

7%

3%

5%

6%

3%

5%

[VOL] Conservative news sites

3%

4%

2%

3%

3%

3%

3%

4%

0%

2%

1%

2%

3%

3%

4%

<1%

1%

3%

<.5%

5%

2%

1%

1%

6%

<.5%

6%

0%

<.5%

6%

3%

<.5%

7%

<1%

[VOL] Newsmax

1%

1%

1%

0%

<1%

2%

2%

2%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

2%

2%

0%

0%

3%

1%

1%

<.5%

0%

2%

2%

0%

3%

0%

0%

3%

<1%

0%

4%

0%

[VOL] Liberal news sites (Such as Mother Jones and Occupy Democrats)

<1%

1%

<1%

0%

1%

2%

0%

<.5%

0%

2%

3%

<.5%

1%

0%

<1%

1%

2%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

3%

0%

1%

<1%

1%

0%

2%

2%

0%

<.5%

2%

0%

<.5%

[VOL] Doesn’t consume news

2%

2%

<1%

<1%

2%

1%

<1%

2%

<1%

<.5%

0%

<1%

2%

<1%

3%

<.5%

<.5%

3%

2%

<1%

1%

<.5%

2%

2%

<.5%

3%

0%

<.5%

4%

<.5%

<.5%

2%

3%

[VOL] Other (includes no preference and the internet)

12%

14%

11%

6%

16%

11%

14%

13%

10%

10%

11%

14%

12%

15%

12%

11%

10%

15%

9%

10%

17%

11%

13%

12%

11%

14%

14%

8%

15%

13%

11%

14%

14%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

5%

5%

4%

7%

7%

4%

3%

5%

5%

5%

5%

5%

5%

5%

5%

5%

5%

3%

6%

4%

6%

4%

4%

6%

4%

5%

8%

4%

5%

5%

4%

5%

7%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

How often, if ever, do you use social media, such as Facebook, Instagram, TikTok or others?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Often

50%

44%

57%

75%

57%

48%

34%

49%

49%

58%

51%

54%

48%

52%

47%

58%

51%

48%

59%

46%

52%

51%

54%

46%

53%

49%

41%

54%

47%

52%

51%

47%

61%

Sometimes

21%

24%

17%

18%

21%

24%

18%

19%

24%

25%

20%

20%

21%

19%

19%

19%

25%

21%

18%

23%

19%

20%

21%

20%

18%

22%

28%

20%

21%

19%

19%

21%

21%

Rarely

12%

15%

10%

5%

12%

13%

17%

14%

10%

7%

10%

12%

12%

13%

14%

11%

8%

13%

9%

15%

9%

12%

10%

14%

10%

14%

11%

11%

15%

10%

11%

15%

9%

Never

17%

18%

15%

2%

8%

16%

32%

18%

15%

10%

20%

14%

18%

15%

19%

12%

15%

17%

13%

16%

20%

17%

15%

19%

18%

14%

20%

15%

18%

18%

20%

17%

9%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

<.5%

0%

<.5%

0%

1%

0%

0%

<.5%

2%

0%

0%

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

<.5%

<1%

0%

<.5%

<1%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

(If social media user) How often, if ever, do you use TikTok?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Often

15%

13%

18%

44%

15%

10%

4%

13%

26%

23%

8%

11%

18%

7%

17%

20%

22%

8%

20%

18%

15%

15%

17%

14%

15%

15%

19%

14%

13%

17%

14%

12%

29%

Sometimes

10%

10%

10%

14%

14%

11%

3%

8%

7%

20%

9%

11%

9%

11%

7%

9%

16%

12%

10%

9%

10%

11%

11%

8%

10%

10%

9%

12%

7%

10%

10%

9%

12%

Rarely

10%

9%

10%

13%

12%

9%

7%

9%

11%

8%

14%

13%

8%

15%

6%

10%

11%

14%

6%

10%

9%

12%

10%

8%

13%

7%

7%

14%

8%

7%

13%

7%

8%

Never

48%

49%

47%

26%

49%

55%

54%

51%

39%

39%

50%

50%

46%

51%

50%

48%

36%

48%

50%

47%

47%

45%

47%

51%

43%

53%

44%

44%

54%

48%

43%

55%

42%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

<.5%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

<.5%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<.5%

[PREVIOUSLY] Never use social media

17%

18%

15%

2%

8%

16%

32%

18%

15%

10%

20%

14%

18%

15%

19%

12%

15%

17%

13%

16%

20%

17%

15%

19%

18%

14%

20%

15%

18%

18%

20%

17%

9%

[PREVIOUSLY] Don't know/Refused

<.5%

0%

<.5%

0%

1%

0%

0%

<.5%

2%

0%

0%

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

<.5%

<1%

0%

<.5%

<1%

<.5%

<.5%

0%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

And just a few more questions for demographic purposes ...

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Very liberal

11%

10%

12%

13%

11%

9%

10%

10%

14%

13%

13%

15%

9%

16%

7%

15%

13%

5%

15%

10%

15%

16%

12%

7%

22%

1%

10%

30%

2%

4%

22%

1%

6%

Somewhat liberal

14%

10%

17%

20%

15%

11%

14%

13%

22%

7%

24%

18%

11%

17%

11%

20%

13%

19%

14%

10%

14%

18%

14%

11%

26%

4%

9%

27%

1%

14%

24%

2%

13%

Moderate

33%

37%

30%

40%

40%

34%

25%

31%

34%

44%

29%

38%

31%

37%

28%

40%

36%

32%

39%

32%

32%

37%

33%

32%

36%

27%

52%

30%

16%

51%

37%

23%

41%

Somewhat conservative

20%

20%

21%

11%

19%

27%

19%

21%

18%

18%

19%

15%

23%

15%

25%

15%

19%

24%

18%

22%

17%

18%

22%

20%

10%

31%

15%

10%

36%

18%

13%

32%

18%

Very conservative

18%

20%

16%

10%

10%

18%

30%

22%

5%

12%

13%

12%

22%

15%

26%

5%

12%

18%

10%

22%

19%

9%

16%

25%

3%

34%

4%

2%

43%

10%

3%

40%

13%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

4%

3%

4%

6%

5%

2%

2%

2%

7%

5%

3%

2%

5%

<1%

3%

4%

6%

3%

4%

4%

3%

3%

3%

5%

3%

3%

10%

2%

3%

2%

2%

3%

8%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

Which of the following general income categories is your total household income before taxes?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Under $25,000

9%

7%

11%

15%

7%

6%

10%

7%

13%

19%

2%

2%

14%

1%

11%

3%

20%

4%

10%

11%

10%

9%

9%

9%

6%

12%

10%

7%

14%

5%

5%

8%

22%

At least $25,000 but under $50,000

17%

15%

19%

20%

12%

12%

25%

17%

20%

16%

16%

7%

23%

8%

23%

7%

24%

23%

15%

16%

14%

23%

14%

16%

15%

18%

21%

15%

15%

21%

16%

16%

19%

At least $50,000 but under $100,000

29%

30%

29%

34%

30%

28%

29%

29%

26%

27%

31%

27%

31%

25%

32%

27%

28%

29%

27%

31%

29%

26%

30%

30%

29%

29%

29%

33%

27%

29%

30%

31%

25%

At least $100,000 but under $200,000

25%

30%

20%

21%

32%

29%

17%

26%

23%

22%

25%

38%

17%

40%

18%

34%

17%

25%

28%

25%

21%

23%

26%

24%

31%

22%

13%

31%

21%

23%

30%

24%

15%

$200,000 or more

12%

15%

9%

4%

13%

18%

10%

14%

5%

9%

15%

21%

7%

22%

9%

19%

3%

12%

12%

8%

19%

12%

12%

13%

11%

13%

12%

9%

17%

12%

12%

14%

8%

[VOL] Refused

8%

4%

12%

7%

6%

7%

9%

6%

12%

8%

11%

6%

8%

4%

8%

10%

9%

6%

9%

9%

8%

7%

9%

7%

8%

6%

15%

5%

6%

10%

6%

7%

11%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

Do you consider yourself Catholic, Protestant, Mormon, Jewish, Muslim, some other religion, or do you have no religious affiliation?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Catholic

20%

22%

18%

17%

18%

24%

17%

18%

6%

41%

22%

19%

20%

18%

17%

21%

27%

17%

35%

11%

23%

25%

24%

11%

16%

21%

28%

18%

22%

18%

17%

20%

24%

Protestant (Christian)

29%

29%

30%

18%

28%

29%

40%

31%

40%

19%

14%

31%

29%

33%

31%

24%

26%

41%

18%

37%

17%

25%

28%

34%

26%

34%

21%

22%

39%

28%

27%

37%

21%

Mormon (LDS)

2%

<1%

3%

4%

1%

2%

<.5%

2%

<1%

3%

0%

1%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

<1%

0%

1%

5%

<1%

2%

2%

<1%

3%

<1%

<.5%

2%

1%

1%

3%

1%

Jewish

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

3%

1%

<1%

1%

4%

1%

5%

1%

2%

<1%

1%

5%

1%

2%

2%

3%

2%

3%

1%

0%

4%

2%

2%

3%

1%

2%

Muslim

1%

<1%

2%

1%

3%

1%

0%

<1%

8%

0%

1%

3%

<1%

1%

<.5%

6%

<1%

2%

3%

1%

<.5%

3%

2%

<.5%

<1%

1%

5%

2%

0%

3%

2%

<.5%

2%

[VOL] Christian (includes Baptist, Lutheran, Episcopalian, Methodist, Adventist, Presbyterian)

13%

10%

15%

11%

7%

15%

16%

13%

19%

10%

10%

7%

15%

7%

16%

8%

15%

8%

4%

21%

11%

8%

9%

19%

11%

15%

6%

10%

20%

9%

9%

18%

11%

[VOL] Greek/Russian Orthodox

<.5%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

2%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

1%

<1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

<1%

0%

0%

Some other religion (specify)

2%

2%

2%

1%

4%

1%

1%

<.5%

1%

2%

15%

3%

<1%

<1%

<.5%

8%

2%

2%

2%

<1%

3%

4%

2%

<1%

3%

1%

<1%

3%

<.5%

2%

3%

<.5%

2%

No religious affiliation

28%

32%

25%

46%

33%

24%

19%

30%

22%

21%

36%

30%

27%

32%

29%

26%

24%

24%

32%

24%

35%

28%

28%

28%

35%

21%

33%

37%

14%

32%

34%

18%

36%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

3%

2%

3%

<.5%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

0%

2%

3%

1%

3%

2%

2%

5%

<1%

2%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

5%

1%

<1%

5%

3%

3%

<.5%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

(Without combination) (If Protestant, Christian, Mormon, Greek/Russian Orthodox or some other religion) Do you consider yourself an evangelical or born-again Christian?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Yes

28%

26%

30%

18%

21%

31%

39%

29%

43%

23%

12%

22%

31%

24%

32%

18%

32%

31%

13%

40%

22%

23%

24%

36%

22%

37%

16%

22%

45%

21%

23%

38%

23%

No

16%

16%

17%

17%

18%

12%

17%

16%

14%

13%

26%

20%

14%

18%

15%

23%

13%

19%

9%

17%

18%

18%

15%

16%

19%

14%

12%

16%

13%

18%

17%

17%

13%

[PREVIOUSLY] Catholic, Jewish, Muslim, no religious affiliation or refused

52%

56%

48%

59%

59%

53%

40%

52%

37%

62%

59%

56%

50%

57%

48%

55%

52%

47%

76%

37%

59%

59%

56%

43%

55%

46%

69%

59%

38%

57%

56%

42%

60%

[VOL] Refused

4%

2%

6%

6%

2%

4%

4%

4%

7%

2%

2%

2%

5%

2%

5%

4%

4%

3%

3%

6%

2%

0%

4%

5%

4%

4%

3%

3%

4%

4%

4%

3%

4%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

Do you own or rent your home or apartment?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Own home or apartment

66%

66%

65%

20%

64%

78%

81%

75%

49%

42%

56%

72%

62%

78%

73%

58%

41%

72%

68%

64%

60%

53%

61%

78%

63%

68%

61%

63%

73%

64%

66%

76%

44%

Rent home or apartment

29%

28%

29%

61%

32%

18%

17%

21%

44%

44%

41%

24%

31%

19%

23%

36%

47%

24%

28%

30%

32%

41%

33%

16%

30%

26%

36%

29%

22%

31%

27%

20%

49%

[VOL] Another living arrangement

4%

4%

5%

16%

2%

2%

2%

3%

4%

11%

3%

4%

5%

3%

3%

5%

8%

3%

2%

5%

7%

4%

5%

4%

5%

4%

3%

8%

4%

2%

6%

2%

6%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

1%

2%

<.5%

3%

2%

<1%

<.5%

<1%

3%

3%

0%

<.5%

2%

<.5%

1%

<1%

4%

<1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

2%

<1%

<.5%

<.5%

3%

1%

2%

<.5%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

(If independent, another party or not sure) And as of today, do you lean more to:

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

The Democratic Party

34%

36%

32%

41%

30%

24%

42%

36%

30%

31%

34%

47%

26%

53%

26%

36%

29%

38%

36%

32%

29%

39%

39%

25%

81%

5%

9%

-

-

38%

68%

3%

26%

The Republican Party

46%

48%

43%

43%

46%

56%

45%

50%

32%

35%

41%

35%

53%

36%

59%

33%

38%

42%

44%

48%

51%

41%

41%

55%

3%

88%

33%

-

-

46%

15%

90%

46%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

20%

16%

25%

16%

24%

20%

13%

14%

38%

34%

25%

18%

21%

11%

16%

31%

32%

21%

20%

20%

20%

20%

20%

20%

16%

7%

58%

-

-

16%

17%

6%

29%

Number of respondents

344

195

144

62

95

107

64

213

35

54

28

164

178

103

110

54

62

87

73

119

65

72

158

114

124

162

58

277

133

93

81

Percent of total electorate

100%

54%

45%

19%

26%

26%

24%

63%

9%

16%

8%

37%

61%

23%

40%

13%

20%

25%

21%

35%

18%

19%

45%

35%

37%

44%

19%

82%

38%

27%

24%

 

Combined: Party identification and leaners

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

The Democratic Party

43%

41%

45%

54%

43%

38%

44%

39%

72%

43%

46%

56%

36%

55%

29%

57%

52%

38%

50%

39%

48%

55%

47%

31%

90%

7%

13%

100%

0%

38%

83%

3%

31%

The Republican Party

49%

52%

45%

38%

46%

55%

50%

56%

15%

41%

42%

37%

56%

41%

65%

29%

35%

52%

42%

52%

46%

37%

44%

61%

4%

90%

40%

0%

100%

46%

11%

95%

53%

[VOL] Don't know/Refused

8%

7%

9%

8%

11%

7%

5%

5%

13%

16%

12%

7%

8%

4%

6%

14%

13%

10%

8%

8%

7%

8%

9%

8%

6%

3%

47%

0%

0%

16%

6%

2%

16%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 

Would you be open to commenting on the issues in this survey and be interested in being contacted by a reporter?

Registered Voters

Gender

Age

Race/Ethnicity

Education

Race/Education

Region

Urbanicity

2024 Vote Choice

Party ID

2020 Vote

Men

Women

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Oth.

B.A.+

No B.A.

White, college

White, no college

Non-white, college

Non-white, no college

Midwest

North-East

South

West

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

Oth.

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Biden

Trump

Did not vote

Yes

33%

41%

25%

29%

38%

37%

28%

32%

33%

29%

40%

40%

28%

41%

27%

37%

30%

29%

37%

33%

32%

39%

34%

27%

33%

33%

31%

35%

25%

38%

35%

31%

27%

No

67%

59%

75%

71%

62%

63%

72%

68%

67%

71%

60%

60%

72%

59%

73%

63%

70%

71%

63%

67%

68%

61%

66%

73%

67%

67%

69%

65%

75%

62%

65%

69%

73%

Number of respondents

823

417

396

129

207

282

167

533

92

121

59

391

429

261

271

121

150

174

177

286

186

189

350

284

349

401

73

246

233

277

360

281

138

Percent of total electorate

100%

49%

50%

16%

23%

31%

25%

66%

11%

14%

7%

37%

62%

25%

41%

12%

20%

21%

21%

35%

23%

22%

42%

36%

43%

48%

10%

29%

30%

34%

44%

34%

18%

 
Party ID is self-identified party, without leaners; independents include only self-identified independents. Gender is self-reported if the respondent completed the full questionnaire; otherwise, it is based on the interviewer’s determination. If neither are available, it is as reported on the voter file.

*Marianne Williamson was included only on Feb. 28, after she announced she was “unsuspending” her campaign.

Methodology

The New York Times/Siena College poll of 980 registered voters nationwide, including 823 who completed the full survey, was conducted in English and Spanish on cellular and landline telephones from Feb. 25 to 28, 2024. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points for registered voters and plus or minus 3.8 percentage points for the likely electorate. Among those who completed the full survey, the margin of sampling error is plus or minus 4 percentage points for registered voters and plus or minus 4.2 percentage points for the likely electorate.

Sample

The survey is a response rate-adjusted stratified sample of registered voters on the L2 voter file. The sample was selected by The New York Times in multiple steps to account for differential telephone coverage, nonresponse and significant variation in the productivity of telephone numbers by state.

First, records were selected by state. To adjust for noncoverage bias, the L2 voter file was stratified by statehouse district, party, race, gender, marital status, household size, turnout history, age and home ownership. The proportion of registrants with a telephone number and the mean expected response rate were calculated for each stratum. The mean expected response rate was based on a model of unit nonresponse in prior Times/Siena surveys. The initial selection weight was equal to the reciprocal of a stratum’s mean telephone coverage and modeled response rate. For respondents with multiple telephone numbers on the L2 file, the number with the highest modeled response rate was selected.

Second, state records were selected for the national sample. The number of records selected by state was based on a model of unit nonresponse in prior Times/Siena national surveys as a function of state (as a random effect), telephone number quality and other demographic and political characteristics. The state’s share of records was equal to the reciprocal of the mean response rate of the state’s records, divided by the national sum of the weights. In 12 states, the models of response were inadvertently fit using data that did not suppose that “dropoff” respondents – those who completed the questions used for weighting, but subsequently dropped out of the interview before answering the last question – would be counted as completed interviews for this survey. This was corrected with a post-hoc selection weight, described below in the weighting section.

Fielding

The sample was stratified according to political party, race and region and fielded by the Siena College Research Institute, with additional field work by ReconMR, the Public Opinion Research Laboratory at the University of North Florida and the Institute of Policy and Opinion Research at Roanoke College. Interviewers asked for the person named on the voter file and ended the interview if the intended respondent was not available. Overall, 94 percent of respondents were reached on a cellular telephone.

The instrument was translated into Spanish by ReconMR. Bilingual interviewers began the interview in English and were instructed to follow the lead of the respondent in determining whether to conduct the survey in English or Spanish. Monolingual Spanish-speaking respondents who were initially contacted by English-speaking interviewers were recontacted by Spanish-speaking interviewers. Overall, 3 percent of interviews among self-reported Hispanics were conducted in Spanish, including 4 percent of weighted interviews.

An interview was determined to be complete for the purposes of inclusion in the ballot test question if the respondent did not drop out of the survey by the end of the two self-reported variables used in weighting — age and education — and answered at least one of the age, education or presidential election ballot test questions.

Weighting — registered voters

The survey was weighted by The Times using the R survey package in multiple steps.

First, the sample was adjusted for unequal probability of selection by stratum, interacted by whether a respondent was from one of twelve states in which the sample was inadvertently drawn using response models that had been fit supposing that respondents who dropped off would not be counted as completed interviews.

Second, the sample was weighted to match voter file-based parameters for the characteristics of registered voters.

The following targets were used:

• Party (party registration if available, or else classification based on a model of vote choice in prior Times/Siena polls) by whether the respondent’s race is modeled as white or nonwhite (L2 model)

• Age (Self-reported age, or voter file age if the respondent refuses) by gender (L2)

• Race or ethnicity (L2 model)

• Education (four categories of self-reported education level, weighted to match NYT-based targets derived from Times/Siena polls, census data and the L2 voter file)

• White/non-white race by college or non-college educational attainment (L2 model of race weighted to match NYT-based targets for self-reported education)

• Marital status (L2 model)

• Home ownership (L2 model)

• National region (NYT classifications by state) by whether a state was among the 12 states drawn inadvertently supposing that only completed interviews would be classified as complete (See unequal selection weight for additional details).

• Turnout history (NYT classifications based on L2 data)

• Method of voting in the 2020 elections (NYT classifications based on L2 data)

• Metropolitan status (2013 NCHS Urban–Rural Classification Scheme for Counties)

• Census tract educational attainment (NYT classifications based on American Community Survey data)

Finally, the sample of respondents who completed all questions in the survey was weighted identically, as well as to the result for the general election horse race question (including leaners) on the full sample.

Weighting — likely electorate

The survey was weighted by The Times using the R survey package in multiple steps.

First, the samples were adjusted for unequal probability of selection by stratum.

Second, the first-stage weight was adjusted to account for the probability that a registrant would vote in the 2024 election, based on a model of turnout in the 2020 election.

Third, the sample was weighted to match targets for the composition of the likely electorate. The targets for the composition of the likely electorate were derived by aggregating the individual-level turnout estimates described in the previous step for registrants on the L2 voter file. The categories used in weighting were the same as those previously mentioned for registered voters.

Fourth, the initial likely electorate weight was adjusted to incorporate self-reported intention to vote intention. The final probability that a registrant would vote in the 2024 election was four-fifths based on their ex ante modeled turnout score and one-fifth based on their self-reported intentions, based on prior Times/Siena polls, including a penalty to account for the tendency of survey respondents to turn out at higher rates than nonrespondents. The final likely electorate weight was equal to the modeled electorate rake weight, multiplied by the final turnout probability and divided by the ex ante modeled turnout probability.

Finally, the sample of respondents who completed all questions in the survey was weighted identically, as well as to the result for the general election horse race question (including leaners) on the full sample.

The margin of error accounts for the survey’s design effect, a measure of the loss of statistical power due to survey design and weighting. The design effect for the full sample is 1.28 for registered voters and 1.45 for the likely electorate. The design effect for the sample of completed interviews is 1.35 for registered voters and 1.53 for the likely electorate.

Historically, The Times/Siena Poll’s error at the 95th percentile has been plus or minus 5.1 percentage points. Real-world error includes sources of error beyond sampling error, such as nonresponse bias and coverage error.

Composition of the Sample

Group

Unweighted All R.V.s

Weighted All R.V.s

Weighted Likely Electorate

N

Gender

Men

50%

49%

48%

492

Women

49

50

51

478

Age

18 to 29

16

16

13

159

30 to 44

26

23

21

251

45 to 64

33

32

34

328

65 and older

19

24

26

189

Education

High school

17

31

29

168

Some college

36

30

30

355

College

24

23

25

237

Post-graduate

22

15

16

214

Home Ownership (L2 Model)

Likely renter

26

27

23

254

Likely homeowner

43

45

51

418

Unknown

31

28

26

308

Marital Status (L2 Model)

Married

33

33

39

327

Nontraditional

9

8

9

93

Unknown

57

58

52

560

Party (Self-Reported)

Democrat

29

28

29

281

Republican

28

30

32

278

Independent

32

32

31

312

Party (Based on L2 Data)

Democrat

34

34

36

335

Republican

29

29

33

282

Other

37

37

31

363

Race (L2 Model)

White

63

63

66

619

Hispanic

13

12

11

128

Black

11

10

8

108

Asian

3

3

3

26

Other

3

3

3

26

Race (L2 Model)

White

63

63

66

619

Nonwhite

29

29

26

288

National Region

Midwest

22

22

22

212

Northeast

22

20

20

218

South

35

35

35

344

West

21

23

23

206

Turnout History (Based on L2 Data)

Voted in last midterm and in a primary

40

41

50

390

Voted in last two midterms

22

23

26

220

Voted in last general, no midterm

13

13

12

128

Did not vote in last general or midterm

15

14

6

150

New registrant

9

8

6

92