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Tuesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Pulls Back Sharply On Profit-Taking & Production Concerns; The Time For Speculation Is Coming To An End: Objective Tightening Is Needed For The Next Leg Higher; Gas Demand To Hold Steady Today As Heat Continues Across The West But The East Remains Mild
Tuesday, June 10, 2025 This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Whipsaw trading in the natural gas sector continues. After rising to a one-month high on Friday, gas prices gave up these gains and then some on Monday. The front-month July 2025 contract fell 15 cents or 3.9% to settle at $3.64/MMBTU, the lowest since May 30. The 1x ETF UNG fell -3.6% while 2x BOIL shed -7.0%. The 2x ETFs BOIL and KOLD continue their bimonthly rollover. As of Monday evening, the funds hold 40% T+2 September contracts and 60% July contracts. The rollover will wrap up on Thursday. Look for both products to be less volatile than expected based on front-month pricing. UNG continues to hold July contracts and will begin its monthly rollover into August contracts in the next 10 days.
In addition to profit-taking for the exceptionally overvalued commodity, Monday’s pullback was also likely driven by a weekend rise in production. Despite a continued decline in both oil and gas drilling and well completion activity, production stubbornly rose back above 107 BCF/day ove...
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