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Tuesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Pulls Back Sharply On Profit-Taking & Production Concerns; The Time For Speculation Is Coming To An End: Objective Tightening Is Needed For The Next Leg Higher; Gas Demand To Hold Steady Today As Heat Continues Across The West But The East Remains Mild
Tuesday, June 10, 2025
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Whipsaw trading in the natural gas sector continues. After rising to a one-month high on Friday, gas prices gave up these gains and then some on Monday. The front-month July 2025 contract fell 15 cents or 3.9% to settle at $3.64/MMBTU, the lowest since May 30. The 1x ETF UNG fell -3.6% while 2x BOIL shed -7.0%. The 2x ETFs BOIL and KOLD continue their bimonthly rollover. As of Monday evening, the funds hold 40% T+2 September contracts and 60% July contracts. The rollover will wrap up on Thursday. Look for both products to be less volatile than expected based on front-month pricing. UNG continues to hold July contracts and will begin its monthly rollover into August contracts in the next 10 days.
In addition to profit-taking for the exceptionally overvalued commodity, Monday’s pullback was also likely driven by a weekend rise in production. Despite a continued decline in both oil and gas drilling and well completion activity, production stubbornly rose back above 107 BCF/day ove...
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