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Wednesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Slumps For Second Session To 2-Week Lows; Warming Mid-To-Late June Temperature Outlook Set To Provide Early Insight To Cooling Season Trajectory; Gas Demand To Hold Flat Again Today As Midwest & East Warm But Texas Cools
Wednesday, June 11, 2025
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas prices fell sharply for a second straight session on Tuesday as investors lamented loose inventories and a so-so near-term temperature outlook. The front-month July 2025 contract fell by 10 cents or 2.8% to settle at $3.53/MMBTU, the lowest close since May 29. The 1x ETF UNG lost -3.0% while 2x BOIL dropped -5.5%. BOIL continues its bimonthly rollover into September contracts and, as of Tuesday evening, holds 60% September contracts and 40% July contracts. The rollover will conclude on Thursday. Over the next 2 weeks or so, expect 2x ETF volatility to be decreased relative to the front-month.
Prices continue to be pressured lower by loose imbalances secondary to weak LNG export demand due to the busiest maintenance season in years and production that refuses to dip. Opposing these two bearish catalysts has been an increase in the natural gas share of the powerstack in recent weeks. I discussed all three of these elements in Monday’s and Tuesday’s Commentaries. So fa...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
