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    MT-02 Polling Memo[24]

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    MT-02 Polling Memo[24]

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    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
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    1K views1 page

    MT-02 Polling Memo

    Uploaded by

    Breitbart News
    MT-02 Polling Memo[24]

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    of 1

    TO: INTERESTED PARTIES

    FROM: BROOKS KOCHVAR, PARTNER GUIDANT POLLING AND STRATEGY


    RE: MT-02 PRIMARY SURVEY RESULTS
    DATE: APRIL 22, 2024
    ____________________________________________________________________________________

    Guidant Polling and Strategy conducted a survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters in Montana’s
    2nd Congressional District April 14-17, 2024. A majority of the interviews were conducted via cell phones, with
    additional interviews done via text to web and landline phones. The margin of error is +/-4.9% at a 95% confidence
    interval. Previously GPS had conducted a survey for Troy Downing’s campaign in January and February.

    KEY FINDINGS:
     Troy Downing has seen steady significant growth in his image since entering the race for Congress. In January
    30% of voters had a favorable opinion of Downing and last week 48% of voters had a favorable opinion of him.
    Troy Downing Image
    Please tell me whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of each of the following people.

    48%
    41%
    30%

    12%
    7% 7%

    Jan '24 February '24 April '24

     Not only do voters have a favorable opinion of Downing, but he also leads in the primary election race for
    Montana’s 2nd District. Downing is now receiving 38% of the vote, with Denny Rehberg at 26%, Elsie Arntzen at
    10, and 27% undecided.
    Now from a different list of candidates, thinking about the Republican primary election for United States House
    of Representatives, if the election was held today and the candidates were Elsie Arntzen, Troy Downing, and
    Denny Rehberg for whom would you vote?
    Arntzen Downing Rehberg Undecided

    38%
    26% 27%
    10%

    CONCLUSION
    With six weeks to go until Montana’s primary election, Downing enters the home stretch of the campaign in a strong
    position to defeat lobbyist Denny Rehberg.

    www.guidantps.com

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