Wisconsin Election Results

Updated Jan. 27, 2023, 1:33 PM ET

Ga. Senate Runoff ›

Senator Raphael Warnock of Georgia, a Democrat, won a runoff election to defeat Herschel Walker, a Trump-backed Republican and former football star.
Democrats Win 51 Seats

Democrats will gain a seat in the new Congress, retaining the power to advance the president’s agenda and his judicial and cabinet picks. ›
U.S. House ›

Calif. 3
R wins

Calif. 9
D wins

Calif. 13
R wins

Calif. 22
R wins

Calif. 27
R wins

Calif. 47
D wins

Colo. 3
R wins

Colo. 8
D wins
Ga. Runoff: Warnock vs. Walker ›

Tonight: follow live results and our forecast from Georgia as the final Senate seat in the 2022 midterm elections is decided.
WINNER

John Duarte, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent California’s 13th Congressional District. ›
U.S. Senate ›

Ariz.
D wins

Ga.
Runoff

Nev.
D wins

N.H.
D wins

N.C.
R wins

Ohio
R wins

Pa.
D wins

Wis.
R wins
WINNER

David Valadao, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent California’s 22nd Congressional District. ›
WINNER

Katie Porter, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent California’s 47th Congressional District. ›
Republicans Win the House

Republicans formally captured 218 House seats, a delayed yet consequential finish to the 2022 midterm elections. ›
WINNER

Mike Garcia, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent California’s 27th Congressional District. ›
WINNER

Yadira Caraveo, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Colorado’s Eighth Congressional District. ›
WINNER

Brandon Williams, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent New York’s 22nd Congressional District. ›
WINNER

David Schweikert, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Arizona’s First Congressional District. ›
WINNER

Katie Hobbs, an election official who stood up to allies of Donald Trump, beat his Republican pick for Arizona’s governor, Kari Lake. ›
Where Senate Candidates Outperformed Biden and Trump ›

Individual showings of Senate winners varied widely. Here’s how they performed when compared with the 2020 presidential candidates.
WINNER

Cisco Aguilar, a Democratic lawyer, defeated Jim Marchant, a leading promoter of election conspiracy theories, in the race to be Nevada’s secretary of state. ›
WINNER

Senator Catherine Cortez Masto of Nevada won a second term, beating Adam Laxalt, a Trump acolyte, and dealing a blow to Republicans. ›
WINNER

Adrian Fontes, a Democrat, defeated Mark Finchem, a G.O.P. election denier who marched to the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, in the race to be Arizona’s secretary of state. ›
WINNER

Senator Mark Kelly of Arizona, a Democrat, won a tough re-election campaign, beating Blake Masters, a Trump-backed venture capitalist. ›
WINNER

In Nevada’s race for governor, Joe Lombardo, a Trump-backed sheriff, beat Gov. Steve Sisolak, a Democrat who was criticized over pandemic-era shutdowns. ›
WINNER

Susie Lee, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Nevada’s Third Congressional District. ›
WINNER

Dina Titus, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Nevada’s First Congressional District. ›
WINNER

Kim Schrier, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Washington’s Eighth Congressional District. ›
WINNER

Tina Kotek, a Democrat, fended off two well-funded challengers in the race for governor of Oregon. She will be one of the nation’s first openly lesbian governors. ›
WINNER

Eric Sorensen, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Illinois’s 17th Congressional District. ›
Tracking the Remaining House Races ›

We’re tracking the remaining uncalled House races, and the most recently called races, as states continue to count the remaining votes.
Mont. Legislative Referendum 131 ›

Montana voters rejected a proposal that would have required medical interventions to save those that the state defines as “born alive” infants.
WINNER

Gabe Vasquez, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Mexico’s Second Congressional District. ›
Nev. Governor ›

One of the tightest governor’s races in the country is between Gov. Steve Sisolak, a Democrat, and Joe Lombardo, the Las Vegas-area sheriff who was endorsed by Donald Trump.
Abortion on the Ballot ›

Abortion rights were put to the test in the midterm elections. Here are the results that mattered most for abortion access.
Alaska U.S. Senate ›

Senator Lisa Murkowski, a Republican, is facing a strong challenge from the Trump-endorsed Kelly Tshibaka. Because Alaska uses ranked choice voting, we may not know the winner until Nov. 23.
WINNER

Susan Wild, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Pennsylvania’s Seventh Congressional District. ›

L. Boebert	R	50%
A. Frisch	D	50%

100% in

M. Molinaro	R	51%
J. Riley	D	49%

>95% in

K. Kobach	R	51%
C. Mann	D	49%

100% in

C. Cortez Masto	D	49%
A. Laxalt	R	48%

100% in

R. Johnson	R	51%
M. Barnes	D	49%

100% in

J. Fetterman	D	51%
M. Oz	R	46%

100% in

J. Fetterman	D	51%
M. Oz	R	46%

100% in

T. Budd	R	51%
C. Beasley	D	47%

U.S. Senate Johnson wins

100% of votes in

Governor Evers wins

100% of votes in

Att. General Kaul wins

>95% of votes in

U.S. Senate

Senator Ron Johnson, a conservative, is his chamber’s most endangered Republican incumbent. He faces Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes, whom Democrats have promoted as one of the party’s rising leaders.

U.S. Senate
Candidate	Party	Votes	Percent
Ron Johnsonincumbent	Republican Rep.	1,337,185	50.5%
Mandela Barnes	Democrat Dem.	1,310,467	49.5%
Total reported	2,647,652
*Incumbent

Governor

Tim Michels, a Trump-backed Republican, is challenging Gov. Tony Evers, a Democrat, in a general election that will shape voting access in the state. Mr. Evers has vetoed over a dozen Republican-passed bills to change the state’s voting laws.

Governor
Candidate	Party	Votes	Percent
Tony Eversincumbent	Democrat Dem.	1,358,774	51.2%
Tim Michels	Republican Rep.	1,268,535	47.8%
Joan Ellis Beglinger	Independent Ind.	27,198	1.0%
Total reported	2,654,507
*Incumbent

U.S. House

All Races
District Dist.	Margin	Candidates	Candidates	Percent of votes in
1	R+9	Steilincumbent Republican	Roe Democrat	100%	›
2	D+44	Pocanincumbent Democrat	Olsen Republican	100%	›
3	R+4	Van Orden Republican	Pfaff Democrat	100%	›
4	D+53	Mooreincumbent Democrat	Rogers Republican	100%	›
5	R+29	Fitzgeraldincumbent Republican	Van Someren Democrat	100%	›
6		Grothmanincumbent Republican	Uncontested		›
7	R+24	Tiffanyincumbent Republican	Ausman Democrat	100%	›
8	R+57	Gallagherincumbent Republican	Boucher Independent	100%	›

*Incumbent

State Legislature

Trifecta status

Tracking state government party control in Wisconsin

Governor

democrat

State Senate

republican

State Assembly

republican

State Senate

0 0

11 Dem.

22 Rep.

State Senate
District Dist.	Candidates	Candidates	Percent of votes in
1	Jacqueincumbent Republican 60%	Gage-Michaels Democrat 40%	>95%
3	Carpenterincumbent Democrat 69%	Sanchez Republican 31%	>95%
5	Hutton Republican 53%	Katzenmeyer Democrat 47%	>95%
7	Larsonincumbent Democrat 67%	Gilbert Republican 33%	>95%
9	LeMahieuincumbent Republican	Uncontested
11	Nassincumbent Republican 58%	Doelder Democrat 42%	>95%
13	Jaglerincumbent Republican	Uncontested
15	Spreitzer Democrat 61%	Trofimchuck Republican 39%	>95%
17	Markleinincumbent Republican 60%	Skogen Democrat 40%	>95%
19	Cabral-Guevara Republican 54%	Alfheim Democrat 46%	>95%
21	Wanggaardincumbent Republican	Uncontested
23	James Republican	Uncontested
25	Quinn Republican 57%	Westlund Democrat 43%	>95%
27	Hesselbein Democrat 68%	Relph Republican 32%	>95%
29	Tomczyk Republican 62%	Look Democrat 38%	>95%
31	Smithincumbent Democrat 50.5%	Estenson Republican 49.5%	>95%
33	Kapengaincumbent Republican	Uncontested

*Incumbent

State Assembly

0 0

35 Dem.

64 Rep.

State Assembly
District Dist.	Candidates	Candidates	Percent of votes in
1	Kitchensincumbent Republican 63%	Thelen Democrat 37%	>95%
2	Sortwellincumbent Republican 59%	Gasch Democrat 41%	>95%
3	Tuslerincumbent Republican	Uncontested
4	Steffenincumbent Republican 56%	Teague Democrat 44%	>95%
5	Goeben Republican 60%	Van Deurzen Democrat 40%	>95%
6	Schmidt Republican 66%	Switalla Democrat 34%	>95%
7	Riemerincumbent Democrat 62%	Marshall Republican 38%	>95%
8	Ortiz-Velezincumbent Democrat	Uncontested
9	Cabreraincumbent Democrat 72%	Antczak Republican 28%	>95%
10	Madison Democrat	Uncontested
11	Drakeincumbent Democrat	Uncontested
12	Myersincumbent Democrat 79%	Canady Republican 21%	>95%
13	Michalski Republican 56%	Harrison Democrat 44%	>95%
14	Viningincumbent Democrat 63%	Turner Republican 37%	>95%
15	Maxey Republican	Uncontested
16	Haywoodincumbent Democrat	Uncontested
17	Moore Omokundeincumbent Democrat 84%	Eisenbach Republican 16%	>95%
18	Goykeincumbent Democrat	Uncontested
19	Clancy Democrat	Uncontested
20	Sinickiincumbent Democrat 66%	Hermann Republican 34%	>95%
21	Rodriguezincumbent Republican 54%	Jurowski Democrat 46%	>95%
22	Brandtjenincumbent Republican 65%	Brown Democrat 35%	>95%
23	Andracaincumbent Democrat 63%	Nath Republican 37%	>95%
24	Knodlincumbent Republican 61%	Tatterson Democrat 39%	>95%
25	Tittlincumbent Republican	Uncontested
26	Katsmaincumbent Republican 63%	Salgado Democrat 37%	>95%
27	Binsfeld Republican 65%	Gerlach Independent 35%	>95%
28	Magnaficiincumbent Republican 62%	Schachtner Democrat 38%	>95%
29	Mosesincumbent Republican 60%	Johnson Democrat 40%	>95%
30	Zimmermanincumbent Republican 59%	Yacoub Democrat 41%	>95%
31	Schutt Republican 59%	Brown Democrat 41%	>95%
32	Augustincumbent Republican 63%	Jaramillo Democrat 37%	>95%
33	Johnson Republican 50.5%	Vruwinkincumbent Democrat 49.5%	>95%
34	Swearingenincumbent Republican 62%	Daniel Democrat 38%	>95%
35	Callahanincumbent Republican 70%	Frederick Independent 30%	>95%
36	Mursauincumbent Republican 70%	Murray Democrat 30%	>95%
37	Pentermanincumbent Republican 56%	McCarville Democrat 44%	>95%
38	Dittrichincumbent Republican	Uncontested
39	Bornincumbent Republican	Uncontested
40	Petersenincumbent Republican 75%	Fries Independent 25%	>95%
41	Dallmanincumbent Republican	Uncontested
42	Plumerincumbent Republican 60%	Valencia Democrat 40%	>95%
43	Jacobson Democrat 62%	Voelkel Republican 38%	>95%
44	Conleyincumbent Democrat 62%	Zimmerman Republican 38%	>95%
45	Anderson Democrat 56%	Klett Republican 44%	>95%
46	Ratcliff Democrat 70%	McKinney Republican 30%	>95%
47	Andersonincumbent Democrat 80%	Newsom Republican 20%	>95%
48	Baldehincumbent Democrat	Uncontested
49	Tranelincumbent Republican 63%	Parrott Democrat 37%	>95%
50	Kurtzincumbent Republican 65%	Leuth Democrat 35%	>95%
51	Novakincumbent Republican 56%	Spicer Democrat 44%	>95%
52	O’Connor Republican 62%	Lavrenz Democrat 38%	>95%
53	Schraaincumbent Republican	Uncontested
54	Palmeri Democrat 54%	Herman Republican 46%	>95%
55	Gustafson Republican 55%	Holt Democrat 45%	>95%
56	Murphyincumbent Republican 59%	Hayden Democrat 41%	>95%
57	Snodgrassincumbent Democrat 59%	Fox Republican 41%	>95%
58	Gundrumincumbent Republican 70%	Rzeszutek Democrat 30%	>95%
59	Bodden Republican	Uncontested
60	Brooksincumbent Republican 65%	Larsen Democrat 35%	>95%
61	Nedweski Republican 64%	Winkels Democrat 36%	>95%
62	Wittkeincumbent Republican 61%	Hammes Democrat 39%	>95%
63	Vosincumbent Republican 73%	Total Write-Ins 27%	>95%
64	McGuireincumbent Democrat 57%	Hibsch Republican 43%	>95%
65	Ohnstadincumbent Democrat 62%	Petrick Republican 38%	>95%
66	Neubauerincumbent Democrat 77%	Hutton Libertarian 23%	>95%
67	Summerfieldincumbent Republican 63%	Bennett Democrat 37%	>95%
68	Hurd Republican 61%	Otto Democrat 39%	>95%
69	Rozarincumbent Republican 64%	Boero Democrat 36%	>95%
70	VanderMeerincumbent Republican 66%	Gomez Democrat 34%	>95%
71	Shanklandincumbent Democrat 57%	Soik Republican 43%	>95%
72	Krugincumbent Republican 62%	Greening Democrat 38%	>95%
73	Sapik Republican 51%	Gapske Democrat 49%	>95%
74	Green Republican 53%	Adams Democrat 47%	>95%
75	Armstrongincumbent Republican	Uncontested
76	Hongincumbent Democrat	Uncontested
77	Stubbsincumbent Democrat	Uncontested
78	Subeckincumbent Democrat 82%	Neuhaus Republican 18%	>95%
79	Joers Democrat 74%	Fueger Republican 26%	>95%
80	Bare Democrat 70%	Luginbuhl Republican 30%	>95%
81	Considineincumbent Democrat 59%	Benish Republican 41%	>95%
82	Wichgersincumbent Republican 57%	Davis Democrat 43%	>95%
83	Rettinger Republican 79%	Self Independent 21%	>95%
84	Donovan Republican 51%	Bird Democrat 49%	>95%
85	Snyderincumbent Republican 56%	Conway Democrat 44%	>95%
86	Spirosincumbent Republican	Uncontested
87	Edmingincumbent Republican 70%	Riley Democrat 30%	>95%
88	Maccoincumbent Republican 58%	Beauchamp-Pope Democrat 42%	>95%
89	Behnkeincumbent Republican 64%	Benson Democrat 36%	>95%
90	Sheltonincumbent Democrat 59%	Behnke Republican 41%	>95%
91	Emersonincumbent Democrat 65%	Stanley Republican 35%	>95%
92	Pronschinskeincumbent Republican 63%	Bamonti Democrat 37%	>95%
93	Petrykincumbent Republican 60%	Page Democrat 40%	>95%
94	Doyleincumbent Democrat 51%	Huebsch Republican 49%	>95%
95	Billingsincumbent Democrat 67%	Woodard Republican 33%	>95%
96	Oldenburgincumbent Republican 59%	Swiggum Democrat 41%	>95%
97	Allenincumbent Republican	Uncontested
98	Neylonincumbent Republican 59%	Barry Democrat 41%	>95%
99	Duchowincumbent Republican 70%	Dahms Democrat 30%	>95%

*Incumbent

Other Races

Attorney General

Attorney General
Candidates	Candidates	Percent of votes in
Kaulincumbent Democrat 50.7%	Toney Republican 49.3%	>95%	›
*Incumbent

Secretary of State

Secretary of State
Candidates	Candidates	Percent of votes in
La Folletteincumbent Democrat 48.3%	Loudenbeck Republican 48.0%	>95%	›
*Incumbent

Treasurer

Treasurer
Candidates	Candidates	Percent of votes in
Leiber Republican 49.6%	Richardson Democrat 48.2%	>95%	›

Analyzing the vote

Your guide to the midterm results, from Times reporters

Key races ›

Democrats secure “trifectas” in many competitive states

Democrats held onto or gained “trifectas” in a number of states and fended off Republican supermajorities in others. Taking control of the governorship and both legislative chambers in these states could ease Democrats’ ability to pass legislation on an array of issues. Read more › — Andrew Fischer Nov. 17, 2022
Arizona Governor ›

In Arizona governor’s race, post-election ballot tallies narrow the margin

The gap between the candidates for Arizona governor narrowed considerably after Nov. 8 as late absentee ballots were tallied, including ones dropped off on Election Day. These ballots, which in 2020 favored Trump, were not enough to tilt the election in favor of the Republican candidate Kari Lake. — Christine Zhang Nov. 14, 2022
Senate analysis ›

Where Senate Candidates Outperformed Biden and Trump

With Senator Cortez Masto’s victory in Nevada, Democrats will retain Senate control, even if Republicans win a run-off election in Georgia. While Tuesday’s election represented a strong performance by a first-term president’s party, the individual showings of Senate candidates varied widely. Read more › — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 14, 2022
U.S. House ›

Candidates with ties to QAnon conspiracy theory lose ground

Three Republican House candidates who have supported QAnon underperformed compared with Trump, despite most House Republicans outperforming the former president. Lauren Boebert, incumbent in Colorado’s 3rd district, is in an unexpectedly close race in what was considered a safe Republican district. — Albert Sun Nov. 10, 2022
Georgia Senate ›

Where Walker received less of the vote than Kemp

More than 200,000 Georgia voters cast ballots for Brian Kemp, Republican candidate for governor, but did not vote for Herschel Walker in the Senate race. Compared to Kemp’s reported votes, Walker’s fell short in every county, but especially in the Atlanta area and its suburbs. — Jason Kao Nov. 10, 2022
Mich. Proposal 3 ›

Where Michiganders supported abortion rights and a Republican for governor

Support for the abortion proposal was stronger than support for reelected Governor Gretchen Whitmer, a Democrat, in 76 of the state’s 83 counties. Eight counties that voted Yes on the proposal also voted for the Republican candidate for governor, Tudor Dixon. — Alicia Parlapiano Nov. 10, 2022
Path to 218 ›

Tracking the remaining House races

As of noon Eastern time, Democrats have won 190 House seats, Republicans have won 208, and 37 are still undecided. If Republicans win all of the races where they are currently leading by two points or more, they’ll take control of the House. Follow along here › — Alicia Parlapiano Nov. 10, 2022
Texas Governor ›

Greg Abbott wins in Texas, but still lagged in Hispanic counties

In Texas, majority-Hispanic counties also swung to the right, but to a much lesser degree than in Florida. Voters in these counties overall continued to support the Democratic candidate for governor, Beto O’Rourke. — Albert Sun Nov. 9, 2022
Florida Governor ›

DeSantis made large gains in Hispanic counties

Majority-Hispanic counties in Florida voted to reelect Gov. Ron DeSantis over Democratic opponent Charlie Crist by a margin of 11 percentage points. These same counties favored Biden over Trump in 2020 by a margin of 8 percentage points — a whopping 19-point swing. — Albert Sun Nov. 9, 2022
Drug policy ›

Mixed success for marijuana ballot measures

Maryland and Missouri voted to legalize recreational marijuana for people 21 and older, while voters in Arkansas, North Dakota and South Dakota rejected similar measures. In Colorado, a measure to decriminalize certain psychedelics is close but yet to be decided. — Alicia Parlapiano Nov. 9, 2022
Abortion access ›

Where the midterms mattered most for abortion access

Voters in three states enshrined lasting protections for abortion rights in their state Constitutions. In two states, shifts in state power could lead to new restrictions. In Ariz., Mont., Neb. and Pa., competitive state races with consequences for abortion remain too close to call. Read more › — NYT Graphics Nov. 9, 2022
Pennsylvania elections ›

Four Pennsylvania counties split their tickets

John Fetterman, the Democratic candidate for Senate, won by a smaller margin than Josh Shapiro, the Democratic candidate for governor. Four counties — all of which supported Trump in 2020 — voted for Shapiro but chose Dr. Oz, the Republican, for the Senate. — Ruth Igielnik Nov. 9, 2022
Michigan elections ›

In Michigan’s national and state-level races, Democrats triumph

Democratic House candidates outperformed Biden in several Michigan districts, bucking a rightward trend and maintaining seven of their seats. Democrats also won the Governor’s office, State Senate, and appear poised to take the State Assembly, and voters affirmed abortion rights in the state. — Albert Sun Nov. 9, 2022
U.S. House ›

New York could be an important key in pathway to Republican control of House

House districts rated as tossups have been called mostly in favor of Democrats so far, with one state as a glaring exception: New York. Republicans have won in four of five New York tossup seats, and the Republican candidate is ahead in the fifth. — Lauren Leatherby Nov. 9, 2022
Election deniers ›

Which 2020 election deniers and skeptics won

More than 210 Republicans who questioned the 2020 election have won seats in the U.S. House and Senate and in state races for governor, secretary of state and attorney general, according to results as of 12 p.m. Eastern on Wednesday. Here’s who won › — NYT Graphics Nov. 9, 2022
Georgia Governor ›

In Georgia, a tale of two races

While the race for Georgia’s senate seat remains extremely tight, the Governor’s race was decided last night. Brian Kemp gained more votes compared to Trump in 2020 all across Georgia, beating Stacey Abrams by a more than seven-point margin. — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 9, 2022
Ohio Senate ›

Vance carries Ohio Senate amidst statewide left swing

J.D. Vance won Ohio handily even as almost every part of the state voted more for Democrats than they did in 2020. — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 9, 2022
Nevada Senate ›

Nevada’s urban counties could tighten race

Cortez Masto is behind in Nevada at the moment, but there are a lot of votes left in Clark and Washoe, counties home to the state's largest cities. The remaining vote there could tighten the race as it is counted. — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 9, 2022
U.S. Senate ›

Three key Senate races to watch

The Senate races in Georgia, Nevada and Arizona are very tight, and vote counting is expected to drag into the week. The outcomes of the races in these three states will decide the balance of power in the Senate. — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 9, 2022
Texas Governor ›

Despite defeat, O’Rourke maintained support along the border

The feared Democratic collapse along the Rio Grande didn’t materialize. Beto O’Rourke performed better than expected in these majority-Hispanic counties. — Nate Cohn Nov. 9, 2022
U.S. Senate ›

What each party needs to win control of the Senate

Democrats and Republicans each need to win three more competitive Senate seats to win control of the chamber (in addition to the races they are expected to win most easily). Here’s the state of the closest races: — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 9, 2022
Pennsylvania Senate ›

Fetterman ahead in counties finished counting

With more counties nearly finished counting, things keep looking better for Lt. Gov. John Fetterman. He’s outperforming Biden across the state and is currently up 8 points in counties that were the closest in 2020. — Alicia Parlapiano Nov. 9, 2022
When polls close ›

Polls close at midnight Eastern in two states

Alaska has competitive races for both the Senate and the House, neither of which is a straightforward Democrat-versus-Republican affair. Don’t expect quick results in either race; officials in Alaska won’t finish counting absentee ballots for about two weeks. — Maggie Astor Nov. 8, 2022
Florida Governor ›

How Majority-Hispanic counties voted in Florida

Gov. DeSantis outperformed Trump in Florida in every county that has nearly finished counting votes. While the three majority-Hispanic counties — Hendry, Miami-Dade and Osceola — shifted the most, Latino turnout tends to drop more in the midterms compared with other groups. — Alicia Parlapiano Nov. 8, 2022
Arizona Senate ›

Arizona’s Senate race looks like a tossup

The early vote in Arizona has been strong for Democrat Mark Kelly, but we expect a good portion of the in-person and late-counted mail vote to favor Blake Masters. It could be awhile before all votes are counted. — Alicia Parlapiano Nov. 8, 2022
When polls close ›

Polls close at 11 p.m. Eastern in two states

In Washington State, Senator Patty Murray is facing a strong Republican challenge, though she remains favored to win. Aside from that, the main action at this hour will be in the House, with a close race in Washington’s 8th District and at least half a dozen in California. — Maggie Astor Nov. 8, 2022
Wisconsin Senate ›

Wisconsin is leaning toward Johnson

It’s still early in Wisconsin, but it looks close. In the counties where most of the vote is in, Senator Ron Johnson is running ahead of Trump. — Nate Cohn Nov. 8, 2022
Kentucky Amendment 2 ›

Kentuckians appear to rebuke restrictive abortion amendment

Kentucky, a solidly red state, reelected Rand Paul to the Senate. But so far, voters are rejecting an effort to deny abortion rights. However the state already bans abortions, and that is unlikely to change. — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 8, 2022
Pennsylvania Senate ›

Early returns favor Fetterman

It’s still early, but Fetterman is running ahead of Biden in five Pennsylvania counties that have reported nearly all of their votes. — Nate Cohn Nov. 8, 2022
The Needle ›

How to read The Needle charts

These charts show how the reported vote margin (the dashed line) compares with our estimated final margin (the solid line, surrounded by bands of uncertainty) over time. When reported data comes in that is not what we expected, our model will update and incorporate this new data. — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 8, 2022
Virginia 7th District ›

Fast counting in rural Virginia counties boosts Republican candidate

Rural counties in Virginia’s 7th district are counting votes more quickly than its most populous and left-leaning county, Prince William. It’s giving Yesli Vega, the Republican candidate, an edge over incumbent Abigail Spanberger, though this could be temporary. Here’s where we think votes remain. — Kennedy Elliott Nov. 8, 2022
When polls close ›

Polls close at 10 p.m. Eastern in five states

Nevada is the last big swing state of the day, and virtually everything is up for grabs: The races for Senate, three House seats, governor and secretary of state. There is also an unexpectedly competitive Senate race in Utah between Senator Mike Lee, a Republican, and Evan McMullin, an independent. — Maggie Astor Nov. 8, 2022
Florida Governor ›

Shift to the right in Florida

The shift to the right has been dramatic among counties in Florida reporting nearly all their votes. Eight of those counties that voted for Biden in 2020 shifted 16 points to the right in the race for governor, and 12 points in the Senate race. — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 8, 2022
When polls close ›

Polls close at 9 p.m. Eastern in 10 states

Arizona has multiple races featuring Republicans who have questioned the legitimacy of the 2020 election. In Wisconsin, Senator Ron Johnson, a Republican, is up for re-election against Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes, and there is a close contest for governor. — Maggie Astor Nov. 8, 2022
Ohio Senate ›

Another state with misleading early returns: Ohio

Democrat Tim Ryan leads Republican J.D. Vance in the returns, but almost all of the results are early votes, which we expect to disproportionately favor Democrats. Here’s where we think votes remain. — Alicia Parlapiano Nov. 8, 2022
Georgia Senate ›

Why early results may be misleading in Georgia

Senator Raphael Warnock is out with an early lead in Georgia, but it could all be just a mirage. Most of the vote reporting so far is early, and Democrats are expected to win those votes by a large margin. — Nate Cohn Nov. 8, 2022
The Needle ›

The NYT Needle is live

The Times’s election forecast is now running. We use early returns and polling data to estimate in real time the outcome of the elections for Senate and House control. Here’s how it works › — Nate Cohn Nov. 8, 2022
When polls close ›

Polls close at 8 p.m. Eastern in 19 states and D.C.

Pennsylvania is home to a close Senate race between Lt. Gov. John Fetterman, a Democrat, and Dr. Mehmet Oz, a Republican. Michiganders are voting on abortion rights. And Kansas’ Democratic governor, Laura Kelly, is in a tight re-election race, as is Gov. Janet Mills of Maine. — Maggie Astor Nov. 8, 2022
When polls close ›

Polls close at 7:30 p.m. Eastern in three states

Republicans are favored to win the open Senate races in North Carolina and Ohio, but if Democrats have a better-than-expected day, these are two places we might see evidence of it. We’ll also be watching competitive House races in N.C.-13 and Ohio-9. — Maggie Astor Nov. 8, 2022
Florida Governor ›

Early vote in Miami shows Republican strength

Gov. Ron DeSantis winning the early vote in Miami-Dade County — which voted for Hillary Clinton by +29 points just six years ago — is yet another sign of growing Republican strength among Hispanic voters. — Nate Cohn Nov. 8, 2022
When polls close ›

Polls close at 7 p.m. Eastern in six states

The Georgia Senate race, which could go to a Dec. 6 runoff, could determine which party controls the chamber. In Virginia, the performances of Democratic incumbents in the 2nd and 7th districts may offer early indications of how the party will fare in House races overall. — Maggie Astor Nov. 8, 2022
U.S. House ›

What’s at stake in the House

Republicans must win just 19 competitive seats to retake majority control from the Democrats. To retain control of the House, Democrats must win 46 of these seats (after accounting for the races the parties are expected to win most easily). — Alicia Parlapiano Nov. 8, 2022
When polls close ›

First polls close at 6 p.m. Eastern in Kentucky and Indiana

In Kentucky, voters will decide whether to approve a constitutional amendment that would effectively ensure the implementation of a near-total abortion ban. In Indiana, a House race in the 1st district leans Democratic, but, if the seat were to flip, it could be an early sign of a red wave. — Maggie Astor Nov. 8, 2022
U.S. Senate ›

What’s at stake in the Senate

If Democrats hold onto two seats leaning their way, they will need to win three additional tossup seats to maintain control of the Senate. Republicans would need just two tossup seats beyond what they are favored to win. — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 8, 2022
Results timing ›

Results in key Senate races could take awhile

Six of the eight most competitive Senate races are in states that did not call a winner in the presidential race until after election night: Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. What we expect this year › — Alicia Parlapiano Nov. 8, 2022
Early returns

Be wary of ‘mirages’ on election night

Because of the order in which different types of ballots are counted, early returns can be misleading. In 2020, Virginia’s early vote for president favored Republicans, while Pennsylvania’s skewed toward Democrats. These “mirages” show that vote margins early in the night can change significantly. — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 8, 2022
When polls close ›

Polls in most states will close by 9 p.m. Eastern

Results will begin coming in at 6 p.m. Eastern as the first polls close in Indiana and Kentucky, but the pace will really pick up with a slew of closings at 7 and 8. By 9 p.m., the polls will have closed in a majority of states. — Maggie Astor Nov. 8, 2022

About this data

Demographic data are based on the U.S. Census Bureau 2016–2020 American Community Survey five-year estimates and provided by SocialExplorer.com. The National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) Urban-Rural Classification Scheme for Counties was used to group counties by size. Historical election results are from The Associated Press and from the Voting and Election Science Team, which analyzed precinct results to determine the 2020 presidential vote for 2022 House districts. “Most competitive” counties represent those in which Trump or Biden won by 5 points or less in 2020.

Analyzing the vote

Democrats secure “trifectas” in many competitive states

In Arizona governor’s race, post-election ballot tallies narrow the margin

Where Senate Candidates Outperformed Biden and Trump

Candidates with ties to QAnon conspiracy theory lose ground

Where Walker received less of the vote than Kemp

Where Michiganders supported abortion rights and a Republican for governor

Tracking the remaining House races

Greg Abbott wins in Texas, but still lagged in Hispanic counties

DeSantis made large gains in Hispanic counties

Mixed success for marijuana ballot measures

Where the midterms mattered most for abortion access

Four Pennsylvania counties split their tickets

In Michigan’s national and state-level races, Democrats triumph

New York could be an important key in pathway to Republican control of House

Which 2020 election deniers and skeptics won

In Georgia, a tale of two races

Vance carries Ohio Senate amidst statewide left swing

Nevada’s urban counties could tighten race

Three key Senate races to watch

Despite defeat, O’Rourke maintained support along the border

What each party needs to win control of the Senate

Fetterman ahead in counties finished counting

Polls close at midnight Eastern in two states

How Majority-Hispanic counties voted in Florida

Arizona’s Senate race looks like a tossup

Polls close at 11 p.m. Eastern in two states

Wisconsin is leaning toward Johnson

Kentuckians appear to rebuke restrictive abortion amendment

Early returns favor Fetterman

How to read The Needle charts

Fast counting in rural Virginia counties boosts Republican candidate

Polls close at 10 p.m. Eastern in five states

Shift to the right in Florida

Polls close at 9 p.m. Eastern in 10 states

Another state with misleading early returns: Ohio

Why early results may be misleading in Georgia

The NYT Needle is live

Polls close at 8 p.m. Eastern in 19 states and D.C.

Polls close at 7:30 p.m. Eastern in three states

Early vote in Miami shows Republican strength

Polls close at 7 p.m. Eastern in six states

What’s at stake in the House

First polls close at 6 p.m. Eastern in Kentucky and Indiana

What’s at stake in the Senate

Results in key Senate races could take awhile

Early returns

Be wary of ‘mirages’ on election night

Polls in most states will close by 9 p.m. Eastern