China | Stuck in the trap

New research helps explain why China’s low birth rates are stuck

Spillover effects may be to blame

Two girls salute as they have their photo taken next to a member of the Peoples Armed Police doing crowd control duty on the Great Wall during a visit to the popular tourist site on the first day of the May Labour Day holiday on April 29, 2023 in Beijing, China.
Image: Getty Images

The scars left by China’s population-control policies are clear. Last year, its population started to fall for the first time since 1962; its working-age population has been declining for a decade. A shrinking workforce acts as a drag on growth, and a swelling number of elderly puts pressure on the welfare system.

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This article appeared in the China section of the print edition under the headline “Stuck in the trap”

The baby-bust economy: How declining birth rates will change the world

From the June 3rd 2023 edition

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