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Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022

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2024
2020
Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: June 1, 2022
Primary: August 9, 2022
General: November 8, 2022
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Wisconsin
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2022): R+4
Cook Political Report: Likely Republican
Inside Elections: Lean Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th
Wisconsin elections, 2022
U.S. Congress elections, 2022
U.S. Senate elections, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022

All U.S. House districts, including the 3rd Congressional District of Wisconsin, held elections in 2022. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The primary was scheduled for August 9, 2022. The filing deadline was June 1, 2022.

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3

Derrick Van Orden defeated Brad Pfaff in the general election for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Derrick Van Orden
Derrick Van Orden (R)
 
51.8
 
164,743
Image of Brad Pfaff
Brad Pfaff (D)
 
48.1
 
152,977
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
202

Total votes: 317,922
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3

Brad Pfaff defeated Rebecca Cooke, Deb McGrath, and Mark A. Neumann in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3 on August 9, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Brad Pfaff
Brad Pfaff
 
38.9
 
24,041
Image of Rebecca Cooke
Rebecca Cooke Candidate Connection
 
31.1
 
19,221
Image of Deb McGrath
Deb McGrath Candidate Connection
 
19.1
 
11,770
Image of Mark A. Neumann
Mark A. Neumann Candidate Connection
 
10.8
 
6,672
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0
 
25

Total votes: 61,729
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3

Derrick Van Orden advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3 on August 9, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Derrick Van Orden
Derrick Van Orden
 
99.3
 
65,164
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.7
 
471

Total votes: 65,635
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Voting information

See also: Voting in Wisconsin

Election information in Wisconsin: Nov. 8, 2022, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 4, 2022
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 19, 2022
  • Online: Oct. 19, 2022

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 6, 2022
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 3, 2022
  • Online: Nov. 3, 2022

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 8, 2022
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 8, 2022

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 25, 2022 to Nov. 6, 2022

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

N/A


Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.


Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Rebecca Cooke Democratic Party $486,146 $486,146 $0 As of September 29, 2022
Deb McGrath Democratic Party $738,056 $738,956 $0 As of September 30, 2022
Mark A. Neumann Democratic Party $69,326 $70,227 $0 As of October 15, 2022
Brad Pfaff Democratic Party $1,890,261 $1,873,293 $16,967 As of December 31, 2022
Derrick Van Orden Republican Party $6,479,115 $6,315,254 $177,665 As of December 31, 2022

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]

Race ratings: Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022
Race trackerRace ratings
November 8, 2022November 1, 2022October 25, 2022October 18, 2022
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLean Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesLean RepublicanLean RepublicanLean RepublicanLean Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Wisconsin in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Wisconsin, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Wisconsin U.S. House All candidates 1,000 N/A 2022-06-01 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
  • Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.

Wisconsin District 3
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Wisconsin District 3
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.


Effect of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Wisconsin after the 2020 census

The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[5] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[6]

2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Wisconsin
District 2022 district Political predecessor district
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Wisconsin's 1st 48.3% 50.3% 44.7% 53.9%
Wisconsin's 2nd 70.2% 28.4% 69.4% 29.2%
Wisconsin's 3rd 46.8% 51.5% 46.8% 51.5%
Wisconsin's 4th 75.9% 22.8% 76.2% 22.6%
Wisconsin's 5th 37.9% 60.8% 41.7% 56.8%
Wisconsin's 6th 41.4% 57.0% 41.6% 56.8%
Wisconsin's 7th 39.3% 59.2% 39.3% 59.2%
Wisconsin's 8th 41.5% 57.0% 41.3% 57.2%

Competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Wisconsin.

Wisconsin U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2022
Office Districts/
offices
Seats Open seats Candidates Possible primaries Contested Democratic primaries Contested Republican primaries % of contested primaries Incumbents in contested primaries % of incumbents in contested primaries
2022 8 8 1 22 16 1 5 37.5% 3 42.9%
2020 8 8 1 23 16 3 3 37.5% 1 14.3%
2018 8 8 1 25 16 3 3 37.5% 2 28.6%
2016 8 8 1 23 16 5 3 50.0% 4 57.1%
2014 8 8 1 27 16 3 5 50.0% 3 42.9%


Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Wisconsin in 2022. Information below was calculated on July 26, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Twenty-two candidates filed to run for Wisconsin's eight U.S. House districts, including nine Democrats and 13 Republicans. That's 2.75 candidates per district, less than the 2.88 candidates per district in 2020 and the 3.1 in 2018. This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census. Wisconsin was apportioned eight districts, the same number it was apportioned after the 2010 census.

The 22 candidates who filed this year were the fewest candidates running for Wisconsin's U.S. House seats since 2012, when 20 candidates ran. Twenty-three candidates ran in 2020, 25 in 2018, 23 in 2016, and 27 in 2014.

One district — the 3rd — was open. That was the same number of open seats as every other election cycle since 2012. Rep. Ron Kind (D), the incumbent in the 3rd district, did not file for re-election. Five candidates — four Democrats and one Republican — ran to replace Kind, the most candidates who ran for a seat this year.

There were six contested primaries this year — one Democratic and five Republican. That was the same number as in 2020 and 2018 and two fewer than in 2016 and 2014. Four incumbents — two Democrats and two Republicans — did not face any primary challengers. Two districts — the 6th and the 8th — were guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats made the ballot.

Presidential elections

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+4. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 4 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Wisconsin's 3rd the 194th most Republican district nationally.[7]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Wisconsin's 3rd based on 2022 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
46.8% 51.5%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Wisconsin, 2020

Wisconsin presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 15 Democratic wins
  • 15 Republican wins
  • 1 other win
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party R R R D R R P[8] R D D D R D R R R D R R D R R D D D D D D D R D


Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Wisconsin and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Wisconsin
Wisconsin United States
Population 5,686,986 308,745,538
Land area (sq mi) 54,167 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 85.4% 72.5%
Black/African American 6.4% 12.7%
Asian 2.8% 5.5%
Native American 0.9% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0% 0.2%
Two or more 2.4% 3.3%
Hispanic/Latino 6.8% 18%
Education
High school graduation rate 92.2% 88%
College graduation rate 30.1% 32.1%
Income
Median household income $61,747 $62,843
Persons below poverty level 11.3% 13.4%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


State party control

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Wisconsin's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Wisconsin, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 1 3 4
Republican 1 5 6
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 8 10

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Wisconsin's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Wisconsin, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Tony Evers
Lieutenant Governor Democratic Party Mandela Barnes
Secretary of State Democratic Party Dogulas J. La Follette
Attorney General Democratic Party Josh Kaul

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Wisconsin State Legislature as of November 2022.

Wisconsin State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 12
     Republican Party 21
     Vacancies 0
Total 33

Wisconsin State Assembly

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 38
     Republican Party 57
     Vacancies 4
Total 99

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Wisconsin was a divided government, with Democrats controlling the governorship and Republican majorities in both chambers of the state legislature. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Wisconsin Party Control: 1992-2022
Two years of Democratic trifectas  •  Ten years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D
Senate D R R R D D R D D D D R R R R D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R D D R R R R R R R R R R R R

District history

2020

See also: Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020

Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020 (August 11 Democratic primary)

Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020 (August 11 Republican primary)

General election

General election for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3

Incumbent Ronald James Kind defeated Derrick Van Orden in the general election for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Ronald James Kind
Ronald James Kind (D)
 
51.3
 
199,870
Image of Derrick Van Orden
Derrick Van Orden (R) Candidate Connection
 
48.6
 
189,524
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
224

Total votes: 389,618
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3

Incumbent Ronald James Kind defeated Mark A. Neumann in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3 on August 11, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Ronald James Kind
Ronald James Kind
 
80.6
 
53,064
Image of Mark A. Neumann
Mark A. Neumann
 
19.4
 
12,765
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0
 
12

Total votes: 65,841
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3

Derrick Van Orden defeated Jessi Ebben in the Republican primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3 on August 11, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Derrick Van Orden
Derrick Van Orden Candidate Connection
 
65.9
 
36,395
Image of Jessi Ebben
Jessi Ebben Candidate Connection
 
34.1
 
18,835
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0
 
21

Total votes: 55,251
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2018

See also: Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3

Incumbent Ronald James Kind defeated Steve Toft in the general election for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Ronald James Kind
Ronald James Kind (D)
 
59.7
 
187,888
Image of Steve Toft
Steve Toft (R)
 
40.3
 
126,980

Total votes: 314,868
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3

Incumbent Ronald James Kind advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3 on August 14, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Ronald James Kind
Ronald James Kind
 
100.0
 
59,643

Total votes: 59,643
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3

Steve Toft advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3 on August 14, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Steve Toft
Steve Toft
 
100.0
 
35,768

Total votes: 35,768
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2016

See also: Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Ron Kind (D) faced no opposition in the general election on November 8, 2016. Kind defeated Myron Buchholz in the Democratic primary on August 9, 2016.[9][10]

U.S. House, Wisconsin District 3 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngRon Kind Incumbent 99.9% 257,401
     N/A Write-in 0.1% 169
Total Votes 257,570
Source: Wisconsin Elections Commission


U.S. House, Wisconsin District 3 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngRon Kind Incumbent 81.3% 33,320
Myron Buchholz 18.7% 7,689
Total Votes 41,009
Source: Wisconsin Elections and Ethics Commission

2014

See also: Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District elections, 2014

The 3rd Congressional District of Wisconsin held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Ron Kind (D) defeated Tony Kurtz (R) in the general election.

U.S. House, Wisconsin District 3 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngRon Kind Incumbent 56.5% 155,368
     Republican Tony Kurtz 43.4% 119,540
     Independent Ken Van Doren - Write-in 0% 128
     N/A Scattering 0% 125
Total Votes 275,161
Source: Wisconsin Government Accountability Board
U.S. House, Wisconsin District 3 Republican Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngTony Kurtz 56.7% 13,552
Karen Mueller 23.6% 5,630
Ken Van Doren 19.7% 4,704
Scattering 0.1% 17
Total Votes 23,903
Source: Wisconsin Government Accountability Board

Democratic-held U.S. House district that Trump won

See also: U.S. House districts represented by a Democrat in 2022 and won by Donald Trump in 2020

This is one of 13 U.S. House districts Democrats were defending that Donald Trump (R) won in 2020. The map below highlights those districts. Hover over or click a district to see information such as the incumbent and the presidential vote counts.

See also

Wisconsin 2022 primaries 2022 U.S. Congress elections
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Wisconsin congressional delegation
Voting in Wisconsin
Wisconsin elections:
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Democratic primary battlegrounds
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Ballot access

External links

Footnotes

  1. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  2. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  3. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  4. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  5. Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
  6. Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
  7. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  8. Progressive Party
  9. Wisconsin Government Accountability Board, "Candidate Tracking by Office," accessed June 2, 2016
  10. Politico, "Wisconsin House Primaries Results," August 9, 2016


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
Tony Wied (R)
Republican Party (7)
Democratic Party (3)