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Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022
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Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: June 1, 2022 |
Primary: August 9, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Wisconsin |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Likely Republican Inside Elections: Lean Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th Wisconsin elections, 2022 U.S. Congress elections, 2022 U.S. Senate elections, 2022 U.S. House elections, 2022 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 3rd Congressional District of Wisconsin, held elections in 2022. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The primary was scheduled for August 9, 2022. The filing deadline was June 1, 2022.
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (August 9 Democratic primary)
- Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (August 9 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3
Derrick Van Orden defeated Brad Pfaff in the general election for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Derrick Van Orden (R) | 51.8 | 164,743 | |
![]() | Brad Pfaff (D) | 48.1 | 152,977 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 202 |
Total votes: 317,922 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Rustin Provance (L)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3
Brad Pfaff defeated Rebecca Cooke, Deb McGrath, and Mark A. Neumann in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3 on August 9, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Brad Pfaff | 38.9 | 24,041 |
![]() | Rebecca Cooke ![]() | 31.1 | 19,221 | |
![]() | Deb McGrath ![]() | 19.1 | 11,770 | |
![]() | Mark A. Neumann ![]() | 10.8 | 6,672 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.0 | 25 |
Total votes: 61,729 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Brett Knudsen (D)
- Justin Bradley (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3
Derrick Van Orden advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3 on August 9, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Derrick Van Orden | 99.3 | 65,164 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.7 | 471 |
Total votes: 65,635 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Denise Hurless (R)
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Wisconsin
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rebecca Cooke | Democratic Party | $486,146 | $486,146 | $0 | As of September 29, 2022 |
Deb McGrath | Democratic Party | $738,056 | $738,956 | $0 | As of September 30, 2022 |
Mark A. Neumann | Democratic Party | $69,326 | $70,227 | $0 | As of October 15, 2022 |
Brad Pfaff | Democratic Party | $1,890,261 | $1,873,293 | $16,967 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Derrick Van Orden | Republican Party | $6,479,115 | $6,315,254 | $177,665 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]
Race ratings: Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Wisconsin in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Wisconsin, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Wisconsin | U.S. House | All candidates | 1,000 | N/A | 2022-06-01 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
- Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
District map
Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.
Wisconsin District 3
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Wisconsin District 3
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Effect of redistricting
The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[5] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[6]
2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Wisconsin | ||||
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District | 2022 district | Political predecessor district | ||
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() |
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |
Wisconsin's 1st | 48.3% | 50.3% | 44.7% | 53.9% |
Wisconsin's 2nd | 70.2% | 28.4% | 69.4% | 29.2% |
Wisconsin's 3rd | 46.8% | 51.5% | 46.8% | 51.5% |
Wisconsin's 4th | 75.9% | 22.8% | 76.2% | 22.6% |
Wisconsin's 5th | 37.9% | 60.8% | 41.7% | 56.8% |
Wisconsin's 6th | 41.4% | 57.0% | 41.6% | 56.8% |
Wisconsin's 7th | 39.3% | 59.2% | 39.3% | 59.2% |
Wisconsin's 8th | 41.5% | 57.0% | 41.3% | 57.2% |
Competitiveness
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Wisconsin.
Wisconsin U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2022 | ||||||||||||||
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Office | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
2022 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 22 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 37.5% | 3 | 42.9% | ||||
2020 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 23 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 37.5% | 1 | 14.3% | ||||
2018 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 25 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 | 28.6% | ||||
2016 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 23 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 50.0% | 4 | 57.1% | ||||
2014 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 27 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 50.0% | 3 | 42.9% |
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Wisconsin in 2022. Information below was calculated on July 26, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Twenty-two candidates filed to run for Wisconsin's eight U.S. House districts, including nine Democrats and 13 Republicans. That's 2.75 candidates per district, less than the 2.88 candidates per district in 2020 and the 3.1 in 2018. This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census. Wisconsin was apportioned eight districts, the same number it was apportioned after the 2010 census.
The 22 candidates who filed this year were the fewest candidates running for Wisconsin's U.S. House seats since 2012, when 20 candidates ran. Twenty-three candidates ran in 2020, 25 in 2018, 23 in 2016, and 27 in 2014.
One district — the 3rd — was open. That was the same number of open seats as every other election cycle since 2012. Rep. Ron Kind (D), the incumbent in the 3rd district, did not file for re-election. Five candidates — four Democrats and one Republican — ran to replace Kind, the most candidates who ran for a seat this year.
There were six contested primaries this year — one Democratic and five Republican. That was the same number as in 2020 and 2018 and two fewer than in 2016 and 2014. Four incumbents — two Democrats and two Republicans — did not face any primary challengers. Two districts — the 6th and the 8th — were guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats made the ballot.
Presidential elections
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+4. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 4 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Wisconsin's 3rd the 194th most Republican district nationally.[7]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Wisconsin's 3rd based on 2022 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |||
46.8% | 51.5% |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Wisconsin, 2020
Wisconsin presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 15 Democratic wins
- 15 Republican wins
- 1 other win
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | R | R | R | D | R | R | P[8] | R | D | D | D | R | D | R | R | R | D | R | R | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | D |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in Wisconsin and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
Demographic Data for Wisconsin | ||
---|---|---|
Wisconsin | United States | |
Population | 5,686,986 | 308,745,538 |
Land area (sq mi) | 54,167 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White | 85.4% | 72.5% |
Black/African American | 6.4% | 12.7% |
Asian | 2.8% | 5.5% |
Native American | 0.9% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander | 0% | 0.2% |
Two or more | 2.4% | 3.3% |
Hispanic/Latino | 6.8% | 18% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate | 92.2% | 88% |
College graduation rate | 30.1% | 32.1% |
Income | ||
Median household income | $61,747 | $62,843 |
Persons below poverty level | 11.3% | 13.4% |
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019). | ||
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
State party control
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Wisconsin's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Wisconsin, November 2022 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Republican | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 8 | 10 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Wisconsin's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
State executive officials in Wisconsin, November 2022 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | ![]() |
Lieutenant Governor | ![]() |
Secretary of State | ![]() |
Attorney General | ![]() |
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Wisconsin State Legislature as of November 2022.
Wisconsin State Senate
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 12 | |
Republican Party | 21 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 33 |
Wisconsin State Assembly
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 38 | |
Republican Party | 57 | |
Vacancies | 4 | |
Total | 99 |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Wisconsin was a divided government, with Democrats controlling the governorship and Republican majorities in both chambers of the state legislature. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Wisconsin Party Control: 1992-2022
Two years of Democratic trifectas • Ten years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | R | R | R | D | D | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
District history
2020
See also: Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020
Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020 (August 11 Democratic primary)
Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020 (August 11 Republican primary)
General election
General election for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3
Incumbent Ronald James Kind defeated Derrick Van Orden in the general election for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Ronald James Kind (D) | 51.3 | 199,870 | |
Derrick Van Orden (R) ![]() | 48.6 | 189,524 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 224 |
Total votes: 389,618 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3
Incumbent Ronald James Kind defeated Mark A. Neumann in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3 on August 11, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Ronald James Kind | 80.6 | 53,064 | |
![]() | Mark A. Neumann | 19.4 | 12,765 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.0 | 12 |
Total votes: 65,841 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Justin Bonner (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3
Derrick Van Orden defeated Jessi Ebben in the Republican primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3 on August 11, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Derrick Van Orden ![]() | 65.9 | 36,395 | |
![]() | Jessi Ebben ![]() | 34.1 | 18,835 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.0 | 21 |
Total votes: 55,251 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Tim Peters (R)
- John Garske (R)
- Kevin Ruscher (R)
- Jonathan Sundblom (R)
- Alex Virijevich (R)
- Brandon Cook (R)
- Shannon Moats (R)
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3
Incumbent Ronald James Kind defeated Steve Toft in the general election for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Ronald James Kind (D) | 59.7 | 187,888 | |
![]() | Steve Toft (R) | 40.3 | 126,980 |
Total votes: 314,868 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3
Incumbent Ronald James Kind advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3 on August 14, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Ronald James Kind | 100.0 | 59,643 |
Total votes: 59,643 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3
Steve Toft advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3 on August 14, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Steve Toft | 100.0 | 35,768 |
Total votes: 35,768 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Alex Virijevich (R)
- Brandon Cook (R)
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Ron Kind (D) faced no opposition in the general election on November 8, 2016. Kind defeated Myron Buchholz in the Democratic primary on August 9, 2016.[9][10]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
99.9% | 257,401 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0.1% | 169 | |
Total Votes | 257,570 | |||
Source: Wisconsin Elections Commission |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
81.3% | 33,320 | ||
Myron Buchholz | 18.7% | 7,689 | ||
Total Votes | 41,009 | |||
Source: Wisconsin Elections and Ethics Commission |
2014
The 3rd Congressional District of Wisconsin held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Ron Kind (D) defeated Tony Kurtz (R) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
56.5% | 155,368 | |
Republican | Tony Kurtz | 43.4% | 119,540 | |
Independent | Ken Van Doren - Write-in | 0% | 128 | |
N/A | Scattering | 0% | 125 | |
Total Votes | 275,161 | |||
Source: Wisconsin Government Accountability Board |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
56.7% | 13,552 | ||
Karen Mueller | 23.6% | 5,630 | ||
Ken Van Doren | 19.7% | 4,704 | ||
Scattering | 0.1% | 17 | ||
Total Votes | 23,903 | |||
Source: Wisconsin Government Accountability Board |
Democratic-held U.S. House district that Trump won
This is one of 13 U.S. House districts Democrats were defending that Donald Trump (R) won in 2020. The map below highlights those districts. Hover over or click a district to see information such as the incumbent and the presidential vote counts.
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
- ↑ Progressive Party
- ↑ Wisconsin Government Accountability Board, "Candidate Tracking by Office," accessed June 2, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "Wisconsin House Primaries Results," August 9, 2016
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