4 1 23 McLaughlin DJTFP24 Polling Memo

To: Donald J.
Trump for President

From: John McLaughlin, McLaughlin & Associates
Date: April 1, 2023
Survey Summary:
This survey of 1,000 likely 2024 general election voters conducted on behalf of
the Donald J. Trump for President campaign was completed over a two-day
period on March 31 and April 1, following media reports that Manhattan District
Attorney Alvin Bragg planned to indict President Trump.
Survey questions of the 1,000 likely general election voters have an accuracy of
+/- 3.1% at a 95% confidence interval. The accuracy of the responses from the 452
likely Republican primary voters is +/- 4.6% at a 95% confidence interval.
All interviews were conducted online; survey invitations were distributed

randomly within predetermined geographic units. These units were structured to
correlate with actual voter turnout in a nationwide general election.
Of note: President Trump received a significant increase over his opponents in

full-field and one-on-one primary election ballot tests, while his decisive lead over
Joe Biden in a general election ballot test remains level.
Additionally, a majority of general election voters now see the attacks on

President Trump as making things worse and dividing the country while ignoring
real issues, and a plurality of general election voters think the justice system has
been weaponized against President Trump.
General election voters replying that the indictment news would make them
“more likely” to vote for President Trump have a 13-point advantage over those
replying that the indictment news would make them “less likely” to vote for
President Trump.
Key Findings:
• In a full-field ballot test of 14 potential Republican candidates, President

Trump leads with 51%, DeSantis 21%, Mike Pence 6%, Nikki Haley 4%, and
everyone else is at 2% or less. In our January survey, President Trump led
the field with 43%, and DeSantis was at 31%. Trump’s lead has gone from
12 points to 30 points.
• In a one-on-one primary ballot test, President Trump beats Governor

DeSantis 63% to 30%. Trump’s lead is up to 33 points from his January lead
of 12 points (52% to 40%).
• Among Republican primary voters, including independents who vote in

Republican primaries, 65% want President Trump to run again. This is up
from 58% in January.
• Republican primary voters clearly prefer President Trump as their strongest

candidate to beat Joe Biden. Republican primary voters say Trump is better
positioned to beat Joe Biden at 61% vs. 33% who prefer someone else.
• 71% of general election voters say the country is on the wrong track, up
from 65% in our March survey. 69% of general election voters say the
Country has gone backward in the past two years.
• In a general election ballot test, President Trump leads Joe Biden 47-43.
This number is virtually unchanged from our March 2023 survey.
• Most American voters now see the attacks on President Trump as making
things worse and dividing the country. By a margin of 56% to 34%, general
election voters agree that “By continuing to attack President Trump, Joe
Biden and the radical left are making things worse and keeping the country
divided.” Republican primary voters agree 86% to 9%.
• Almost six in ten general election voters, 57%, agree that “Joe Biden and
the Democrats are spending too much time and resources going after
Donald Trump with phony political attacks that are a waste of time and
taxpayer dollars instead of trying to solve the country’s real problems on
issues like the economy, inflation, crime, immigration, and national
security. Only 35% disagreed. Republican primary voters agreed 88% to 8%.
• Most general election voters see the justice system being highly politicized.
A plurality of voters, 48%, agree with the statement “Joe Biden and the
radical left have weaponized the justice system to prosecute their political
opponents.” Only 39% disagreed. Republican primary voters agreed with
this statement 82% to 11%.
• Notably, a majority of general election voters surveyed see a double

standard of justice where the Biden family corruption escapes investigation
and President Trump is charged. The majority of voters, 55%, agree with
the statement “Under President Biden there is a double standard of
criminal justice where the alleged Hunter Biden and Biden family
corruption escapes indictments while President Trump is continually
investigated looking for crimes to prosecute him.” Only 33% of all voters
disagreed. Republican primary voters agreed with this statement 85% to
10%.
• For most general election voters, the Manhattan DA’s indictment appears
rigged against President Trump. Only 37% of all voters say President Trump
can get a fair trial in Manhattan, while 47% say it will not be a fair trial.
Among Republican primary voters, only 18% say that Trump can get a fair
trial in Manhattan, with 72% of respondents saying it will not be a fair trial.

4 1 23 McLaughlin DJTFP24 Polling Memo

Uploaded by

Document Information

Copyright

Available Formats

Share this document

Share or Embed Document

Sharing Options

Did you find this document useful?

Is this content inappropriate?

Copyright:

Available Formats

4 1 23 McLaughlin DJTFP24 Polling Memo

Uploaded by

Copyright:

Available Formats

To: Donald J.

Trump for President

All interviews were conducted online; survey invitations were distributed

Of note: President Trump received a significant increase over his opponents in

Additionally, a majority of general election voters now see the attacks on

• In a full-field ballot test of 14 potential Republican candidates, President

• In a one-on-one primary ballot test, President Trump beats Governor

• Among Republican primary voters, including independents who vote in

• Republican primary voters clearly prefer President Trump as their strongest

• Notably, a majority of general election voters surveyed see a double

You might also like